afonsoo003Verified0x0c3d…f757

Every $100 on their bets came back as $105.43 · 179 bets settled since May 13

Why verified
  • 40 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $101.59 back per $100 — above $100
  • Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (673 left out). Checked 2026-11-07 00:21 UTC.

$100 on each bet, net · cumulative$500$1,000break-evenMayJulAugSepOctNov 4+$972$100 on each bet, net · cumulative$500$1,000break-evenMayJulAugSepOctNov 4+$972
Best at Soccer · $100 → $107last 10

Open bets you can still get in on

Track record

Settled bets · newest first$100 result
  • No · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$17,000 at 95¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $16,830left out of every figure—
  • Yes · Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?$219 at 78.1¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
  • Yes · Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?$137 at 93.8¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
  • 5 bets at 97¢ or more · $49,055left out of every figure—
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?$25 at 69¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$14 at 70¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?$20 at 95¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?$14 at 70¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?$14 at 70¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?$14 at 70¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre?$10 at 48¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,700left out of every figure—
    • Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,700 at 99.1¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 1.5$3 at 65¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$54
  • No · Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Ningbo, China?$18 at 91.5¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
  • No · Will Marie Bouzkova win the 2026 Ningbo, China?$76 at 96.7¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $375left out of every figure—
  • Yes · Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?$483 at 94.6¢ · Oct 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
  • Yes · Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?$47 at 94¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $200left out of every figure—
  • Yes · Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?$1,000 at 95¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $50left out of every figure—
  • Over · Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5 Corners$500 at 96¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
  • 6 bets at 97¢ or more · $3,027left out of every figure—
  • No · Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?$4 at 0.6¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Yes · Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?$140 at 31.1¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$222
  • No · Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?$3 at 27.6¢ · Oct 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • No · Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?$21 at 75¢ · Oct 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,000left out of every figure—
  • No · Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?$477 at 88.5¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $484left out of every figure—
  • Yes · Over $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?$12 at 24.5¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • 2 bets at 97¢ or more · $112left out of every figure—
    • Yes · Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$37 at 97.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
    • No · Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$75 at 99¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Over · Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5$8 at 80¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $841left out of every figure—
  • Yes · CD Mafra vs. FC Tirsense: Both Teams to Score$50 at 57¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
  • Over · CD Mafra vs. FC Tirsense: O/U 1.5$9 at 85¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
  • 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $50left out of every figure—
  • Yes · Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?$300 at 96.3¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4

The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 179 settled bets.

9 more open bets

By topic · $100 →

  • Soccer96 bets$107
  • Other29 bets$102
  • Sports18 bets$107
  • Politics10 bets$144
  • Tennis7 bets$69
  • Esports6 bets$89
  • Weather6 bets$89
  • Crypto4 bets$87
  • NBA3 bets$121
Polymarket’s own figures: realized −$8,976 · unrealized −$342 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.

Why verified

  • 40 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $101.59 back per $100 — above $100
  • Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (673 left out). Checked 2026-11-07 00:21 UTC.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Fine print

Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x0c3d8f1e50210165a1fe186ef45c540fcff7f757 · ← All whale receipts

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.