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acm240x4283…fbd4

Every $100 on their bets came back as $96.56 · 627 bets settled since Jun 17

Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
  • 590 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $92.80 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
  • Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (106 left out). Checked 2026-10-17 00:29 UTC.

$100 on each bet, net · cumulative−$4,000−$3,000−$2,000−$1,000break-evenJunAugSepOct 17−$2,156$100 on each bet, net · cumulative−$4,000−$3,000−$2,000−$1,000break-evenJunAugSepOct 17−$2,156
Best at Soccer · $100 → $101last 10

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Track record

Settled bets · newest first$100 result

The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 627 settled bets.

By topic · $100 →

  • Crypto378 bets$97
  • Esports189 bets$94
  • Soccer46 bets$101
  • Other5 bets$107
  • Tennis4 bets$122
  • NBA2 bets$56
  • Sports2 bets$71
  • Politics1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$21,450 · unrealized −$351 · profile ↗
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.

Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100

  • 590 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $92.80 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
  • Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (106 left out). Checked 2026-10-17 00:29 UTC.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
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Fine print

Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x4283b8bae533091493790069509dabcdbe0afbd4 · ← All whale receipts

Gaps close in hours.

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