SOLD Team Nemesis $113 @ 23¢ — Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x2ee4…fa88 · “PB2.KALInn” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x2ee4…fa88 — 334–40 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x2ee4…fa88 is 334–40 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2025-10-27: 374 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$20,789 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 470 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 334 | 40 | 0 | 1533 | 5 |
| Other | 182 | 12 | 0 | 819 | 2 |
| Politics | 66 | 11 | 0 | 282 | 0 |
| Tech | 27 | 12 | 0 | 150 | 3 |
| Sports | 29 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 0 |
| Weather | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71 | 0 |
| Economy | 8 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 0 |
| Culture | 5 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 0 |
| Crypto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$160 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
470 fills on record since 2025-10-27; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT GamerLegion $1,163 @ 60¢ — Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved NIP incorrect ✗BOUGHT NIP $2,074 @ 99.8¢ — Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Hubert Hurkacz $11,486 @ 99.9¢ — Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov (opens in a new tab)
resolved Hubert Hurkacz correct ✓BOUGHT GamerLegion $12,197 @ 99.9¢ — Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved GamerLegion correct ✓BOUGHT LOS $12,136 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
resolved LOS correct ✓BOUGHT Team Yandex $633 @ 99.9¢ — Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
resolved Team Yandex correct ✓SOLD LGD Gaming $111 @ 67¢ — Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved LGD Gaming incorrect ✗BOUGHT Aurora $7,873 @ 99.8¢ — Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Team Cobra $89 @ 27.8¢ — Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage (opens in a new tab)
resolved Pipsqueak+4 correct ✓BOUGHT Over $50 @ 99.9¢ — Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 (opens in a new tab)
resolved Over correct ✓SOLD Joshua Van $105 @ 61¢ — UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Vitality $833 @ 75¢ — Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT MIBR $6,889 @ 62¢ — Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved MIBR correct ✓BOUGHT MIBR $8,734 @ 98¢ — Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 6¢ — Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT MIBR $19 @ 74¢ — Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD MIBR $9 @ 70¢ — Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,051 @ 77¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,024 @ 98¢ — Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $475 @ 92.1¢ — Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 63.7¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 96.7¢ — Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $156 @ 95.6¢ — Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $211 @ 78¢ — Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,488 @ 99.2¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,679 @ 99.2¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,670 @ 99.1¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,463 @ 99.1¢ — Will GTA 6 cost $100+? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,416 @ 98.2¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $137 @ 98¢ — Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $0 @ 15¢ — Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $3 @ 6¢ — Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Russia capture Drobysheve by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $15 @ 97.2¢ — Bezos divorce in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $16 @ 95¢ — Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 97.2¢ — Bezos divorce in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 2.6¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 91¢ — Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $83 @ 94.4¢ — Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $66 @ 95¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026?? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $15 @ 98.2¢ — Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $2 @ 15.1¢ — Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $13 @ 36.2¢ — Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 96.2¢ — Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $11 @ 95.6¢ — Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 98.7¢ — Will The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 95¢ — Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $67 @ 93¢ — Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $60 @ 95.9¢ — Will annual inflation increase by between 33% and 35.9% in December? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $78 @ 92.2¢ — Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 95.1¢ — Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $18 @ 70¢ — Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $48 @ 96.5¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $17 @ 92.4¢ — Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 85m? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $96 @ 96.4¢ — Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 7.9¢ — Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $47 @ 94.5¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $47 @ 94.6¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 2.6¢ — Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $0 @ 5.4¢ — Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 5.5¢ — Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $70 @ 82¢ — Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $85 @ 85.3¢ — Will MrBeast hit 104.5 billion views by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 96.7¢ — Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $76 @ 78.9¢ — Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $41 @ 96.2¢ — Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $0 @ 0.4¢ — Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 96.4¢ — Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $9 @ 96.5¢ — Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $14 @ 82.3¢ — Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $18 @ 90.1¢ — Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 93¢ — Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 7.1¢ — Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.4¢ — Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 6.3¢ — Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $21 @ 96.7¢ — Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 90.2¢ — Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 3¢ — Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $89 @ 90¢ — Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $7 @ 99.8¢ — Will the Minnesota Vikings win the NFC North? