Yes · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$62,006 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56
Every $100 on their bets came back as $110.03 · 365 bets settled since Sep 13
Why verified
- 365 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.41 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (211 left out). Checked 2026-10-04 10:33 UTC.
Best at Sports · $100 → $141last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$62,006 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$143 at 12¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 12¢ pays $835
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?$13 at 87¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $30left out of every figure—
- No · Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 3?$15 at 99.7¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 3?$15 at 99.6¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 3?$9 at 44¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $15left out of every figure—
- No · Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 3?$15 at 99.9¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?$173 at 17.3¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Burkina Faso · Spread: Burkina Faso (-1.5)$30 at 4¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- USC · Washington vs. USC$10,982 at 85¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Under · Army vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 45.5$3,069 at 49¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Nebraska · Maryland vs. Nebraska$7,111 at 88¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Illinois · Spread: Purdue (-1.5)$2,516 at 56¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $297left out of every figure—
- Over · Florida vs. Missouri: O/U 55.5$297 at 99¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Tennessee · Auburn vs. Tennessee$2,008 at 49¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
- Iowa · Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)$3,795 at 44.5¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Ohio State · Spread: Ohio State (-17.5)$2,516 at 56¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $891left out of every figure—
- Ohio State · Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)$891 at 99¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Under · Ohio State vs. Iowa: O/U 45.5$2,775 at 59¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Over · Ohio State vs. Iowa: O/U 45.5$412 at 49.9¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Wyoming vs. North Dakota State: O/U 41.5$1,845 at 44¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- Over · Louisville vs. NC State: O/U 57.5$1,449 at 46¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Over · Eastern Michigan vs. UMass: O/U 49.5$1,858 at 47¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Over · Louisville vs. NC State: O/U 47.5$1,500 at 50¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Over · Syracuse vs. UConn: 2H O/U 33.5$855 at 95¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Over · Syracuse vs. UConn: 2H O/U 30.5$1,044 at 95¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Over · Syracuse 2H Team Total: O/U 11.5$567 at 94.5¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Over · Toledo vs. Ball State: O/U 53.5$1,049 at 46¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- UMass · 1H Spread: UMass (-3.5)$342 at 46¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 75.5$101 at 56¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- Kansas · Spread: Kansas (-30.5)$1,508 at 48.4¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$107
- Over · Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 63.5$874 at 47¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $5left out of every figure—
- Under · Memphis vs. Charlotte: O/U 67.5$5 at 99¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Houston · Spread: Houston (-4.5)$1,491 at 45¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Over · UCF vs. Houston: O/U 51.5$1,884 at 46¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $506left out of every figure—
- North Carolina · Spread: Notre Dame (-16.5)$209 at 99¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Over · Alabama vs. Mississippi State: 1H O/U 30.5$297 at 99¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$24 at 62¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Yes · Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?$4 at 48¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 47.5$263 at 87.5¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?$45 at 69.4¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?$20 at 37.5¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$167
- No · Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?$22 at 44¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?$10 at 81.4¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2?$41 at 82¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- No · Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 2?$23 at 54¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- No · Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?$34 at 65¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$54
- Yes · Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?$20 at 81¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week?$22 at 37.8¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$165
- No · Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?$53 at 56.9¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$76
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $28left out of every figure—
- No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 2?$28 at 97¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?$14 at 48¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 365 settled bets.
42 more open bets
Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$58 at 11.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11.6¢ pays $864Yes · Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$57 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,711Yes · Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$56 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,757Yes · Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$56 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,757Yes · Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$55 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,803Yes · Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$55 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,803Yes · Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$55 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,803Yes · Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$54 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,803Yes · Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$53 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,897Yes · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$52 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,897Yes · Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$52 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,897Yes · Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$51 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,897Yes · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$51 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,849Yes · Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$48 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,897Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$46 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,897Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$42 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,757Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$41 at 19.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19.8¢ pays $505No · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
$38 at 76.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76.5¢ pays $131Yes · Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$36 at 1.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.6¢ pays $6,135No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$24 at 96.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.4¢ pays $104No · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
$24 at 94.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.7¢ pays $106No · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?
$23 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?
$23 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$22 at 88¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114No · Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
$22 at 87¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115No · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
$21 at 85¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85¢ pays $118No · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
$21 at 84.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.1¢ pays $119No · Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?
$21 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
$20 at 97¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 97¢ pays $103No · Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
$20 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
$19 at 96.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.9¢ pays $103No · Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
$19 at 96.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.7¢ pays $103No · Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
$19 at 96.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.5¢ pays $104No · Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
$19 at 96.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.1¢ pays $104Yes · Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
$19 at 74.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.5¢ pays $134No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
$19 at 73.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73.3¢ pays $136No · Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
$18 at 87.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.4¢ pays $114No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
$18 at 90.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90.7¢ pays $110No · Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$18 at 89¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112No · Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
$18 at 84¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84¢ pays $119No · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
$17 at 86.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.8¢ pays $115Yes · Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?
$17 at 12.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 12.7¢ pays $787
By topic · $100 →
- Weather143 bets$104
- NFL83 bets$95
- Sports74 bets$141
- Other25 bets$96
- Politics12 bets$143
- Culture10 bets$80
- MLB9 bets$142
- Tech4 bets$91
- Economy3 bets$73
- Crypto1 bets$139
- Soccer1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$1,105,823 · unrealized −$2,738 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 365 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.41 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (211 left out). Checked 2026-10-04 10:33 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x558f2f82cf0394c28ce3c8e117ee747aeab51a56 · ← All whale receipts