Yes · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$40,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
M8880x4344…f90d
Every $100 on their bets came back as $199.07 · 256 bets settled since Dec 28
Why verified
- 43 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $102.75 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (93 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $206last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$40,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200No · Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
$2,456 at 19.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19.2¢ pays $522
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?$234 at 28.7¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?$398 at 6.3¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,483
- Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$37 at 1.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?$108 at 89.7¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$65 at 22¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1,551 at 24.2¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1,257 at 37.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$500 at 62.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$60
- No · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$169 at 60¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$97 at 10.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$604 at 14¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$614
- No · Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$65 at 15¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $2,562left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1,542 at 98¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1,020 at 98.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$1,180 at 16.7¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$115 at 15.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$11 at 7¢ · Nov 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,324
- Yes · Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$8 at 21.7¢ · Nov 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$3 at 95.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $77,610left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$77,610 at 99.8¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?$43 at 6.6¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026?$36 at 19.9¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $150left out of every figure—
- No · Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?$150 at 97.4¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?$1,399 at 92.2¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?$299 at 83.7¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?$63 at 6.1¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?$131 at 9.7¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?$42 at 25.1¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?$67 at 25¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$300
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?$163 at 36.8¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$172
- No · Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?$4 at 1.6¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?$42 at 8.2¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?$70 at 10.6¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $146left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?$146 at 97.4¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$5 at 3.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$3 at 3.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $317left out of every figure—
- No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?$317 at 97.1¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?$673 at 43.6¢ · Aug 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$129
- Yes · Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?$106 at 14.3¢ · Aug 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$112 at 23.7¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1,345 at 22.7¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?$0 at 0.1¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?$9 at 7.1¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$133 at 12¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$733
- Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$4,120 at 92.2¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$100 at 9¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$0 at 2¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$258 at 4.4¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2,175
- Yes · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$744 at 29.8¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$538 at 93.9¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 256 settled bets.
28 more open bets
No · U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
$1,620 at 68.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 68.2¢ pays $147Yes · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
$677 at 7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7¢ pays $1,431Yes · Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
$660 at 20.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20.2¢ pays $495Yes · Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
$638 at 29.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29.5¢ pays $339No · Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?
$562 at 88.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.5¢ pays $113Yes · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$552 at 3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 3¢ pays $3,333Yes · Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
$482 at 71¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71¢ pays $141No · Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
$445 at 81.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.8¢ pays $122Yes · Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$408 at 17.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17.4¢ pays $574Yes · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
$392 at 25.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 25.8¢ pays $388Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$336 at 3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 3¢ pays $3,333Yes · Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
$331 at 35.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35.5¢ pays $282No · Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
$321 at 81¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81¢ pays $123No · Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
$201 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109Yes · Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$189 at 15.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15.2¢ pays $660Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
$169 at 11.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11.2¢ pays $897Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?
$131 at 70¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 70¢ pays $143Yes · Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
$102 at 10.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.4¢ pays $962No · U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
$90 at 74.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.4¢ pays $134Yes · Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
$64 at 5.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.1¢ pays $1,946Yes · Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
$57 at 4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4¢ pays $2,469Yes · Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
$45 at 11¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $906Yes · Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?
$41 at 7.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.4¢ pays $1,355Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
$39 at 10.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.2¢ pays $978Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
$38 at 1.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.8¢ pays $5,587Yes · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
$35 at 32¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 32¢ pays $313Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
$33 at 33¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303Yes · Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?
$28 at 2.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.5¢ pays $4,000
By topic · $100 →
- Politics245 bets$206
- Culture5 bets$21
- Other4 bets$58
- Economy1 bets$104
- Soccer1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$261,576 · unrealized +$2,440 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 43 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $102.75 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (93 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x43440ab002eaac9fede6f9d21bea96d84228f90d · ← All whale receipts