BOUGHT No $3,053 @ 96.1¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x000d…758e · “scottilicious” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x000d…758e — 260–43 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x000d…758e is 260–43 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-02-28: 303 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$1,773,996 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 14:46 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 260 | 43 | 0 | 1003 | 50 |
| Other | 127 | 26 | 0 | 516 | 9 |
| Politics | 109 | 12 | 0 | 400 | 41 |
| Crypto | 13 | 3 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
| Economy | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| Sports | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Culture | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Tech | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$17,189 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-02-28; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Yes $6,100 @ 61¢ — Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,577 @ 25.3¢ — Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,338 @ 94¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,022 @ 94¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $659 @ 5.5¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $77 @ 94¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16,214 @ 95¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,306 @ 83.9¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $596 @ 47.1¢ — Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,258 @ 85.9¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,241 @ 92.3¢ — Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,408 @ 57.9¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17,803 @ 57.4¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,305 @ 97¢ — Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,554 @ 83.7¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19,130 @ 57.1¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,910 @ 62¢ — Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 4.8¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47 @ 4.7¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $175 @ 92.8¢ — Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,002 @ 97.1¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $181 @ 61¢ — Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $858 @ 92¢ — Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $449 @ 5.7¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $232 @ 5.8¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,083 @ 97.3¢ — Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $116 @ 5.8¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $345 @ 5.8¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,811 @ 97¢ — Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $198 @ 30.3¢ — Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,422 @ 25.4¢ — Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $78 @ 26¢ — Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $60,562 @ 77¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $318 @ 5.7¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18,111 @ 71.9¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,389 @ 74.7¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $83 @ 6.7¢ — Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $475 @ 95¢ — US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,568 @ 92¢ — 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $247 @ 45¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,198 @ 73¢ — Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,889 @ 96.1¢ — Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $943 @ 44¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,174 @ 97.8¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,760 @ 98¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $358 @ 37¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $141 @ 39.2¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $461 @ 41.7¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $27,410 @ 98¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,572 @ 97.5¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 98¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $69 @ 98¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9 @ 97.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $43,688 @ 98.2¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,250 @ 95¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,176 @ 87.5¢ — Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,760 @ 94¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,700 @ 90¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,450 @ 89¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39,889 @ 95.7¢ — Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,949 @ 93¢ — Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,550 @ 91¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $41,246 @ 90.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,934 @ 98.5¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,115 @ 69.5¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $395 @ 36.3¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $139 @ 37.8¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,963 @ 95.6¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,939 @ 36.8¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,489 @ 92¢ — Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,138 @ 35.2¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $199 @ 36.6¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,483 @ 37.1¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $151 @ 5¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $570 @ 89¢ — Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,059 @ 19¢ — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13,676 @ 76¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $294 @ 4.9¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 0.1¢ — Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,791 @ 25.8¢ — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $101 @ 34.7¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $199 @ 35.2¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $205 @ 4.1¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 79¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,669 @ 96.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49,309 @ 97.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15,169 @ 98.2¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,006 @ 79.8¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,155 @ 34.3¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,754 @ 81.2¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $52,233 @ 47¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,393 @ 98.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $42,770 @ 87¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $526 @ 89.2¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,400 @ 80¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,938 @ 79.6¢ — Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $237 @ 1.5¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $30,879 @ 98.6¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $511 @ 68¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedSOLD No $5,123 @ 69.4¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $4,471 @ 98.3¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,887 @ 90¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,308 @ 68.1¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $2,202 @ 65¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $4,905 @ 60.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT Yes $6,141 @ 89¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $191 @ 3.5¢ — Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,483 @ 88.5¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,046 @ 91.7¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23,812 @ 95¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $72,718 @ 98.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,135 @ 98.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $11,581 @ 90.6¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $25,508 @ 93.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,995 @ 97.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5,047 @ 99.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18,935 @ 89¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $690 @ 99.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,438 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,888 @ 98.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,065 @ 98.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $34,667 @ 95¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $391 @ 95.3¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36,448 @ 97.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $40 @ 0.2¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21,990 @ 96.9¢ — Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $894 @ 97.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,427 @ 95.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5,267 @ 63.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,845 @ 96.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,440 @ 87¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $14,549 @ 96.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,166 @ 96.8¢ — Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,093 @ 99.4¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $5,513 @ 99¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $5,633 @ 83.5¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $20,434 @ 91.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,759 @ 55¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,954 @ 91.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,958 @ 96¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,180 @ 97.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47,060 @ 99.2¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $518 @ 20.7¢ — Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16,569 @ 95.