BOUGHT Yes $755 @ 60.8¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x0845…6b6f · “GollumGekko” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x0845…6b6f — 524–241 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x0845…6b6f is 524–241 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-07-22: 765 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$356,744 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 524 | 241 | 0 | 3200 | 338 |
| Other | 292 | 150 | 0 | 1795 | 157 |
| Politics | 136 | 22 | 0 | 791 | 155 |
| Sports | 12 | 34 | 0 | 122 | 0 |
| Tech | 25 | 19 | 0 | 214 | 6 |
| Crypto | 35 | 7 | 0 | 154 | 12 |
| Economy | 11 | 6 | 0 | 79 | 8 |
| Culture | 12 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| Weather | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: −$6,378 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2026-07-22; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Yes $129 @ 76¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 25¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $120 @ 60¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36 @ 36¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $500 @ 20¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 97.9¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,617 @ 87.2¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14,318 @ 84.2¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.4¢ — Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9 @ 97.4¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $222 @ 90.8¢ — Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $48 @ 44¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $250 @ 92¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $519 @ 43.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $245 @ 67.8¢ — Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $737 @ 52¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $642 @ 51¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $83 @ 4¢ — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $58 @ 12¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 70¢ — Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $712 @ 70¢ — Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,368 @ 68.7¢ — Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,407 @ 87¢ — US recession by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 1.9¢ — Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $560 @ 85¢ — US strike on Cuba by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10 @ 0.4¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Anthropic $640 @ 91¢ — Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 1¢ — Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $119 @ 1.1¢ — Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $412 @ 89¢ — US recession by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $275 @ 35¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $167 @ 8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $410 @ 55¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $247 @ 97¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $60 @ 96.7¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $91 @ 6.1¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $860 @ 86¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $118 @ 55¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 16.3¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $60 @ 14¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 11¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $126 @ 63¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 10¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $86 @ 7.6¢ — Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,480 @ 74¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $49 @ 50.1¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $169 @ 54¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $388 @ 73.4¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $270 @ 18¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $115 @ 31¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $76 @ 70¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $263 @ 85¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $912 @ 66.4¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $256 @ 82.4¢ — Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $99 @ 31¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $135 @ 13¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 14¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $22 @ 2.6¢ — Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $111 @ 65.3¢ — Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 0.6¢ — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $59 @ 96.5¢ — Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $87 @ 41¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $255 @ 39.7¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $600 @ 40¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $431 @ 38.3¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $34 @ 13.8¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $55 @ 26¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $84 @ 19¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $65 @ 21.1¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $102 @ 23.1¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $94 @ 14¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $116 @ 13.4¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 24¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $232 @ 24¢ — Iran full airspace closure by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $243 @ 38.8¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $90 @ 30¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $176 @ 29.1¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $494 @ 79¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $216 @ 54¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14 @ 66.7¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $39 @ 10¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $604 @ 11¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $185 @ 13¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $137 @ 12¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 1.1¢ — Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $111 @ 31¢ — Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 62¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $491 @ 77¢ — Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $623 @ 89¢ — Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,606 @ 95.5¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 2.4¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,880 @ 94¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,394 @ 92.9¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $465 @ 92.9¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $206 @ 92.9¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,041 @ 91¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,547 @ 90¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7,979 @ 88.2¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $111 @ 25¢ — Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $900 @ 90¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $638 @ 88¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $764 @ 38.2¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23 @ 13.1¢ — Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $747 @ 84.4¢ — Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,460 @ 82¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $180 @ 84.4¢ — Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $241 @ 61¢ — Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $222 @ 7.5¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $160 @ 8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $84 @ 7¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $58 @ 11.6¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,678 @ 34.8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $503 @ 11¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $232 @ 23¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $447 @ 92¢ — US recession by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $760 @ 19¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $506 @ 81¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $50 @ 7.1¢ — Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $480 @ 48¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $317 @ 26¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $259 @ 8¢ — Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $305 @ 32.8¢ — Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 6.4¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $188 @ 47¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $230 @ 46.1¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 17¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $72 @ 24¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 5.3¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $71 @ 70¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $874 @ 73¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $347 @ 17.