BOUGHT Yes $2,500 @ 24¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
Polymarket wallet · 0xbe89…b88c · “simpleman” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xbe89…b88c — 130–164 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xbe89…b88c is 130–164 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2025-11-10: 294 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$93,380 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Watch in this browserProfile on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Record
How the record is counted
W and L count positions held to resolution: a win when the outcome held received the payout. Positions sold before resolution are exited early and are never wins or losses; a split payout is void. Research, not advice.
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 130 | 164 | 0 | 1205 | 57 |
| Politics | 56 | 77 | 0 | 541 | 25 |
| Other | 50 | 54 | 0 | 434 | 15 |
| Economy | 13 | 17 | 0 | 144 | 16 |
| Crypto | 5 | 7 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| Sports | 2 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| Tech | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| Culture | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
+$93,380realized, as reported by Polymarket’s data API
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Unrealized on open positions: +$12,983 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
A fill is correct when the side it bought paid out at resolution (or the side it sold did not), incorrect otherwise, and open until the market resolves. A grade is a fact about one fill: not a profit, and not a recommendation.
1,000 fills on record since 2025-11-10; the newest 300 shown.
SOLD No $1,378 @ 88¢ — Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $230 @ 23¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $800 @ 51¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $700 @ 23¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $982 @ 96.2¢ — Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,880 @ 97.6¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,481 @ 97.4¢ — US takes Panama Canal before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 21.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $600 @ 20¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 49¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10,003 @ 91¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 49.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 49.3¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $779 @ 21.7¢ — Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $600 @ 47.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 42.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 55.8¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $13,705 @ 99.1¢ — Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 37.1¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,000 @ 50.5¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 20¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,044 @ 32.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,000 @ 33.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 31¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,500 @ 31¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $350 @ 18¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $479 @ 18.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 29.9¢ — Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 18¢ — Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $50 @ 17.6¢ — Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 11.3¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 29¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 25¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 21¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $76 @ 25.8¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,300 @ 27¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 27¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,752 @ 92¢ — Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,483 @ 36¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,552 @ 37¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,004 @ 92¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 92¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $109 @ 50.2¢ — Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,300 @ 96.4¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $78 @ 30¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,157 @ 68¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,576 @ 88¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,405 @ 30¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 34¢ — Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,998 @ 32¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,598 @ 87¢ — Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,885 @ 87¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,816 @ 37¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,420 @ 37¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,242 @ 37.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $278 @ 38¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17 @ 43¢ — Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,123 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $252 @ 86¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $316 @ 85¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $894 @ 86¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,590 @ 86¢ — Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $700 @ 50.2¢ — Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $103 @ 44.9¢ — Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,890 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,800 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,465 @ 13.8¢ — Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,500 @ 15.1¢ — Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,352 @ 43¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $634 @ 63¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 59.3¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $274 @ 66¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $212 @ 65¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,000 @ 64.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $500 @ 90¢ — U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 82¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,294 @ 96.1¢ — Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,400 @ 61¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $250 @ 0.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $5,500 @ 88¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 61¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $700 @ 61¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,525 @ 61¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 31.7¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,000 @ 82¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,400 @ 82¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 82¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25,747 @ 80.4¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $120 @ 10¢ — Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $410 @ 12.7¢ — Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 80¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 20¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 81¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $295 @ 79¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $76 @ 76¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 0.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3,000 @ 62¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $312 @ 29.1¢ — Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,500 @ 58¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $454 @ 51.1¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,900 @ 53¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $12,771 @ 70.4¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,222 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $994 @ 35¢ — Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $974 @ 74.8¢ — Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $709 @ 74¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $515 @ 54¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,575 @ 44¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,000 @ 92.8¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $0 @ 4¢ — Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,243 @ 47¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,636 @ 42.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,000 @ 54¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $15,124 @ 99.5¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $111 @ 28¢ — Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $138 @ 54¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 56.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,000 @ 54¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 54.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 53¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,235 @ 48¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 43¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $115 @ 58.4¢ — Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,100 @ 55¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,733 @ 40¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,310 @ 40¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,000 @ 41.