Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$15,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
-Dominus-0x5415…2a6e
Every $100 on their bets came back as $139.57 · 429 bets settled since Jul 10
Why verified
- 392 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $130.33 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (24 left out). Checked 2026-10-17 00:29 UTC.
Best at NFL · $100 → $217last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$15,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200No · Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?
$269 at 78.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.8¢ pays $127
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?$12 at 40¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 16, 2026?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game?$110 at 36.5¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$174
- No · Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game?$130 at 32.4¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 3, 2026?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 15, 2026?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?$24 at 56¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- Yes · Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?$35 at 34¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "ICE" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$143 at 71.5¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$40
- Yes · Will Trump say "School Choice" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$86 at 23.9¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$18 at 57¢ · Oct 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $43left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$43 at 97¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$58 at 83.7¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Yes · Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$125 at 33¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$203
- No · Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?$2 at 36¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 14, 2026?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?$29 at 45.8¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?$41 at 81¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will Trump say "California" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?$7 at 57.5¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$74
- No · Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?$66 at 59.9¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- Yes · Will Trump say "Spoiler" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?$123 at 39.9¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "Mask" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?$1 at 83¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?$98 at 84.9¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Will Domino's say "Closure" during earnings call?$32 at 64¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- Yes · Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call?$135 at 90¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Domino's say "DoorDash" during earnings call?$69 at 69.5¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$44
- No · Will Trump say "Coal" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$108 at 43¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$133
- Yes · Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$99 at 68.9¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$39 at 83.4¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$9 at 63¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $10left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$10 at 99.9¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$11 at 13.5¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Ravens vs Falcons game?$47 at 31.3¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Ravens vs Falcons game?$25 at 9.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$918
- No · Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Ravens vs Falcons game?$169 at 61¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Ravens vs Falcons game?$19 at 38¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?$27 at 26.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- No · Will the announcers say "Turf" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?$19 at 37¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $10left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the announcers say "Safety" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?$10 at 99¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will the announcers say "No Good" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?$29 at 28.9¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$246
- No · Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game?$53 at 33.2¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$201
- No · Will Trump say "Helicopter" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?$15 at 52¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- Yes · Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?$112 at 56¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- No · Will Trump say "Cadillac" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?$42 at 66¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?$58 at 36¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$178
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026?$10 at 50¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?$14 at 5¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will JD Vance say "Job" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$19 at 94¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will JD Vance say "Family" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?$195 at 89.6¢ · Oct 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 429 settled bets.
7 more open bets
Yes · Will the announcers say "Wind" or "Windy" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game?
$94 at 63.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 63.6¢ pays $157No · Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
$82 at 58.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 58.7¢ pays $170Yes · Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game?
$55 at 50.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.4¢ pays $199No · Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?
$39 at 88.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.8¢ pays $113Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?
$10 at 50¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200No · Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?
$8 at 51¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51¢ pays $196No · Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
$2 at 23¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23¢ pays $435
By topic · $100 →
- Politics207 bets$117
- Other101 bets$155
- Sports52 bets$127
- NFL32 bets$217
- Culture25 bets$171
- Tech7 bets$155
- Soccer5 bets$232
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$37,593 · unrealized +$85 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 392 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $130.33 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (24 left out). Checked 2026-10-17 00:29 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x5415c298dde8c84f4ba726d36b411df6e9a72a6e · ← All whale receipts