SOLD No $35,917 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket wallet · 0xd5cc…dea4 · “tsybka” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xd5cc…dea4 — 146–25 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xd5cc…dea4 is 146–25 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-03-21: 172 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$330,368 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 146 | 25 | 1 | 766 | 6 |
| Other | 103 | 13 | 0 | 538 | 6 |
| Politics | 16 | 4 | 0 | 113 | 0 |
| Crypto | 8 | 4 | 1 | 44 | 0 |
| Sports | 12 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| Economy | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| Tech | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Culture | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: −$6,215 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2026-03-21; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $358 @ 88¢ — Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $134 @ 86¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 37¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $35,499 @ 85¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16,880 @ 85¢ — Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,939 @ 60.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $822 @ 90¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,784 @ 81¢ — Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,157 @ 92.6¢ — Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,034 @ 99.7¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,891 @ 98.9¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $659 @ 98.7¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,012 @ 98.9¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,969 @ 96.9¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,028 @ 92.5¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $761 @ 96¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,194 @ 95.5¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $504 @ 95.8¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $69 @ 95.6¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,511 @ 95.3¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,047 @ 96.7¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $625 @ 64.8¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,021 @ 87.8¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,127 @ 96.6¢ — Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $58 @ 3.4¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $316 @ 59.8¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $49,900 @ 99.8¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $38,887 @ 97.5¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,134 @ 97.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,752 @ 95.3¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,013 @ 95.5¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14,236 @ 94.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 35¢ — Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $463 @ 91¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9,153 @ 92¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,595 @ 91¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,398 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,270 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $50 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $514 @ 70¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,902 @ 70¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $90 @ 6.1¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7,742 @ 95.3¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 12¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11 @ 21¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $338 @ 22.2¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $233 @ 19.2¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $120 @ 20.7¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $78 @ 21.7¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $136 @ 17¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $126 @ 14.1¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $138 @ 47.2¢ — Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $36 @ 52¢ — Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $198 @ 56.4¢ — Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,144 @ 59.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $327 @ 45.8¢ — Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $51 @ 15.1¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $252 @ 91¢ — Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $51 @ 26.6¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,625 @ 62.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,438 @ 62.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 31¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $101 @ 23.2¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $106 @ 28.5¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $151 @ 14.6¢ — Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $109 @ 54.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 9¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 14¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 14¢ — Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $232 @ 21¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $140 @ 20.8¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $110 @ 11¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 11¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 11¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $363 @ 11¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $739 @ 11¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $565 @ 59.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $227 @ 82.2¢ — Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7,523 @ 93¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 26.4¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $195 @ 99¢ — Will Russia capture Sofiivka by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $306 @ 99¢ — Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 33¢ — Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $39 @ 36.4¢ — Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $269 @ 36.5¢ — Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $52 @ 93.5¢ — Will Russia capture Sofiivka by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 93.1¢ — Will Russia capture Sofiivka by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $540 @ 94.6¢ — Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $122 @ 95¢ — Will Russia capture Toretske by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 91.8¢ — Will Russia capture Sofiivka by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $28 @ 32.4¢ — Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 3.6¢ — Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $186 @ 29.7¢ — Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,932 @ 59.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $192 @ 57.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $761 @ 57¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $390 @ 62.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $359 @ 73¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 78¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $114 @ 75.4¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 82¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $896 @ 54.6¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $233 @ 53.8¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $427 @ 75¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $591 @ 48.9¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21,169 @ 70.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,321 @ 48¢ — Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,897 @ 43.7¢ — Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $138 @ 75¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,678 @ 74.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 3.6¢ — Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $7,425 @ 91.4¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,957 @ 86¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10 @ 58.5¢ — Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $23 @ 58¢ — Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $10 @ 24¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 35¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $119 @ 15¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $83 @ 15¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12 @ 12¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 15¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 15¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 15¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 15¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14 @ 14¢ — Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $387 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $470 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $694 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $564 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $509 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $554 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $495 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $490 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $624 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $599 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $455 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $549 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $694 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $574 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $574 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $524 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $490 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $719 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $609 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $589 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $430 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $599 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $559 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $490 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $534 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $594 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $440 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $549 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $619 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $544 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $450 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $509 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $415 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $480 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,053 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $779 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $470 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $360 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $475 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $604 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $564 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $619 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $405 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $604 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $849 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $549 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $480 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $514 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $509 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $549 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $390 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $624 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $460 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $480 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $559 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $614 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $375 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $584 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $659 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $495 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $465 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $539 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $440 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $584 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $754 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $549 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $450 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $619 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $579 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $564 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $574 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $724 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $450 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $455 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $584 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $465 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $794 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $639 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $684 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $594 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $400 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $480 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $475 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $415 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $614 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $704 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $619 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $440 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,718 @ 99.5¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,067 @ 99.7¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13,931 @ 99.4¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,412 @ 98.4¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 98.8¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6,955 @ 99.6¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,506 @ 99.8¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 99.5¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,575 @ 95¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,931 @ 97¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,790 @ 94.7¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,479 @ 92.4¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,962 @ 90¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $27,066 @ 87¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,128 @ 87.5¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,282 @ 75.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $60,859 @ 86.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 12.7¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 12.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,105 @ 78.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $190 @ 79.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,790 @ 79.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $173 @ 78.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,859 @ 80.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 2¢ — Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $4 @ 37¢ — Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 34¢ — Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 37¢ — Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 30¢ — Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $913 @ 99.8¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,813 @ 99.1¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,547 @ 99¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,967 @ 98.9¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,151 @ 99.5¢ — Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $543 @ 98.2¢ — Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $99 @ 98.9¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,400 @ 74¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,800 @ 74¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,030 @ 74.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,549 @ 75¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,750 @ 75¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $22 @ 21.7¢ — Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,189 @ 90.1¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 75¢ — Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $18 @ 89¢ — Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $4 @ 21¢ — Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $22 @ 54.5¢ — Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $15 @ 17.5¢ — Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $35,555 @ 90.1¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 91.9¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 7¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25 @ 12.2¢ — Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 23¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 12¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 11¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 28¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 28¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 35¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12 @ 35¢ — Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 2.8¢ — Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $27,188 @ 90¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $303 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,652 @ 99.9¢ — Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,586 @ 99.7¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $8,045 @ 86.6¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9 @ 94.3¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 94.2¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 94¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $45 @ 93.8¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $146 @ 94¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,779 @ 93.8¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $45 @ 89¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $207 @ 95¢ — Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19 @ 94.6¢ — Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $224 @ 95.1¢ — Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,118 @ 94.5¢ — Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $677 @ 52.9¢ — Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,541 @ 95.2¢ — Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,590 @ 95.1¢ — Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $24 @ 37¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $5,246 @ 89.3¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 41¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $4 @ 39¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $14 @ 27¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $139 @ 33¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $2 @ 33¢ — Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4 · ← All whale receipts