Yes · Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$681 at 0.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.8¢ pays $12,500
0x2ce8…4527
Every $100 on their bets came back as $103.45 · 438 bets settled since Aug 4
Why verified
- 62 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.98 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 6 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (7 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at MLB · $100 → $134last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$600 at 1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1¢ pays $10,000Yes · Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$536 at 1.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.2¢ pays $8,333
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Marshall · Spread: Marshall (-2.5)$119 at 53¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$89
- Marshall · Spread: Marshall (-3.5)$1,849 at 46¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Duke · Spread: Duke (-7.5)$484 at 46¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Pacers · Spread: 76ers (-7.5)$1,019 at 51¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Heat · Spread: Hawks (-3.5)$401 at 52¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- Lakers · Spread: Lakers (-3.5)$430 at 48¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Knicks · Pistons vs. Knicks$197 at 60¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- Celtics · Spread: Celtics (-11.5)$371 at 50¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Jazz · Grizzlies vs. Jazz$57,000 at 47.5¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Thunder · Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$993 at 51¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Over · Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5$3,468 at 49¢ · Oct 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
- Heather Watson · Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Alycia Parks$181 at 47¢ · Oct 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Virginia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 49.5$5,723 at 48¢ · Oct 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
- Loneer Kavanagh · UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$281 at 50¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Warriors · Grizzlies vs. Warriors$7,623 at 60¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Celtics · Spread: Celtics (-2.5)$305 at 50¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Pelicans · Spread: Pacers (-3.5)$21,055 at 51¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Over · Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5$18,915 at 52¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 45.5$76 at 47¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5$2,201 at 52¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- 76ers · Spread: Knicks (-4.5)$10,000 at 50¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Mananchaya Sawangkaew · Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew$197 at 55¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Jelena Ostapenko · Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko$299 at 32¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$213
- Jasmine Paolini · Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal$5,909 at 54¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yulia Putintseva · Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez$1,538 at 55¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Tommy Paul · Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot$396 at 58¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- Yibing Wu · Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng$7,692 at 51¢ · Oct 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Mateus Soares · Dana White's Contender Series: Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi (Bantamweight, Main Card)$716 at 78¢ · Oct 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Alexandre Muller · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller$8,190 at 66.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)$1,989 at 29¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Dayana Yastremska · China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska$8 at 35¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$186
- Zhuoxuan Bai · China Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Linda Fruhvirtova$1,132 at 59¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Anhelina Kalinina · China Open: Janice Tjen vs Anhelina Kalinina$35 at 48¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Sacramento State · UMass vs. Sacramento State$25 at 36¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Melissa Amaya · UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$86 at 33¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Brady Hiestand · UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1,015 at 24¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$317
- Elves Brener · UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)$8,874 at 46¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Maria Timofeeva · Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova$3 at 58¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- Maya Joint · Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint$2 at 46¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Julia Grabher · Tolentino: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher$1,116 at 59¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$70
- Yexin Ma · Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell$213 at 32¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Akira Santillan · Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan$18 at 35¢ · Sep 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Piero Guaylupo · Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)$4,500 at 50¢ · Sep 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Gabriela Ruse · Korea Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ruse$902 at 58¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- Darya Astakhova · Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette$18 at 35¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$186
- Katie Volynets · Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalieva$6,753 at 75¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- Akbar Abdullaev · Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)$126 at 92.4¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Lucrezia Stefanini · Sao Paulo Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Nadia Podoroska$107 at 67.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Lucie Havlickova · Montreux: Fiona Ferro vs Lucie Havlickova$728 at 35¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Kaitlin Quevedo · Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$9,772 at 56¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 438 settled bets.
5 more open bets
Yes · Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$450 at 0.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.9¢ pays $11,111Yes · Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$196 at 1.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.4¢ pays $7,143Yes · Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
$33 at 25¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 25¢ pays $400No · Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
$9 at 9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 9¢ pays $1,111Yes · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$1 at 11.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11.1¢ pays $901
By topic · $100 →
- Sports126 bets$77
- MLB108 bets$134
- Tennis61 bets$118
- MMA41 bets$86
- Other31 bets$116
- NBA23 bets$107
- Politics23 bets$89
- NFL13 bets$124
- Esports3 bets$64
- Soccer3 bets$145
- Culture2 bets$0
- Economy2 bets$0
- NHL1 bets$0
- Tech1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$5,041,332 · unrealized −$1,453 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 62 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.98 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 6 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (7 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x2ce8505aa641791eb8460f6ac6bf5c0511e34527 · ← All whale receipts