No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$202,346 at 54.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54.5¢ pays $183
dromedaryy0x6575…b198
Every $100 on their bets came back as $149.39 · 79 bets settled since Sep 1
Why verified
- 79 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $107.48 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (2 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $154last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
$56,434 at 8.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8.1¢ pays $1,238Yes · Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
$24,311 at 17.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17.2¢ pays $580
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$3,561 at 27.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$611 at 18.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$429
- Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$7,832 at 59.7¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?$858 at 9.1¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$132 at 79.4¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$26
- Yes · Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$73,376 at 29¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$200,684 at 48.1¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$132 at 83.1¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?$20,225 at 76¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Yes · Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$20 at 1¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$71 at 1.2¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$27,067 at 89.5¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$169 at 5.6¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$96,773 at 75.7¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Yes · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$285,656 at 86¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$5 at 14¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$614
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$56 at 1.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?$53 at 0.1¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?$65 at 0.2¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$252 at 42¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$138
- Yes · Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$2,060 at 34.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$188,236 at 66.8¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$1,563 at 20.8¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$380
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?$24 at 6.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,455
- Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?$5,619 at 83.5¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$106,070 at 36¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$178
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$68,008 at 59.1¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,453 at 62.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30,936 at 17.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$460
- Ole Miss · Ole Miss vs. Texas$5,000 at 10¢ · Oct 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?$3 at 4¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Eternal Fire · Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs$2 at 38.9¢ · Oct 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$157
- Yes · Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?$19,268 at 10¢ · Oct 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$900
- Rams · Bills vs. Rams$1,357 at 8¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?$27 at 77¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$7 at 1¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$193 at 38¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$163
- Yes · Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,564 at 27.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$269
- No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4,937 at 32.5¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$208
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$7,441 at 35.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$184
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$109 at 49¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$1,146 at 33.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$198
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$26,867 at 29.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$238
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?$444 at 9¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?$347 at 2.5¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?$82 at 0.4¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?$279 at 0.7¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$988 at 11.9¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $3,168left out of every figure—
- Yes · Trump renames AI by September 30?$3,168 at 99.9¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Cardinals · Cardinals vs. 49ers$996 at 5¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 79 settled bets.
40 more open bets
Yes · Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
$24,048 at 62¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161No · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$21,902 at 25.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 25.9¢ pays $386Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$21,137 at 16.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16.7¢ pays $599No · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$13,654 at 29¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29¢ pays $345No · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$13,356 at 46.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46.5¢ pays $215Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
$12,009 at 34.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 34.4¢ pays $290No · Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
$8,556 at 36.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36.1¢ pays $277Yes · Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
$7,411 at 23.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23.1¢ pays $434No · Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
$7,266 at 33.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33.7¢ pays $296Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
$6,613 at 6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,667Yes · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$6,040 at 24.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 24.6¢ pays $406Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$3,768 at 23.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23.1¢ pays $433Yes · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$3,623 at 5.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.7¢ pays $1,761Yes · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$3,561 at 27.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27.3¢ pays $366Yes · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
$3,384 at 19¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19¢ pays $527Yes · Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
$2,840 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$2,385 at 47.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47.4¢ pays $211Yes · Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$1,675 at 24¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 24¢ pays $417Yes · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
$1,473 at 28.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 28.2¢ pays $354Yes · Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
$1,137 at 15¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15¢ pays $667Yes · Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
$951 at 35¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35¢ pays $286Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$886 at 0.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.1¢ pays $100,000No · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$586 at 26¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26¢ pays $385Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
$514 at 30.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30.7¢ pays $325Yes · Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$449 at 26¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26¢ pays $385Yes · OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$424 at 17¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17¢ pays $589Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
$341 at 87¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115Yes · Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762Yes · Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$336 at 2.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.1¢ pays $4,762
By topic · $100 →
- Politics51 bets$154
- Crypto8 bets$29
- NFL5 bets$0
- Other4 bets$132
- Soccer4 bets$90
- Tech4 bets$643
- Esports1 bets$257
- MMA1 bets$0
- Sports1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$1,040,539 · unrealized −$21,483 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 79 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $107.48 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (2 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x6575759174ad221bba9947bc3f18750ec769b198 · ← All whale receipts