Yes · Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
$20,664 at 83.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.9¢ pays $119
pkz0x49b6…170c
Every $100 on their bets came back as $146.41 · 318 bets settled since Mar 16
Why verified
- 60 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $108.38 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 6 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (78 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at Soccer · $100 → $199last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
$20,331 at 75.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.7¢ pays $132Yes · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$8,539 at 24.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 24.2¢ pays $413
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?$242 at 90.8¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- No · Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?$211 at 93.7¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- No · Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?$1,083 at 62.5¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$60
- No · Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?$198 at 96.6¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?$2,352 at 90.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10,665 at 73.3¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$36
- No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$722 at 61.5¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$63
- No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$22 at 22¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$355
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?$93 at 93.9¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?$49 at 82¢ · Oct 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?$309 at 96.7¢ · Oct 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?$155 at 73.1¢ · Oct 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- No · Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 15, 2026?$1,009 at 93.4¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.8 on October 16, 2026?$182 at 91¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.6 on October 16, 2026?$57 at 94.3¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.8 on October 16, 2026?$319 at 96.8¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?$242 at 94.5¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?$489 at 95.9¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,675left out of every figure—
- Yes · Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?$1,588 at 99¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?$87 at 99¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 12?$526 at 94.1¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 7?$35 at 77.9¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- No · Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?$3,440 at 86¢ · Oct 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $132left out of every figure—
- Yes · Spain snap election called by October 31?$132 at 98.8¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?$145 at 75.8¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $5,061left out of every figure—
- No · Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?$509 at 99¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Government shutdown by October 1?$4,552 at 99¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score$50 at 71.6¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$40
- Yes · CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?$841 at 77.4¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$29
- No · Will Trump say "Spain" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?$61 at 55¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 19?$57 at 46.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 18?$37 at 23.3¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$330
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 14?$10 at 46¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 17?$19 at 46.5¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 16?$420 at 92.3¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 15?$23 at 46.4¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$115
3 bets at 97¢ or more · $597left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?$46 at 99.7¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?$110 at 99.2¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?$442 at 99.3¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines this week?$108 at 94.7¢ · Sep 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $597left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?$597 at 98.9¢ · Sep 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week?$43 at 36¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $254left out of every figure—
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 10?$254 at 98¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will Trump say "Transgender" 3+ times during RNC Convention?$30 at 10¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$900
- Yes · Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention?$15 at 24.9¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?$461 at 66.6¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$50
- No · Will King Charles III attend King Harald V's funeral?$566 at 96.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $107left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 8?$82 at 98.7¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 7?$25 at 99¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?$325 at 26.1¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 318 settled bets.
42 more open bets
No · Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?
$4,899 at 92¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
$4,211 at 88.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.8¢ pays $113No · Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?
$3,134 at 88.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.8¢ pays $113Yes · Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
$2,575 at 44.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 44.7¢ pays $224Yes · Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$2,221 at 78.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.5¢ pays $127No · Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?
$1,852 at 95.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.7¢ pays $104No · Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
$642 at 66.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66.4¢ pays $151Yes · Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
$538 at 78.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.8¢ pays $127No · Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats?
$495 at 75.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.2¢ pays $133No · Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
$470 at 10.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.3¢ pays $976Yes · SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
$366 at 33¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303No · Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
$241 at 95.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.2¢ pays $105No · Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$226 at 90.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90.5¢ pays $110No · Will Podemos win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$201 at 93.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.4¢ pays $107No · Will BNG win 4 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$194 at 88.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.4¢ pays $113Yes · Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
$192 at 91.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.8¢ pays $109Yes · Will PP win the most seats in A Coruña in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$184 at 77.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.5¢ pays $129No · Will Vox win the most seats in Soria in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$172 at 81.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.3¢ pays $123No · Will Podemos win the most seats in Almería in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$164 at 95.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.9¢ pays $104No · Will Podemos win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$141 at 91.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.9¢ pays $109No · Will Vox win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$138 at 84.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.1¢ pays $119Yes · Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$128 at 52.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52.4¢ pays $191No · Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$121 at 93.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.2¢ pays $107Yes · Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
$115 at 5.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.2¢ pays $1,923No · Will Vox win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$114 at 89.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.9¢ pays $111Yes · Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
$106 at 19.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19.9¢ pays $502Yes · Will PP win the Melilla seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$98 at 64.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.5¢ pays $155Yes · Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
$94 at 8.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8.8¢ pays $1,143No · Will EH Bildu win 9 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$85 at 71.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.2¢ pays $141Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
$84 at 9.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 9.9¢ pays $1,011No · Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
$77 at 51.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.6¢ pays $194No · Will ERC win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$76 at 88.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.2¢ pays $113No · Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
$72 at 89.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.2¢ pays $112No · Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$70 at 93.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.2¢ pays $107No · Will BNG win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$70 at 58.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 58.2¢ pays $172No · Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$67 at 93.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.2¢ pays $107No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?
$65 at 84.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.8¢ pays $118Yes · Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$65 at 81¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81¢ pays $123Yes · Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat?
$48 at 79.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.8¢ pays $125No · Will Vox win the most seats in Alicante in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$37 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will Vox win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$32 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will Junts win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
$32 at 89.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.6¢ pays $112
By topic · $100 →
- Politics151 bets$143
- Soccer82 bets$199
- Culture39 bets$96
- Other17 bets$97
- Sports10 bets$187
- Crypto6 bets$90
- Tech5 bets$65
- Economy2 bets$0
- Golf2 bets$55
- Weather2 bets$108
- NBA1 bets$107
- Tennis1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$68,307 · unrealized +$26,024 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 60 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $108.38 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 6 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (78 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c · ← All whale receipts