No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$46,382 at 65.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 65.5¢ pays $153
rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9
Every $100 on their bets came back as $96.42 · 241 bets settled since Mar 25
Why verified
- 39 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.12 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 9 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (7 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $107last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$19,777 at 46.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46.2¢ pays $216No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$18,541 at 61.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.8¢ pays $162
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$30,005 at 44¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- No · Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1,047 at 95.1¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3,838 at 57.7¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$73
- Yes · Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$212 at 41¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,934 at 39.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Pacers · Pacers vs. Pelicans$2,500 at 45¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Thunder · Thunder vs. Spurs$3,500 at 63¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
- No · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$14 at 67.7¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$28 at 72.1¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$13 at 1.3¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$15 at 6.9¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?$15 at 1¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$533 at 21.1¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$374
- No · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$66 at 71.6¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$40
- No · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$188 at 73.1¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- No · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$435 at 94.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Raiders · Chiefs vs. Raiders$2,791 at 33.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Rams · Rams vs. Eagles$778 at 14¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$614
- Patriots · Patriots vs. Bills$4,778 at 30.7¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$226
- Penn State · Penn State vs. Northwestern$2,333 at 35¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Islanders · Islanders vs. Maple Leafs$3,704 at 44.7¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Blackhawks · Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights$1,000 at 30¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Ravens · Ravens vs. Cowboys$15,171 at 40.7¢ · Sep 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$146
- Falcons · Spread: Packers (-4.5)$1 at 44¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- Rams · Spread: Rams (-7.5)$3,911 at 44¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- Rams · Giants vs. Rams$10,232 at 70.8¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- Colts · Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)$1,184 at 43¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$133
- Colts · Colts vs. Chiefs$1,367 at 41¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Ole Miss · LSU vs. Ole Miss$3,784 at 48.3¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$107
- Atlanta Braves · Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves$1,222 at 55¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$5 at 47.9¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$109
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$5 at 14.1¢ · Aug 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$44 at 1.1¢ · Aug 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs$714 at 19¢ · Aug 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Taylor Fritz · Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima$3,112 at 56.6¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Team Yandex · Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs$11 at 36¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$178
- No · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2,044 at 79.4¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$26
- Iron Wing · Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$3,160 at 36.1¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$44 at 31.3¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$12 at 21¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$4,708 at 24.7¢ · Aug 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$305
- Yes · Trump out as President before GTA VI?$2 at 50¢ · Aug 1 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$109 at 54.6¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$10 at 69.3¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$44
- No · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$78 at 85.2¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$2,196 at 27.1¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$5 at 0.4¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$53 at 96.4¢ · Jul 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$576 at 59¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23,693 at 84.7¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 241 settled bets.
46 more open bets
No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$18,371 at 75.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.5¢ pays $132No · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
$6,198 at 62¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161Yes · Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
$5,699 at 18.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 18.3¢ pays $546No · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$4,618 at 56.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56.3¢ pays $178Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$2,756 at 62¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161Yes · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,665 at 7.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.8¢ pays $1,285No · Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$2,588 at 14.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14.6¢ pays $687No · Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
$2,374 at 21.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.8¢ pays $459Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$2,231 at 50.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.2¢ pays $199No · Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
$2,066 at 10.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.3¢ pays $968No · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$1,966 at 59¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 59¢ pays $169No · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,860 at 77.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.7¢ pays $129No · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
$1,784 at 39.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 39.6¢ pays $253Yes · Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,721 at 58.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 58.4¢ pays $171Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,672 at 13.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13.1¢ pays $765No · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$1,409 at 51¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51¢ pays $196Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1,360 at 15.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15.3¢ pays $654Yes · Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1,343 at 2.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,115Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$1,200 at 54¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54¢ pays $185No · Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
$758 at 4.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.4¢ pays $2,273No · Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$622 at 56¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56¢ pays $179Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$519 at 2.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.8¢ pays $3,636No · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$460 at 89.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.6¢ pays $112Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
$333 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$328 at 10¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385Yes · Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$94 at 0.65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.65¢ pays $15,385
By topic · $100 →
- Politics107 bets$107
- Soccer66 bets$79
- NBA22 bets$80
- NHL21 bets$83
- NFL9 bets$235
- Crypto5 bets$69
- Esports3 bets$93
- Sports3 bets$69
- Economy2 bets$0
- MLB1 bets$182
- Tech1 bets$0
- Tennis1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$285,755 · unrealized +$13,801 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 39 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.12 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 9 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (7 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9 · ← All whale receipts