No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$27,000 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111
Ryxon210x3dca…3c13
Every $100 on their bets came back as $114.32 · 221 bets settled since May 26
Why verified
- 164 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.89 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (15 left out). Checked 2026-10-18 21:06 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $113last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
$25,153 at 67.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.3¢ pays $149No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$19,002 at 76¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76¢ pays $132
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$347 at 80.1¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?$264 at 37.4¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$167
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$137 at 40¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$220 at 56.9¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$76
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$392 at 19¢ · Oct 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$65 at 94¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?$50 at 14.6¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$585
- Yes · Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$7 at 16¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$524
- Yes · Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$35 at 16.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$7 at 11.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Soninha Francine win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$4 at 90¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Tiago win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?$95 at 89.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?$90 at 49.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Angelo Coronel win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?$17 at 9.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?$38 at 81¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will Tiago win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?$37 at 90¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?$25 at 83¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · Will Janaina Riva win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?$1 at 5.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?$344 at 42.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$134
- Yes · Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?$93 at 47.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?$289 at 82.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · Will Chico Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?$4 at 7.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?$151 at 58¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- Yes · Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?$24 at 17.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$476
- No · Will Dr. Wanderley win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?$56 at 92¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$11 at 53¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$32 at 32¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$213
- No · Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$61 at 52.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$89
- Yes · Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$2,047 at 45.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$489 at 47.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$2,874 at 48.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$107
- No · Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$459 at 46.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$8,554 at 64.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$55
- No · Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$853 at 64.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$54
- Yes · Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$1,226 at 39.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?$422 at 52.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- No · Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?$83 at 41¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
- Yes · Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$886 at 45.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$118
- No · Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$197 at 92.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Pedro Abib win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?$41 at 89.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will Marcos Rogério win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?$8 at 38¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$163
- Yes · Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?$262 at 86¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- Yes · Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?$387 at 94.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Dr. Helton win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?$129 at 92.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?$398 at 74¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- No · Will Taty Cristina de Jesus win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?$129 at 92.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Emanuel Cacho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?$65 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Ricardo Marques win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?$66 at 91.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?$120 at 14.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$1,762 at 49¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 221 settled bets.
47 more open bets
Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$14,998 at 79.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.9¢ pays $125Yes · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
$11,505 at 92¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Iran Nuke before 2027?
$6,434 at 91.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.8¢ pays $109No · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$4,600 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$4,349 at 87¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$3,459 at 69.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69.2¢ pays $145Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?
$3,063 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105Yes · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
$2,416 at 62.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62.2¢ pays $161No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
$2,220 at 73¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137No · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$2,189 at 73¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137Yes · Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
$2,122 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
$2,000 at 50¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200Yes · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
$1,959 at 49.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 49.6¢ pays $202No · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$1,940 at 38.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 38.8¢ pays $258Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?
$1,636 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?
$1,566 at 94.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.2¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?
$1,461 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?
$1,407 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
$1,326 at 94.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.3¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
$1,276 at 49.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 49.6¢ pays $201Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?
$1,250 at 95.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.9¢ pays $104Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?
$1,180 at 94.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.3¢ pays $106No · Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?
$1,166 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the Republican Party win the IL-09 House seat?
$1,157 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?
$1,152 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat?
$1,004 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106Yes · Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
$1,003 at 23.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23.9¢ pays $419Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?
$992 at 94.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?
$980 at 94.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.2¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?
$978 at 94.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.5¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?
$950 at 94.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.2¢ pays $106Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
$934 at 93.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.8¢ pays $107Yes · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
$910 at 12.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 12.4¢ pays $805Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?
$886 at 94.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.7¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?
$848 at 94.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.3¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?
$838 at 87¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?
$808 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?
$800 at 94.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.5¢ pays $106No · Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?
$800 at 95.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.6¢ pays $105Yes · Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
$786 at 94.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?
$767 at 94.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106Yes · Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
$766 at 60.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 60.5¢ pays $165Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
$759 at 47.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47.8¢ pays $209No · Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?
$750 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will the Republican Party win the DE-AL House seat?
$742 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106Yes · Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$732 at 48.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48.5¢ pays $206Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
$711 at 94.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106
By topic · $100 →
- Politics199 bets$113
- Other14 bets$118
- F16 bets$165
- Soccer2 bets$83
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$146,916 · unrealized +$14,945 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 164 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.89 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (15 left out). Checked 2026-10-18 21:06 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x3dca854f147d9b9ecc56d37800f36b347ce23c13 · ← All whale receipts