Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$117,708 at 69.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69.5¢ pays $144
themain0x2f9d…deb3
Every $100 on their bets came back as $135.96 · 39 bets settled since Dec 4
Why verified
- 30 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $131.24 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1 left out). Checked 2026-10-15 23:17 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $157last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$16,099 at 76.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76.9¢ pays $130Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
$4,310 at 45.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 45.1¢ pays $222
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?$9 at 95.6¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?$3,904 at 78.9¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?$966 at 67.9¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$4,892 at 74.5¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Yes · Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$956 at 64.8¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$54
- No · Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$584 at 67¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Yes · Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$3,961 at 57.6¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$74
- Yes · Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$102 at 38¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$17,937 at 72.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- No · Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$87 at 81.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$2,363 at 93.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?$407 at 72¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- Yes · Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?$116 at 82.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?$439 at 53.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$86
- Yes · Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?$668 at 52.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$90
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,914left out of every figure—
- No · Will Pedro Paulo win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?$1,914 at 97.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?$331 at 49.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$72 at 71.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$40
- Yes · Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$265 at 55¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?$348 at 34.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$190
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?$157 at 36¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$178
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$684 at 96.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$251 at 96.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$243 at 29.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$238
- No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$82 at 26.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$272
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$672 at 30.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$223
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$932 at 30.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$224
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$13 at 95.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$207 at 29.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$239
- No · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1,740 at 75¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1,950 at 75¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- Yes · Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?$109 at 46¢ · Feb 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?$299 at 35.2¢ · Jan 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?$0 at 61¢ · Dec 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?$358 at 59.7¢ · Dec 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$10 at 68.6¢ · Dec 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$46
- Yes · Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?$100 at 74¢ · Dec 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- Yes · Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?$260 at 56¢ · Dec 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?$10 at 71¢ · Dec 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- Yes · Will Leicester win on 2024-12-03?$100 at 56¢ · Dec 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
7 more open bets
Yes · Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
$703 at 20.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20.1¢ pays $497No · Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
$507 at 21.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.3¢ pays $469No · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
$408 at 78¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78¢ pays $128Yes · Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
$313 at 85¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85¢ pays $118Yes · Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?
$208 at 37.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37.5¢ pays $267No · Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
$97 at 84.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.2¢ pays $119Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
$74 at 74.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.3¢ pays $135
By topic · $100 →
- Politics30 bets$157
- Other4 bets$114
- Sports3 bets$0
- Crypto2 bets$73
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$19,366 · unrealized +$18,508 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 30 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $131.24 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1 left out). Checked 2026-10-15 23:17 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x2f9da73ca8430dc4bdbd75f9c76d91592ca5deb3 · ← All whale receipts