BOUGHT No $129 @ 2.7¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0xbacd…ab35 · “ScottyNooo” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xbacd…ab35 — 275–211 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xbacd…ab35 is 275–211 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-06-25: 486 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$11,600,745 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 275 | 211 | 0 | 4521 | 294 |
| Other | 154 | 122 | 0 | 2764 | 112 |
| Politics | 73 | 60 | 0 | 1255 | 165 |
| Sports | 15 | 19 | 0 | 106 | 2 |
| Tech | 20 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 2 |
| Economy | 8 | 3 | 0 | 166 | 9 |
| Culture | 4 | 2 | 0 | 65 | 3 |
| Crypto | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| Weather | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$14,487 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2026-06-25; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $12 @ 3¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $135 @ 95¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $798 @ 95.8¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $135 @ 61¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,055 @ 70¢ — Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 61¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 21¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 21¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 17¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $70 @ 79¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 4¢ — Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $42 @ 79.2¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $922 @ 15.6¢ — Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 98.6¢ — Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,620 @ 58.1¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $690 @ 69¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $146 @ 64.7¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 64.5¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 50¢ — Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $91 @ 47¢ — Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,800 @ 58¢ — Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $166 @ 46¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,402 @ 74¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 59¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $45 @ 89¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,471 @ 70¢ — Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $31 @ 86¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $246 @ 76¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $141 @ 78.8¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,973 @ 75¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $420 @ 42¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,324 @ 75¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $177 @ 22¢ — Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $34 @ 21¢ — Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $193 @ 95.8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 4.2¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 4.1¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 3.7¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17 @ 5.9¢ — Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $59 @ 55¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9 @ 48¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 48¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $89 @ 45¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $356 @ 37.6¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 49¢ — Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $572 @ 78.2¢ — Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $75 @ 68¢ — Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $146 @ 56.6¢ — Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $95 @ 39.5¢ — Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $965 @ 49¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,632 @ 49¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $186 @ 48¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 47¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $899 @ 30¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $85 @ 28.7¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $33 @ 36¢ — Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $24 @ 21.4¢ — Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 17¢ — Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 16.8¢ — Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 17¢ — Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $399 @ 72¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,450 @ 89¢ — Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 5¢ — Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 89¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $76 @ 98.4¢ — Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $239 @ 98.5¢ — Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,207 @ 74¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,700 @ 57¢ — Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30 @ 70¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 67¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 44¢ — Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 46¢ — Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $61 @ 55¢ — Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32 @ 76¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $74 @ 74¢ — Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $139 @ 89.9¢ — Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $330 @ 90¢ — Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $864 @ 97.5¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $392 @ 97.4¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,247 @ 92.3¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,114 @ 92.1¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,111 @ 88.8¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $105 @ 89.4¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $635 @ 86.6¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $154 @ 84.4¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $216 @ 81¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $81 @ 81¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $452 @ 86¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $273 @ 99.1¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $243 @ 85¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $151 @ 91¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,050 @ 87¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $158 @ 5.4¢ — Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,435 @ 20¢ — Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $321 @ 96¢ — Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $38 @ 92¢ — Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $122 @ 73¢ — Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1¢ — Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $428 @ 93.7¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 98.2¢ — Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,123 @ 95¢ — Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $410 @ 94.7¢ — Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $102 @ 97.1¢ — Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,174 @ 57.2¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $125 @ 86.9¢ — Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $203 @ 90.3¢ — Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $206 @ 40¢ — Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 53.3¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $55 @ 72.6¢ — Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $202 @ 79.4¢ — Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,556 @ 93.3¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $366 @ 76.3¢ — Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $47 @ 3¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $484 @ 96.8¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $249 @ 96.4¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 32¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $72 @ 33¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $319 @ 96¢ — Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 95¢ — Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,255 @ 98.6¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $718 @ 98.3¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18,395 @ 99¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $616 @ 98.5¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $39 @ 98.7¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49 @ 98.8¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,004 @ 98.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,357 @ 97¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $243 @ 97¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,206 @ 98.8¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $575 @ 97.9¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,333 @ 98.9¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,470 @ 98¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,077 @ 96.3¢ — Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $814 @ 96.5¢ — Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $710 @ 98¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,911 @ 97.7¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,531 @ 96¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $485 @ 96.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,490 @ 96.8¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,324 @ 97.8¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,510 @ 97.1¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,206 @ 96.