No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$21,577 at 86.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.3¢ pays $116
whig0x40cf…d21d
Every $100 on their bets came back as $153.15 · 197 bets settled since May 25
Why verified
- 87 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $124.47 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (4 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $157last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
$20,305 at 67.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.6¢ pays $148No · Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
$18,648 at 93.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.2¢ pays $107
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?$327 at 29¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$452 at 33¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?$1,180 at 83.6¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$1,693 at 57¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$76
- No · Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$158 at 10¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$3,808 at 95.2¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$119 at 42.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$133
- No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$2,131 at 74.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$1,114 at 27.8¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$189 at 24¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$402 at 23.2¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$330
- Yes · Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$937 at 58.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$96 at 17¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$488
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$337 at 35¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$186
- Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?$3,377 at 66.8¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$50
- Yes · Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?$372 at 13¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$666
- No · Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?$3 at 68¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Yes · Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?$9,456 at 67.9¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?$577 at 91¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?$40 at 16¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$525
- Yes · Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?$1,115 at 85.6¢ · Oct 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?$760 at 88.1¢ · Oct 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
- Yes · Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?$314 at 38.1¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$162
- Yes · Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?$3,842 at 67.7¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$48
- Hanwha Eagles · KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles$700 at 35¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Kia Tigers · KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers$2,323 at 81.4¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- Yes · Spain snap election called by October 31?$814 at 53.2¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$88
- Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$950 at 19¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$844 at 7.2¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$1,316 at 32.8¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?$713 at 39.4¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$21 at 16¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?$920 at 14.3¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$600
- Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$380 at 76¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Yes · Trump renames AI by September 30?$770 at 77¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?$928 at 81.3¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$2,158 at 84¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?$24 at 8¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$30 at 4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$606 at 26.2¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$282
- No · Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?$704 at 80¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
- Yes · Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?$6 at 50¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$57 at 81.4¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$1,192 at 71.5¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$235 at 29.8¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$235
- Yes · Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$557 at 37¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?$5,037 at 25.8¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?$2,237 at 23.2¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?$91 at 13¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?$2,554 at 91.2¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 197 settled bets.
44 more open bets
No · Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
$11,530 at 63.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 63.8¢ pays $157Yes · Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
$8,275 at 93.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.7¢ pays $107Yes · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$7,836 at 77.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.7¢ pays $129No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$7,297 at 52.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52.1¢ pays $192No · Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
$5,459 at 68.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 68.2¢ pays $147No · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$4,660 at 83.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.7¢ pays $119No · Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$4,600 at 73¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137No · Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
$3,840 at 64¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64¢ pays $156Yes · Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$3,665 at 0.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.6¢ pays $16,667Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
$3,599 at 45¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 45¢ pays $222No · Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
$3,063 at 55.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55.6¢ pays $180Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
$2,867 at 81.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.5¢ pays $123Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,846 at 5.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.6¢ pays $1,773Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$2,775 at 56.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56.8¢ pays $176No · Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
$2,648 at 88¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114No · Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
$2,175 at 87¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115No · Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
$1,950 at 66.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66.7¢ pays $150No · SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
$1,725 at 75.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.7¢ pays $132No · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$1,623 at 67¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67¢ pays $149No · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$1,562 at 78.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.1¢ pays $128Yes · Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
$1,427 at 71.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.4¢ pays $140No · Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
$1,304 at 76.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76.4¢ pays $131No · Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
$1,297 at 57.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57.9¢ pays $173No · Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$1,256 at 83.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.7¢ pays $119Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,122 at 3.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 3.4¢ pays $2,941No · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$949 at 89.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.8¢ pays $111Yes · Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?
$873 at 91.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.4¢ pays $109Yes · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$810 at 17.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17.6¢ pays $569Yes · Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?
$732 at 85.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.2¢ pays $117Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$694 at 7.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.4¢ pays $1,346Yes · Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
$685 at 73¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
$645 at 33¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303Yes · Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$532 at 4.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.9¢ pays $2,045No · Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
$483 at 88¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
$436 at 35.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35.8¢ pays $279Yes · Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
$432 at 24.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 24.3¢ pays $412Yes · US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$406 at 39.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 39.9¢ pays $251Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$387 at 27¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27¢ pays $371No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
$365 at 73¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137No · Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?
$321 at 75.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.1¢ pays $133No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
$320 at 64¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64¢ pays $156Yes · Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
$272 at 81.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.6¢ pays $123Yes · US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
$267 at 21.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.4¢ pays $468No · Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
$248 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108
By topic · $100 →
- Politics171 bets$157
- Other15 bets$91
- Soccer3 bets$220
- Economy2 bets$403
- NBA2 bets$95
- Sports2 bets$61
- Tech1 bets$116
- Weather1 bets$147
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$313,874 · unrealized +$38,948 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 87 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $124.47 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (4 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d · ← All whale receipts