BOUGHT No $143 @ 57.6¢ — Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Polymarket wallet · 0x264c…baca · “sdhyky” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x264c…baca — 142–110 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x264c…baca is 142–110 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-08-16: 252 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$79,397 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 142 | 110 | 0 | 1169 | 52 |
| Other | 101 | 53 | 0 | 802 | 17 |
| Crypto | 35 | 55 | 0 | 221 | 0 |
| Politics | 4 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 33 |
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| Tech | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Culture | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Economy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$2,090 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-08-16; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
SOLD No $1,580 @ 57.7¢ — Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,171 @ 57.9¢ — Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $840 @ 84¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Lula $52 @ 17¢ — Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,937 @ 96.9¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $966 @ 96.6¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $38 @ 9.9¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Up $147 @ 51¢ — S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $810 @ 81¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $347 @ 67.7¢ — AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $800 @ 80¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $290 @ 29¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,092 @ 7¢ — Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $715 @ 97.6¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,450 @ 89¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6,694 @ 98¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 35.8¢ — Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $29 @ 48¢ — Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $407 @ 99.8¢ — Will Pete Alonso hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Movistar KOI $9 @ 28¢ — LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $520 @ 52¢ — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $470 @ 47¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $520 @ 52¢ — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $470 @ 47¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $520 @ 52¢ — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $470 @ 47¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $952 @ 95.2¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $970 @ 97¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $910 @ 91¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $142 @ 14.2¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $680 @ 68¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 68¢ — Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $213 @ 67.9¢ — Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $58 @ 17.6¢ — EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $506 @ 93¢ — Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Up $41 @ 8.1¢ — SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT Up $10 @ 9.9¢ — SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Up $10 @ 10¢ — SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Up $10 @ 10¢ — SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $37 @ 51¢ — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $56 @ 56¢ — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $43 @ 43¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $950 @ 95¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $971 @ 97.1¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $38 @ 99.8¢ — Will Wilson Contreras hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $81 @ 99.8¢ — Will Christian Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,780 @ 89¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $965 @ 96.5¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $415 @ 59.8¢ — Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,860 @ 93¢ — Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,270 @ 45.4¢ — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $800 @ 80¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $930 @ 78¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,751 @ 64¢ — Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,380 @ 69¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $181 @ 60¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $544 @ 59¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 83¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 87¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Gen.G $810 @ 81¢ — LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Gen.G incorrect ✗BOUGHT Gen.G $8 @ 57¢ — LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Gen.G correct ✓SOLD No $6 @ 18¢ — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $960 @ 48¢ — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $234 @ 4.7¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $306 @ 10.2¢ — Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,919 @ 96¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $306 @ 10.2¢ — Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $950 @ 95¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $639 @ 75¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $901 @ 90.1¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,295 @ 81¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $163 @ 9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $4 @ 9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $0 @ 1¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $1 @ 10¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $29 @ 1.3¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,992 @ 40¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $27 @ 83¢ — Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24 @ 73¢ — Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $255 @ 72.8¢ — Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $104 @ 18¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $5 @ 21¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $209 @ 20.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $3 @ 3¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $33 @ 3¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $56 @ 93.1¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $26 @ 2.5¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $3 @ 2¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $13 @ 3.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $438 @ 71¢ — Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $779 @ 82.9¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,658 @ 82.9¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $50 @ 84.1¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 83.2¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $640 @ 64¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $294 @ 29.4¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $49 @ 4.9¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $18 @ 1.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $110 @ 5.5¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $120 @ 12¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $106 @ 85¢ — Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 3.9¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $480 @ 48¢ — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 50¢ — Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $770 @ 77¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 25¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 24¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 25¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 25¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 25¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 24¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 23¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 20¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 19¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 19¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 19¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 18.6¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19 @ 17.5¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 17¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 17¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 22¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 17¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 17¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 16¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 30¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 22¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $49 @ 31.5¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $72 @ 1.1¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $330 @ 11.1¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $991 @ 99.1¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $934 @ 95.