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,128 @ 40.3¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 42¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $31 @ 45¢ — Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $350 @ 26.9¢ — Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 88.4¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,166 @ 43¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 89¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,089 @ 46¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $70 @ 44.7¢ — Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $750 @ 59.9¢ — Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 21¢ — Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 28¢ — Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 88¢ — Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 6.9¢ — Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,649 @ 67¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,532 @ 67¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $219 @ 86.2¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,530 @ 95¢ — JD Vance out as VP by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,000 @ 88.8¢ — Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,000 @ 95.7¢ — Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,500 @ 48.9¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10,500 @ 70¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $954 @ 49¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13 @ 25¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 13.8¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $310 @ 15.2¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,181 @ 44.4¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $736 @ 53¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,000 @ 71¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,843 @ 69.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,499 @ 70¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 54¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,149 @ 71¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 74¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,000 @ 59¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,000 @ 63¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $146 @ 11.9¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $848 @ 56.4¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,061 @ 83¢ — Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $435 @ 34¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $235 @ 14.3¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 23.1¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $660 @ 60¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $69 @ 95¢ — Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,000 @ 92¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 19.4¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 33¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $50 @ 33¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 35¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $21 @ 9.7¢ — Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 73.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 35¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $144 @ 85¢ — Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $538 @ 77.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $718 @ 77.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $600 @ 72.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $421 @ 81.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,173 @ 76.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $903 @ 76.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,792 @ 73.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 15¢ — Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 65¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $300 @ 21.9¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $260 @ 65¢ — Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $4,301 @ 81.8¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $783 @ 89¢ — Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $705 @ 89¢ — Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,100 @ 91.3¢ — Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,100 @ 90.5¢ — Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,000 @ 82.6¢ — Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,400 @ 85¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 61¢ — Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $174 @ 81¢ — Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14 @ 13.4¢ — Will Trump nationalize elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,500 @ 85.2¢ — Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,500 @ 86.2¢ — Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,000 @ 89.3¢ — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,900 @ 89.8¢ — Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 83.9¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $125 @ 83.4¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $520 @ 52¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,000 @ 85¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $152 @ 23¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,000 @ 89.9¢ — Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $519 @ 59¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $126 @ 80.5¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $25 @ 88.8¢ — Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $0 @ 0.2¢ — Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 60¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 62¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8,841 @ 65.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 7¢ — Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 0.54¢ — Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 79¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9,526 @ 76¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 3¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10,153 @ 81¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,460 @ 82¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7,672 @ 82¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,369 @ 82¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $65 @ 65¢ — Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $7 @ 2¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 1.2¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 2¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 1.8¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 1.6¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $40,860 @ 86.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,071 @ 85.2¢ — Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $150 @ 86¢ — Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $247 @ 86¢ — Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $146 @ 88¢ — Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $817 @ 83.7¢ — Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,100 @ 83¢ — Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $236 @ 65¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 89.5¢ — Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,000 @ 80¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 80¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,000 @ 79.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,000 @ 78.1¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 78¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 78¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 76¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 76¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $107 @ 56.2¢ — Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 1.4¢ — Starmer out by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $150 @ 25¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $40 @ 31.1¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $500 @ 60¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $42 @ 42¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,175 @ 87¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 41.2¢ — Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $10 @ 68¢ — Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 32.6¢ — Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 40¢ — Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1 @ 20¢ — Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 50.2¢ — Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $29 @ 23.8¢ — Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 92¢ — Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $278 @ 90¢ — US military draft authorized in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $50 @ 53.2¢ — Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99.3¢ — Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $649 @ 89¢ — Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $400 @ 90¢ — Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,000 @ 90¢ — Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $506 @ 91.8¢ — Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,984 @ 93¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25,000 @ 98.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 98.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $30 @ 30¢ — Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 16.2¢ — Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $163 @ 98.3¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,716 @ 98.3¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,360 @ 98.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,404 @ 98.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,125 @ 96.8¢ — Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,022 @ 94.9¢ — Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $246 @ 89¢ — Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,500 @ 83.9¢ — Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,786 @ 99.2¢ — Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,500 @ 95.1¢ — Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,418 @ 84.1¢ — Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $5 @ 94¢ — Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $69 @ 32.9¢ — Will Trump attend his son's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 62.3¢ — Will Trump attend his son's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,000 @ 89¢ — Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $500 @ 89.1¢ — Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $6 @ 12.6¢ — Trump kiss by May 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $304 @ 91¢ — Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 47¢ — Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $49 @ 46¢ — Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 47¢ — Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c · ← All whale receipts