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,352 @ 67¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $105 @ 64¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $255 @ 64¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $116 @ 46.7¢ — Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $576 @ 55¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32 @ 2.7¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,226 @ 54¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 2.8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $810 @ 54¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 44.5¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $164 @ 82¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $46 @ 4¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,560 @ 78¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $425 @ 78¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $210 @ 42¢ — Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,292 @ 77.4¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $616 @ 76.6¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,759 @ 76.8¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,051 @ 76.6¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,110 @ 74¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $148 @ 74¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,644 @ 74¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,697 @ 74¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8,092 @ 74¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,221 @ 88¢ — Cuban regime falls in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $27 @ 5¢ — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $93 @ 54¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $584 @ 53¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 6.7¢ — Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $61 @ 10.2¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $50 @ 11¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $594 @ 25.9¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 3.5¢ — Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $2,220 @ 74¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,049 @ 17¢ — Anthropic IPO before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,088 @ 83¢ — Anthropic IPO before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $84 @ 70¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 0.41¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $800 @ 80¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $390 @ 78¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $150 @ 10¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $300 @ 10¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $230 @ 23¢ — Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $76 @ 60¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $855 @ 77¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $269 @ 34¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $61 @ 4.4¢ — Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 10¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 92¢ — Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $95 @ 79¢ — Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,407 @ 84.2¢ — Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $93 @ 93¢ — Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,540 @ 77¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 85¢ — Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $110 @ 8.3¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $288 @ 70¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $150 @ 69¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 5.6¢ — Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,343 @ 75.2¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,306 @ 87¢ — Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,432 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6 @ 88¢ — US recession by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $85 @ 24¢ — Iran full airspace closure by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $55 @ 64¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $25 @ 25¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 63¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $391 @ 41¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,639 @ 83¢ — US recession by end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,276 @ 97.3¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $336 @ 21¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $759 @ 15¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 1.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $465 @ 93¢ — Iran full airspace closure by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $476 @ 21.2¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $460 @ 92¢ — Iran full airspace closure by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $260 @ 12.2¢ — Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,529 @ 28¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 5¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedSOLD No $919 @ 59.1¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $28 @ 9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $195 @ 63¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $28 @ 2.9¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $72 @ 76¢ — Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $275 @ 74.3¢ — Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.17¢ — Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $53 @ 7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $53 @ 7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $92 @ 12¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,740 @ 58¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $590 @ 86¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $48 @ 16¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $519 @ 12¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,640 @ 88¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 14.5¢ — Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $507 @ 96.5¢ — Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $210 @ 28.1¢ — Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $404 @ 20.2¢ — Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $619 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 43.7¢ — Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $60 @ 41.9¢ — Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $16 @ 3.1¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,853 @ 97.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $108 @ 84¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $198 @ 75¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $75 @ 75¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23 @ 62¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $713 @ 59¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14 @ 23¢ — Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $396 @ 58.9¢ — No one announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $103 @ 41¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $63 @ 4.1¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $736 @ 58¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $296 @ 21¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $499 @ 20¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $307 @ 18¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $677 @ 35¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $818 @ 62¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $832 @ 26¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $344 @ 62¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $150 @ 74.5¢ — Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $905 @ 19¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $101 @ 72¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $76 @ 76¢ — Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 25¢ — Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,943 @ 78¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,108 @ 19.2¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $187 @ 55.2¢ — Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $320 @ 64¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $5,532 @ 93¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $194 @ 90¢ — Iran full airspace closure by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $86 @ 13¢ — Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $243 @ 14.9¢ — Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $117 @ 57¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $590 @ 59¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 99.5¢ — Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,176 @ 47¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $83 @ 15¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $76 @ 30¢ — Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $184 @ 46¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $642 @ 31¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $140 @ 14¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $560 @ 14¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $79 @ 8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,435 @ 46¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 14¢ — Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49 @ 15.7¢ — Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $102 @ 12.1¢ — Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 22¢ — Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT MP $229 @ 84.4¢ — Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $650 @ 65¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,555 @ 64¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $680 @ 80¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $640 @ 16¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 75¢ — Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $40 @ 23.5¢ — Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $119 @ 39.7¢ — Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $59 @ 59¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $173 @ 68¢ — Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $177 @ 65¢ — Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,373 @ 98.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $155 @ 62¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,204 @ 79¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $142 @ 63¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $271 @ 52¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $360 @ 24¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $112 @ 16¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $117 @ 60¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $1,800 @ 60¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f · ← All whale receipts