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $579 @ 89¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $80 @ 8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $80 @ 8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $80 @ 8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Professor Jurity win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Ravenna da Inclusão win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Professor Jurity win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Joel Rodrigues win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Gustavo Feijó win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Geraldo Carvalho win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Elizeu Aguiar win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.13¢ — Will Dra. Lúcia Santos win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.13¢ — Will Santiago Belizário win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Professor Gisvaldo win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Lourdes Melo win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 1¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $55 @ 19.2¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 1¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 1.1¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $143 @ 2.4¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 4¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $72 @ 14.5¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $202 @ 1¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $41 @ 45.3¢ — Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 7¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $761 @ 9.5¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $941 @ 7.8¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Down $24 @ 11.8¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $98 @ 49¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Up $61 @ 30.7¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT Up $157 @ 78.5¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $117 @ 58.6¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓SOLD No $18 @ 25.6¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $561 @ 75¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $162 @ 74¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23 @ 70¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $463 @ 74¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $39 @ 99.8¢ — Will Pete Alonso hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 72¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $740 @ 74¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $732 @ 73.2¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $870 @ 87¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Gen.G $53 @ 58¢ — LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Dplus KIA $163 @ 41.9¢ — LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Anyones Legend $690 @ 69¢ — LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $991 @ 99.1¢ — Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $966 @ 96.6¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $12 @ 2.4¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $90 @ 6¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $111 @ 5.6¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $33 @ 5¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $44 @ 18.5¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 20¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $11 @ 73¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Up incorrect ✗BOUGHT Down $148 @ 74¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Up incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $61 @ 29.3¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.2¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 38 and 40 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 36 and 38 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 34 and 36 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 32 and 34 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 0.2¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $38 @ 11.1¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $1,922 @ 96.1¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,505 @ 56.3¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $43 @ 71¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,080 @ 54¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Up $59 @ 98¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Up $0 @ 84¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $26 @ 43¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Up $80 @ 81¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16 @ 2.3¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $3 @ 10¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 13¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 96¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,022 @ 94.8¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $941 @ 94.1¢ — Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 46¢ — Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 26¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $29 @ 6.5¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $76 @ 26.2¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD T1 $20 @ 37¢ — LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Hanwha Life Esports correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3 @ 0.35¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 0.6¢ — Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT T1 $108 @ 37¢ — LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Hanwha Life Esports incorrect ✗BOUGHT Up $21 @ 30¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Up $67 @ 33.4¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $28 @ 7.3¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 15¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 15¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 22¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $220 @ 18.2¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $560 @ 56¢ — Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $971 @ 97.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 5.3¢ — Will Team Vitality Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $573 @ 99.9¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $499 @ 99.9¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $374 @ 99.8¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $550 @ 55¢ — Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 10.3¢ — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $125 @ 46.5¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 8¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 8¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $32 @ 17.1¢ — Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,250 @ 95¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $137 @ 95.1¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $194 @ 95.1¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $137 @ 95.1¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $453 @ 95.1¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $486 @ 97.1¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Up $3 @ 30¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓SOLD Up $16 @ 29¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓SOLD Up $2 @ 30¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT No $310 @ 62¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $47 @ 62¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6 @ 59¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $78 @ 36.7¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $15 @ 60¢ — S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $981 @ 98.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $959 @ 95.9¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 1.5¢ — Will Natus Vincere Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 1.5¢ — Will Fnatic Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $0 @ 1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.7¢ — Will GIANTX Win LEC Summer Split 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $164 @ 91¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 99.9¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $144 @ 99.8¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Up $4 @ 73¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $129 @ 99¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 14.9¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $40 @ 17.3¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Up $41 @ 82¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 72¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $355 @ 71¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $103 @ 68¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $44 @ 26¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $81 @ 75.3¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47 @ 7.8¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 24 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $85 @ 79¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 21¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $29 @ 16.6¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 24 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $139 @ 69.4¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓SOLD Yes $93 @ 13.5¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $400 @ 74¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $33 @ 7¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $336 @ 73¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $34 @ 14.2¢ — Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $38 @ 75¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $599 @ 20¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $166 @ 5.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 24-30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Up $44 @ 22.2¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Up $2 @ 1¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Down $990 @ 99¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT Up $950 @ 95¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Down $138 @ 69¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT Down $26 @ 75¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT Up $122 @ 61¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down incorrect ✗BOUGHT Down $105 @ 52.5¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET (opens in a new tab)
resolved Down correct ✓BOUGHT Down $156 @ 78¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Up $2 @ 1¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $189 @ 94.3¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $152 @ 76¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Down $137 @ 68.7¢ — Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API. The record counts positions held to resolution only.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x264cbb7263b0c336c58fb5a5de1773896e6bbaca · ← All whale receipts