Yes · Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$129 at 4.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.5¢ pays $2,217
xhxtxh0x56f4…9ec5
Every $100 on their bets came back as $79.14 · 569 bets settled since Sep 30
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 569 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $73.64 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (25 left out). Checked 2026-10-13 03:19 UTC.
Best at Soccer · $100 → $76last 10
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Cavalry FC win on 2026-10-12?$1 at 1.5¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · HFX Wanderers FC vs. Cavalry FC: O/U 4.5$129 at 85¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Under · CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: 1st Half O/U 0.5$1,113 at 72.6¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$38
- Under · CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5$73 at 47.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$109
- Under · CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5$79 at 90¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Under · CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5$199 at 66.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$50
- No · Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12?$1 at 0.3¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Al Nassr Club vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 2.5$46 at 5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Al Nassr Club vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: 1st Half O/U 2.5$630 at 87.4¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Over · Al Nassr Club vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: 1st Half O/U 2.5$98 at 92.9¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Al Nassr Club vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 4.5$2,788 at 65.2¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$53
- Under · Al Nassr Club vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 3.5$13 at 20¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Al Nassr Club vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 3.5$492 at 65¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$54
- No · Will FC Alverca win on 2026-10-12?$97 at 14¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: GV CD San José 0 - 0 Club Guabirá?$0 at 0.6¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-12?$281 at 56.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Coritiba FBC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5$37 at 86¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- Under · Coritiba FBC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5$2,158 at 71¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- No · Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-12?$35 at 70.4¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$42
- Under · Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran: O/U 1.5$33 at 19¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran: O/U 3.5$662 at 68¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Under · GKS Katowice vs. Wieczysta Krakow: O/U 3.5$85 at 94¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Under · Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs. Al Ain FC: O/U 4.5$2,078 at 42.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs. Al Ain FC: O/U 5.5$763 at 90.9¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Under · Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs. Al Ain FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5$46 at 2¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs. Al Ain FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5$55 at 89.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs. Maccabi Haifa FC: O/U 5.5$411 at 57¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
- Under · Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5$4,204 at 52¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?$179 at 16¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$525
- Yes · Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?$181 at 17.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5$72 at 44.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$123
- Under · Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5$30 at 7¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5$12 at 25¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · CA Lanús vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5$140 at 22.6¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?$500 at 18¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5$1,693 at 29¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5$746 at 84.6¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Under · Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5$49 at 4.7¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Aarhus GF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5$1,417 at 53.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$87
- No · Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-10-12?$127 at 56¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-12?$507 at 71¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-12?$248 at 55.4¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$80
- No · Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-10-12?$10 at 65.7¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- Under · SL Benfica B vs. FC Felgueiras 1932: O/U 1.5$891 at 59.3¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Under · KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5$11 at 12¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5$9 at 96¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Under · Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5$96 at 36.9¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5$1,000 at 33¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$203
- Under · Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5$79 at 31.6¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-12?$2,843 at 78.7¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 569 settled bets.
By topic · $100 →
- Soccer362 bets$76
- Other205 bets$85
- Esports1 bets$114
- Politics1 bets$110
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$61,699 · unrealized −$48 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 569 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $73.64 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (25 left out). Checked 2026-10-13 03:19 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x56f4f054e92ced8fa7accfebcad73251afe49ec5 · ← All whale receipts