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,540 @ 97¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,369 @ 96.1¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,027 @ 96.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16,102 @ 88¢ — 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,653 @ 96.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,300 @ 96.2¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,351 @ 98.5¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $22,016 @ 99.1¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,112 @ 96.2¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,040 @ 88¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,981 @ 88.5¢ — Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $129 @ 0.49¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39,049 @ 96¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $41,954 @ 96.5¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,084 @ 97.8¢ — Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,748 @ 98¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $590 @ 93.7¢ — Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,200 @ 64¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $15,440 @ 93¢ — Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,011 @ 79¢ — Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,820 @ 79¢ — Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20,815 @ 79.9¢ — Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5,138 @ 90.9¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9,269 @ 92.8¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,744 @ 91¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47 @ 64.6¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,894 @ 71.2¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,905 @ 70.5¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43,037 @ 99.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,563 @ 94¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,419 @ 17.7¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6,143 @ 83¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $882 @ 15¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6,207 @ 85¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $53,559 @ 98.9¢ — Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $59,923 @ 97¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23,539 @ 99.1¢ — Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30,099 @ 99.1¢ — Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,044 @ 78.7¢ — Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,889 @ 77.3¢ — Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,273 @ 2.4¢ — Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,339 @ 99.9¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,153 @ 86.4¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $21,618 @ 86.5¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $3,298 @ 99.7¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7,774 @ 99.7¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $5,856 @ 99.7¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,272 @ 70¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,419 @ 71¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,163 @ 71¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6,063 @ 70.3¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40,877 @ 99.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $228 @ 99.9¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,995 @ 99.9¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,162 @ 72.1¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $623 @ 35.4¢ — Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $2,121 @ 99.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,470 @ 86¢ — Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $850 @ 85¢ — Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 97.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,014 @ 95.7¢ — Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $9,500 @ 96.2¢ — Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $2,954 @ 98.9¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,280 @ 98.8¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,824 @ 98.1¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $853 @ 98.1¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,197 @ 97.9¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,855 @ 95¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,985 @ 63.9¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $5,790 @ 96.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,938 @ 98¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 97.7¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,877 @ 97.8¢ — Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,608 @ 79¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,672 @ 77.6¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $50,877 @ 96.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $16,740 @ 93¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,026 @ 97.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63,112 @ 99.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $989 @ 98.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $28,894 @ 99.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $49 @ 98.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,450 @ 92.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,977 @ 96.2¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,127 @ 98.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,657 @ 97.2¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,502 @ 96.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $101 @ 96.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $74,861 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,680 @ 96¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,920 @ 96¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,760 @ 92¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $38,913 @ 87.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,054 @ 94.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $4,768 @ 91.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,373 @ 89.7¢ — US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $128,700 @ 99¢ — Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $259 @ 97.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,896 @ 97.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,785 @ 97¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,614 @ 95¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,366 @ 85¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $607 @ 97¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,156 @ 97¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,531 @ 96¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $29 @ 96¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,475 @ 91¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16,098 @ 94.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $35,478 @ 77.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $35,717 @ 95¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $846 @ 92¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,840 @ 92¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,040 @ 92¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,097 @ 75.4¢ — US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,602 @ 95¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,527 @ 94¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,427 @ 79.7¢ — Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,111 @ 1.6¢ — Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $128 @ 4¢ — Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,862 @ 25.5¢ — Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $975 @ 97.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39,033 @ 97.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,729 @ 91¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,314 @ 91.4¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,587 @ 90¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,405 @ 95.8¢ — Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,091 @ 65.3¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $33,946 @ 97¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,726 @ 90¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,005 @ 88.1¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,975 @ 95¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,294 @ 92.9¢ — Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $27 @ 1.2¢ — Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $70 @ 1.4¢ — Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $167 @ 2.8¢ — Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $348 @ 7.3¢ — Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $3,881 @ 99.6¢ — Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,000 @ 30¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $909 @ 90¢ — Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,135 @ 94.9¢ — Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,856 @ 89.6¢ — Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,073 @ 84.5¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $4,059 @ 99.3¢ — Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $199 @ 99.7¢ — Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $97 @ 2.1¢ — Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $5,016 @ 83.6¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $4,965 @ 99.3¢ — Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $993 @ 54.9¢ — Kash Patel out by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $27,960 @ 93.2¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $40,946 @ 83.2¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $4,541 @ 98.3¢ — Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $76,069 @ 97.6¢ — Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,105 @ 97.4¢ — Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,299 @ 82¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $8,199 @ 85.8¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e · ← All whale receipts