Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$279 at 20¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20¢ pays $500
cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212
Every $100 on their bets came back as $103.07 · 355 bets settled since Oct 1
Why verified
- 355 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.25 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (47 left out). Checked 2026-10-05 21:14 UTC.
Best at Esports · $100 → $108last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$239 at 20¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20¢ pays $500Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
$209 at 70.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 70.3¢ pays $142
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
3 bets at 97¢ or more · $31,074left out of every figure—
- Natus Vincere · LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner$30,112 at 99.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Natus Vincere · LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$887 at 99.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Natus Vincere · Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)$75 at 99.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Natus Vincere · LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner$1 at 20.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$385
- Up · XRP Up or Down - October 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5 at 93¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$12 at 85.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Up · BNB Up or Down - October 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$14 at 92¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,994left out of every figure—
- Team Vitality · LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$1,994 at 97.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$9 at 92¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Down · Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$19 at 89.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5 at 92¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Up · Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$9 at 90¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5 at 91¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Up · XRP Up or Down - October 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$19 at 89.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$5 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Down · BNB Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5 at 95¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$19 at 92.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$14 at 90.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$14 at 90.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Up · XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5 at 93¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Down · BNB Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$9 at 92¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$14 at 90.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Up · XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$19 at 92.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$5 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Up · Solana Up or Down - October 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$9 at 93¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5 at 93¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5 at 96¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Down · Solana Up or Down - October 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$9 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5 at 91¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5 at 90.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$8 at 82.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Up · Solana Up or Down - October 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?$13 at 12¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4?$72 at 51.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?$5 at 84¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$9 at 91¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$9 at 94.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Down · XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5 at 89¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $5left out of every figure—
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5 at 99¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Down · Solana Up or Down - October 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5 at 86.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$14 at 85.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Up · XRP Up or Down - October 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5 at 91¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$14 at 91¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Down · XRP Up or Down - October 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$5 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$28 at 95.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Up · Solana Up or Down - October 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$14 at 89.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$19 at 93.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Up · XRP Up or Down - October 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$9 at 92.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Up · Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3 at 93¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$19 at 83.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 355 settled bets.
36 more open bets
No · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
$191 at 82.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.2¢ pays $122No · Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
$163 at 85.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.8¢ pays $117No · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
$134 at 89.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.5¢ pays $112No · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
$124 at 88.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.9¢ pays $113No · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
$123 at 70.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 70.4¢ pays $142Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
$120 at 20¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20¢ pays $500No · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
$118 at 76.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76.3¢ pays $131Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$104 at 20¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20¢ pays $500No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
$97 at 18.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 18.2¢ pays $549No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$84 at 83¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83¢ pays $120No · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
$82 at 55¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55¢ pays $182No · Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
$78 at 82.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.6¢ pays $121No · Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
$76 at 92.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92.8¢ pays $108No · Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
$72 at 64.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.5¢ pays $155No · Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
$71 at 94.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106No · Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
$66 at 82.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.4¢ pays $121No · Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
$65 at 69.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69.2¢ pays $144Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
$56 at 22.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 22.4¢ pays $446No · Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?
$52 at 75.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.9¢ pays $132No · Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?
$52 at 85.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.9¢ pays $116No · Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?
$50 at 86.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.5¢ pays $116No · Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?
$49 at 86.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.4¢ pays $116No · Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
$49 at 82¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82¢ pays $122No · Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
$48 at 89.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.5¢ pays $112Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
$47 at 53.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 53.2¢ pays $188No · Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
$46 at 92.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92.6¢ pays $108No · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
$42 at 71.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.2¢ pays $141No · Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?
$42 at 96.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.2¢ pays $104No · Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
$39 at 94.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.9¢ pays $105No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?
$38 at 93.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.9¢ pays $107No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 10?
$37 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
$37 at 35.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35.4¢ pays $283No · Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
$36 at 93.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.7¢ pays $107No · Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 7?
$35 at 94.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.6¢ pays $106Yes · Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
$34 at 32.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 32.7¢ pays $306No · Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?
$34 at 96.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.4¢ pays $104
By topic · $100 →
- Crypto239 bets$105
- Other90 bets$99
- Esports24 bets$108
- Politics2 bets$52
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$240,490 · unrealized −$1,185 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 355 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.25 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (47 left out). Checked 2026-10-05 21:14 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x5e8e7771121f4f8f9f7739ddecfe2baa2d918212 · ← All whale receipts