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Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
21.6¢+363
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Quick answers
- Where is "Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 21.6¢ (+363). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" settle?
- Closes 2027-04-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Odds history
199 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-03 to 2026-10-09.
How this market settles
hard deadline March 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- Who decides
- If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the…
- When
- Closes 2027-04-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 22¢ you pay $5.46 in fees on Kalshi
1.20¢ per contract · 454 contracts
On $100 at 22¢ you pay $3.90 in fees on Polymarket US
0.86¢ per contract · 454 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,160 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 498,019 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec · ← All tracked markets