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $47 @ 93.6¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 84.7¢ — Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $23 @ 96.9¢ — Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $4 @ 93.9¢ — Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $87 @ 86.8¢ — Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 94¢ — Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $49 @ 98.4¢ — Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $48 @ 95.9¢ — Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $24 @ 93.9¢ — Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 70.3¢ — Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $48 @ 95.3¢ — Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $47 @ 94¢ — Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $57 @ 97.1¢ — Will Jara win by less than 5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 94.3¢ — Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $16 @ 72.7¢ — Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $10 @ 94.5¢ — Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $44 @ 99¢ — AI Bubble Boom Parlay November (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $35 @ 89.4¢ — Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $5 @ 67.1¢ — Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 92.6¢ — Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $5 @ 91.7¢ — Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $47 @ 97.3¢ — Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18 @ 91¢ — Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $28 @ 87.3¢ — Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $6 @ 97¢ — Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $7 @ 93.8¢ — Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $49 @ 97¢ — Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $22 @ 89.3¢ — Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 97.4¢ — Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $10 @ 98.7¢ — Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $49 @ 98.1¢ — Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $84 @ 98¢ — Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 96.2¢ — Will Abstract launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 96¢ — Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $61 @ 98.5¢ — Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 37.8¢ — Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $47 @ 94.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $10 @ 98.5¢ — California redistricting referendum passes? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $38 @ 84.1¢ — Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $16 @ 84.7¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $19 @ 95.2¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026?? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 82.9¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $9 @ 94.2¢ — Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $9 @ 89.4¢ — Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $8 @ 93¢ — Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $51 @ 83.4¢ — Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 97.4¢ — Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $35 @ 93.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $46 @ 91.8¢ — Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 96.1¢ — Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $25 @ 96.1¢ — Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $49 @ 98.6¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on November 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $21 @ 97.9¢ — xAI IPO in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 97.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $61 @ 97.4¢ — Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $99 @ 99¢ — Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 94.1¢ — Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 95¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 97.1¢ — Fetterman out in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 89.4¢ — Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $7 @ 11.9¢ — Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $25 @ 96.3¢ — Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $5 @ 97.5¢ — Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14 @ 92.2¢ — Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $48 @ 96¢ — US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $7 @ 95.8¢ — Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $36 @ 78.5¢ — Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $6 @ 63.9¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $97 @ 99.9¢ — Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $33 @ 66¢ — Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $42 @ 97.2¢ — Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 97.8¢ — Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $73 @ 73¢ — Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $77 @ 77.6¢ — Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 98.3¢ — Will Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $49 @ 97.5¢ — Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 98.9¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $20 @ 92.9¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $15 @ 98¢ — Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $27 @ 94.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 96.1¢ — Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 96.5¢ — Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 82%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 87¢ — Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 2.8¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $8 @ 94.6¢ — Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18 @ 98.6¢ — Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $9 @ 91.7¢ — Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $28 @ 89.9¢ — Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 92.3¢ — Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $40 @ 99.9¢ — Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $36 @ 97.9¢ — Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 95.9¢ — Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 95.7¢ — Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $19 @ 64.9¢ — Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $57 @ 89.9¢ — Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $38 @ 75.9¢ — Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 99.4¢ — Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 77.8¢ — Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 43.7¢ — Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 97.6¢ — Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $17 @ 70.4¢ — Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 40.6¢ — Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 69.3¢ — Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $5 @ 71.8¢ — Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 98.2¢ — Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 17.2¢ — Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $78 @ 99.9¢ — Will China win Miss Universe 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $69 @ 91¢ — Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $37 @ 99.9¢ — Will Lebanon win Miss Universe 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $93 @ 99.4¢ — Will Argentina win Miss Universe 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 94.4¢ — Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $196 end of November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $96 @ 96.5¢ — Will India strike Pakistan by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $24 @ 95.3¢ — Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 95.9¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 93.2¢ — Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $33 @ 92.2¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $33 @ 90.4¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 92.9¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $31 @ 99.9¢ — Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $3 @ 96.9¢ — MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗disputedSOLD No $19 @ 47.8¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $27 @ 45.3¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $21 @ 97.1¢ — Will India strike Pakistan by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $46 @ 61¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $10 @ 97¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $46 @ 92¢ — Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $24 @ 94¢ — Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $39 @ 96.7¢ — Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24 @ 90¢ — Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 99¢ — Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $3 @ 6.5¢ — Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $38 @ 75.4¢ — Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 82.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $45 @ 90.3¢ — Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $24 @ 98.8¢ — Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 94.5¢ — Will Oscar Isaac be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $97 @ 98¢ — U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18 @ 93.8¢ — Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 99.6¢ — Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $46 @ 99.9¢ — Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18 @ 95.7¢ — Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $184-$186 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $91 @ 92.5¢ — Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $35 @ 84¢ — Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $33 @ 98.5¢ — Will Austria join NATO by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $41 @ 99.9¢ — Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40 @ 99.3¢ — Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $46 @ 69.9¢ — Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $95 @ 95.5¢ — Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $43 @ 96.6¢ — Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $26 @ 95.3¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $26 @ 89.7¢ — Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 97.5¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 97.3¢ — Will TheDev win the Defi App trading competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $8 @ 64.3¢ — Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $8 @ 83.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 81.9¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 99.9¢ — Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $4 @ 5.8¢ — Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 85¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $47 @ 93¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $24 @ 99.7¢ — Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 99¢ — Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $30 @ 96.3¢ — Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $12 @ 99.5¢ — Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $1 @ 2.9¢ — Will no CEO be announced in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $6 @ 99.7¢ — Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $44 @ 74.1¢ — Will Tesla reach $480 in November? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 98.3¢ — Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 5.7¢ — Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 40¢ — Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 95.1¢ — Will Ostium launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $88 @ 89.8¢ — Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗disputedSOLD No $14 @ 70.2¢ — Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $67 @ 95.6¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $6 @ 61.3¢ — Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $47 @ 99.4¢ — Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $36 @ 99¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 11? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $58 @ 63.9¢ — Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 19.9¢ — Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $30 @ 99.8¢ — Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $89 @ 99.4¢ — Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 97.2¢ — Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $42 @ 56.3¢ — Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 32.7¢ — Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $37 @ 98.9¢ — First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $19 @ 95.2¢ — Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 11? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $75 @ 99.8¢ — Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 85.5¢ — Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 58¢ — Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $47 @ 97.9¢ — Will the government shutdown end November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $39 @ 97.9¢ — Will the government shutdown end November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40 @ 98.5¢ — dogwifhat on the sphere in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 82.8¢ — Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $39 @ 96.4¢ — Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $94 @ 95¢ — Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $5 @ 96.3¢ — Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 89.1¢ — Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 98.2¢ — First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $13 @ 97.6¢ — Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $93 @ 97¢ — Kraken IPO in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 99.2¢ — Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $28 @ 98.1¢ — Will Pope Leo visit another country first? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $41 @ 99.9¢ — Will Canton launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 98.3¢ — Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $5 @ 94¢ — Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $10 @ 97.7¢ — Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $9 @ 90.4¢ — Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 98.4¢ — Will the government shutdown end November 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $69 @ 94.4¢ — Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $46 @ 92.8¢ — Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $63 @ 83.6¢ — Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 91.5¢ — Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 98.7¢ — Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 97.3¢ — Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $92 @ 93.1¢ — Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $36 @ 98.8¢ — Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $20 @ 99.9¢ — Will Canton launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x2ee42afb041f0734f3f1dc3c64e529280c91fa88 · ← All whale receipts