No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
$4,917 at 62.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62.8¢ pays $159
rigatohni0x12e4…dfc2
Every $100 on their bets came back as $341.06 · 77 bets settled since May 14
Why verified
- 45 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $178.19 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (11 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $327last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$3,499 at 11.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11.1¢ pays $902No · Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
$2,856 at 57¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57¢ pays $175
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?$22 at 87¢ · Oct 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?$2,701 at 24.9¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?$19 at 4.9¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?$261 at 82.8¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$172 at 0.84¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?$373 at 58.9¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$70
- Yes · Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?$43 at 8.2¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?$98 at 7¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,325
- Yes · Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?$1,082 at 19.5¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
3 bets at 97¢ or more · $616left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?$216 at 99.9¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?$136 at 99.8¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?$264 at 99.9¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?$128 at 78¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?$100 at 27¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$270
- No · Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?$274 at 11.8¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$745
- Yes · Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?$119 at 11.2¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$797
- Yes · Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention?$97 at 61¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- No · Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?$147 at 74.3¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- No · Will Trump say "Vegan" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?$134 at 84¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- No · Will Trump say "Rigged Election" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?$171 at 75¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- No · Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$140 at 17¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$9 at 85¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$843 at 17¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$488
- No · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$1,074 at 17.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$459
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026?$53 at 58.8¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$70
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026?$1 at 45¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$719 at 33.8¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?$47 at 93¢ · Aug 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?$3,414 at 41.1¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$143
- No · Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?$3,368 at 49.8¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$101
- Yes · Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA?$86 at 21.7¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?$180 at 32.7¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?$123 at 27¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?$5 at 45¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$86 at 47.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$111
- No · Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$999 at 50¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$152 at 45.9¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$3,054 at 49¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
- Yes · Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$97 at 16.7¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$2,307 at 76.9¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- Yes · Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?$162 at 81¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?$71 at 85¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?$345 at 59¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$6 at 10.4¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$862
- No · Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$84 at 82.8¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?$1,089 at 28.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?$179 at 9.9¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$907
- Yes · Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?$28 at 3.9¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2,466
- No · Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?$1,832 at 76.2¢ · May 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$31
- No · Will Trump attend his son's wedding?$4,443 at 64.2¢ · May 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 77 settled bets.
3 more open bets
Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?
$1,441 at 62.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62.5¢ pays $160Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?
$908 at 57¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57¢ pays $175No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
$549 at 57¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57¢ pays $175
By topic · $100 →
- Politics66 bets$327
- Crypto4 bets$155
- Other4 bets$101
- Culture2 bets$1,786
- Tech1 bets$115
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$71,481 · unrealized −$6,943 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 45 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $178.19 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (11 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x12e45413131aedc46b68a127354831300485dfc2 · ← All whale receipts