q1360840x2140…0e12

Every $100 on their bets came back as $97.16 · 384 bets settled since Sep 13

Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
  • 384 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $86.21 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
  • Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-01 20:50 UTC.

$100 on each bet, net · cumulative−$1,500−$1,000−$500break-evenSepOct 1−$1,089$100 on each bet, net · cumulative−$1,500−$1,000−$500break-evenSepOct 1−$1,089
Best at Weather · $100 → $104last 10

Open bets you can still get in on

Track record

Settled bets · newest first$100 result
  • Alliance · Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$5,327 at 48.3¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$107
  • Bushido Wildcats · LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$174 at 52¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
  • Noir Verse · Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage$143 at 40.7¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$146
  • aimclub · Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs aimclub (BO1) - FOX Legacy Cup Group A$29 at 41¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
  • ABT Esports · Counter-Strike: ABT Esports vs Next UP (BO1) - FOX Legacy Cup Group A$86 at 42¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$138
  • NAVI Junior · Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Falcons Force (BO1) - FOX Legacy Cup Group A$58 at 42¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$138
  • XLG Gaming · Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D$264 at 16¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • TYLOO · Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)$18 at 47¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
  • Cloud Dawning · Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage$27 at 28.5¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Chinese Taipei · LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei (BO3) - Asian Games Playoffs$75 at 49¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
  • Vietnam · LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei (BO3) - Asian Games Playoffs$301 at 51.5¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • QUINTESSÊNCIA · Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 2 Winner$31 at 46.5¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$115
  • Team Phantasma · LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$325 at 51¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
  • Geekay Esports · Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage$24 at 41¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Team Phantasma · LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner$162 at 51¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • eSuba · LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner$2 at 13¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Valerion · LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 1 Winner$245 at 34.6¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • FUT Esports · Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A$179 at 28¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$25 at 49¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
  • Frites Esports Club · LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$1,666 at 61.8¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$62
  • Geekay Esports · Rainbow Six Siege: Geekay Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage$32 at 42.7¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • NRG · Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D$26 at 55.4¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$80
  • Under · Games Total: O/U 4.5$145 at 69¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • DN SOOPers Challengers · LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs$8 at 21.5¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$365
  • Saint Sinners · Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In$21 at 18¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • FUT Esports · Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$380 at 64¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
  • FlyQuest · Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 Winner$18 at 71¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
  • FlyQuest · Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs$396 at 76.9¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
  • ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · LoL: Solary vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs$83 at 24¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • 100 Thieves · Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)$7 at 49¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
  • Shopify Rebellion · Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)$40 at 34¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Rooster · Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs$48 at 49¢ · Sep 26 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • M80 · Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs$94 at 43.8¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Over · Games Total: O/U 2.5$9 at 45¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
  • QUINTESSÊNCIA · Map Handicap: QUIN (-1.5) vs MEIA NOITE (+1.5)$47 at 23¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • QUINTESSÊNCIA · Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage$292 at 41.9¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Over · Games Total: O/U 2.5$94 at 44.3¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • QUINTESSÊNCIA · Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winner$132 at 46¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • FURIA Esports · LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winner$352 at 68.9¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Over · Games Total: O/U 2.5$2 at 48¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
  • Over · Games Total: O/U 2.5$4 at 34¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Noir Verse · Map Handicap: ILLYR (-1.5) vs Noir Verse (+1.5)$9 at 45¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
  • Heroic · Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$107 at 39.8¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$151
  • PCIFIC · LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs PCIFIC (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$101 at 39¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs PCIFIC (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$92 at 60.3¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$66
  • FURIA Esports · LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner$170 at 69¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • The Otter Side · LoL: NightBirds vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$87 at 22¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
  • SU Esports · LoL: Team Phantasma vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$396 at 71¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
  • FURIA Esports · LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner$699 at 68.5¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$46
  • Under · Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$49 at 49¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104

The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 384 settled bets.

8 more open bets

By topic · $100 →

  • Esports178 bets$86
  • Other153 bets$118
  • Weather23 bets$104
  • Sports12 bets$40
  • Soccer11 bets$36
  • Crypto2 bets$102
  • Politics2 bets$0
  • Tennis2 bets$0
  • MLB1 bets$435
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$528 · unrealized −$6,753 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.

Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100

  • 384 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $86.21 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
  • Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-01 20:50 UTC.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)

Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.

Fine print

Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x214039968998abdcdbd998d15d699296f3570e12 · ← All whale receipts

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.