Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
$14,522 at 74¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74¢ pays $135
firegold0x1d5f…634d
Every $100 on their bets came back as $106.22 · 197 bets settled since Apr 20
Why verified
- 86 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $102.27 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-06 17:08 UTC.
Best at Economy · $100 → $116last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
$13,975 at 82.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.9¢ pays $121Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
$9,094 at 60.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 60.6¢ pays $165
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$42 at 70¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?$14 at 76¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?$22 at 85.1¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?$186 at 69¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?$1,052 at 54.4¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$84
- Yes · Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?$693 at 58.1¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?$75 at 55¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Yes · No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?$1,610 at 67.7¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?$1,691 at 50.6¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$98
- Yes · No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$3,773 at 87.3¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$5,293 at 82.8¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$8,122 at 71.7¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$17,946 at 89.8¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$1,017 at 77.4¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$29
- Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2,256 at 64.1¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$55 at 78¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$10,441 at 49.4¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September?$37 at 11.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?$42 at 47¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Yes · Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?$61 at 49¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
- Yes · Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?$148 at 54¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?$150 at 46¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- No · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?$4,499 at 95.5¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?$34 at 68¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Yes · Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?$16 at 59¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$329 at 59.4¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$191 at 69¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$6,267 at 75.1¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- Yes · Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?$9 at 17.3¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?$9 at 46¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Yes · Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$108 at 37¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$170
- Yes · Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$19 at 33¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?$10,130 at 91.1¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- No · Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?$1,541 at 90¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?$430 at 25.9¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$286
- Yes · Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?$396 at 24.7¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$305
- Yes · Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?$76 at 60.3¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$66
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$1,069 at 58¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$626 at 85.7¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$846 at 72.5¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$38
- Yes · Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?$81 at 54¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Yes · Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?$913 at 63.3¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$58
- Yes · Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?$31 at 61¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?$936 at 33.8¢ · Aug 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$1,193 at 90.4¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?$236 at 61¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- Yes · Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?$1 at 49¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
- Yes · Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$283 at 43.1¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$132
- Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$159 at 64.9¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$54
- Yes · Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?$6 at 31¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 197 settled bets.
32 more open bets
Yes · Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
$7,247 at 72¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 72¢ pays $139Yes · No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
$6,915 at 74.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.2¢ pays $135Yes · Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
$6,360 at 86.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.9¢ pays $115Yes · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
$6,246 at 81.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.3¢ pays $123No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
$5,135 at 85.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.6¢ pays $117Yes · Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
$3,806 at 79.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.9¢ pays $125No · Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
$3,028 at 73.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73.9¢ pays $135No · Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
$1,501 at 69.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69.5¢ pays $144Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$1,265 at 11¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $909No · Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
$1,238 at 61.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.7¢ pays $162Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
$1,228 at 59.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 59.1¢ pays $169Yes · No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
$1,196 at 78.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.5¢ pays $127No · Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$954 at 95.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.4¢ pays $105No · Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
$930 at 47.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47.4¢ pays $211Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$889 at 88.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.9¢ pays $112Yes · Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
$789 at 61.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.1¢ pays $164Yes · Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
$753 at 54¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54¢ pays $185Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
$670 at 67¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67¢ pays $149Yes · No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
$662 at 77.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.3¢ pays $129Yes · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
$650 at 13¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13¢ pays $769Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
$600 at 61¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61¢ pays $164Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
$341 at 82.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.5¢ pays $121No · UK Recession in 2026?
$291 at 87¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$229 at 91.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.7¢ pays $109No · Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
$180 at 84.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.9¢ pays $118No · Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
$170 at 85¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85¢ pays $118No · Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?
$111 at 56¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56¢ pays $179Yes · Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
$90 at 45¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 45¢ pays $222Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
$46 at 23¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23¢ pays $435Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?
$5 at 36¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36¢ pays $278Yes · Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?
$4 at 34¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 34¢ pays $294Yes · Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?
$1 at 11¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $909
By topic · $100 →
- Economy102 bets$116
- Other35 bets$100
- Politics35 bets$80
- Soccer13 bets$104
- Crypto12 bets$118
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$46,421 · unrealized +$9,203 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 86 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $102.27 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-06 17:08 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d · ← All whale receipts