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,004 @ 95.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $904 @ 94.2¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $127 @ 95.4¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $139 @ 93.3¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,697 @ 94¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 89¢ — Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,534 @ 93.8¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,269 @ 94.8¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 91.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 91.9¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $62 @ 89.3¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 88¢ — Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $862 @ 86.2¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24 @ 85.4¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $394 @ 85.3¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $196 @ 85.2¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43 @ 85.2¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $527 @ 82.1¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $842 @ 84.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $187 @ 84.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $598 @ 83¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 15.4¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,074 @ 89.5¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,724 @ 86.9¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,035 @ 88.8¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,382 @ 85.7¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $288 @ 84.7¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $176 @ 87.9¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,624 @ 78.8¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,449 @ 82¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,255 @ 80¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $662 @ 76.5¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $51 @ 75¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,291 @ 72¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $678 @ 78.4¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11 @ 22.4¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $77 @ 65.7¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $416 @ 57.5¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $220 @ 59.8¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $44 @ 53.1¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17 @ 40¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $126 @ 77¢ — Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,345 @ 48.8¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 42¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 41¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $120 @ 40¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $351 @ 40.7¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 29¢ — Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $112 @ 28¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $991 @ 97.3¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,216 @ 74.9¢ — Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $201 @ 73¢ — Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,980 @ 96.6¢ — Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 38¢ — Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $586 @ 96¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,499 @ 95.9¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $117 @ 69¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,271 @ 88¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,006 @ 70¢ — Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,453 @ 60.9¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,319 @ 60.3¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $359 @ 59.9¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,672 @ 60¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,612 @ 59.8¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 4.8¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $376 @ 94¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $37,607 @ 93¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,788 @ 92¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $28,670 @ 89¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $273 @ 84¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98¢ — Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,632 @ 91¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,693 @ 57.6¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,110 @ 84¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18,027 @ 81¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $586 @ 57.3¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,750 @ 56.8¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $130 @ 67¢ — Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 56.9¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $303 @ 57¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 40.9¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $165 @ 29.5¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,860 @ 81¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 37¢ — Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $350 @ 37.5¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $232 @ 75¢ — Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $510 @ 95¢ — Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $458 @ 54.6¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 1.9¢ — Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30 @ 96¢ — Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 89.8¢ — Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $353 @ 44.9¢ — Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 43¢ — Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,746 @ 87¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $148 @ 0.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $30,260 @ 89¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,778 @ 88¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,000 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4 @ 49¢ — Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,751 @ 78¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $233 @ 69.1¢ — NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $381 @ 77¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,821 @ 88¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $87 @ 99.4¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 2.5¢ — U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 19.3¢ — Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 35¢ — Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 35¢ — Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 32.5¢ — Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 99.6¢ — Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $100 @ 12¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.5¢ — Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 7.2¢ — Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 7.1¢ — Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,576 @ 77¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $92 @ 34¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,000 @ 90¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $43 @ 12¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 7¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25,722 @ 99.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $96 @ 96.1¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $78 @ 74¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $123 @ 97.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $32 @ 2.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $7 @ 34.9¢ — Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $799 @ 26.9¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6 @ 20.1¢ — Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 90¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $425 @ 77¢ — Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,419 @ 95¢ — Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,993 @ 93¢ — Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $31 @ 92¢ — Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $579 @ 23.1¢ — Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 5.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $484 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $43 @ 94.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $269 @ 95.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $992 @ 94.4¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $31 @ 97.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $2 @ 3.5¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $10 @ 97¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,835 @ 97¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $34 @ 96.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $19 @ 96.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $7 @ 3.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $485 @ 96.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $3 @ 2.3¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $29 @ 2.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $31 @ 2.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT Yes $9,881 @ 96¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $9,204 @ 96¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $159 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $105 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $8,094 @ 94¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputed
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35 · ← All whale receipts