Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$38,536 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
sts220x6b12…d642
Every $100 on their bets came back as $112.57 · 119 bets settled since May 10
Why verified
- 63 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $107.20 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at MMA · $100 → $113last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$38,536 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Randy Brown · UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)$269 at 22¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)$23,137 at 72.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$38
- Francis Marshall · UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)$4,685 at 81.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Rodrigo Sezinando · UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)$16,777 at 83.9¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Theodor Berggren · UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)$445 at 42.8¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Joe Kropschot · UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)$2,145 at 85.5¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Piera Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$50 at 71¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- Alexander Volkov · UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)$921 at 74.3¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- Grant Dawson · UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)$1,206 at 36.4¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$175
- Colby Thicknesse · UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)$231 at 23.1¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$332
- Daniel Santos · UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)$1,388 at 57.8¢ · Oct 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$73
- Mike Malott · UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)$74 at 34¢ · Oct 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$194
- Erin Blanchfield · UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$1,316 at 25.9¢ · Oct 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Timmy Cuamba · UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)$209 at 42¢ · Oct 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$138
- Tanner Boser · UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)$2,405 at 89.3¢ · Oct 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Steven Koslow · UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)$3,100 at 62¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Melissa Croden · UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$130 at 87.1¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Brendan Allen · UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)$724 at 82.2¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- Loopy Godínez · UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$24 at 48.6¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$106
- Andre Fili · UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)$825 at 55¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Ismael Bonfim · UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)$645 at 43¢ · Oct 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Ernesta Kareckaite · UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$1,557 at 43.3¢ · Oct 10 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Roberto Soldic · UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)$19,646 at 90¢ · Oct 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Jacobe Smith · UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$15,838 at 91.6¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Alexander Hernandez · UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)$1,516 at 72.7¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$38
- Eric Nolan · UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$7,788 at 74.6¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Raoni Barcelos · UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)$59 at 88¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Valesca Machado · UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$1,252 at 79.1¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$26
- Rinya Nakamura · UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)$371 at 75.5¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Rodolfo Bellato · UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$2,387 at 79¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Montel Jackson · UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)$12,507 at 83.3¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Joshua Van · UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$17 at 57¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
- Marlon Vera · UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)$28,200 at 94¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Robelis Despaigne · UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)$6,320 at 79¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- JooSang Yoo · UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)$190 at 19¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Michael Aswell · UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)$259 at 39¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$156
- Casey ONeill · UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)$3,350 at 67¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Tommy McMillen · Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)$9 at 91¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Joseph Morales · Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)$350 at 7¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Alexa Grasso · Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$696 at 92¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Waldo Cortes Acosta · Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$391 at 16.3¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Curtis Blaydes · Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$380 at 38¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$163
- David Martinez · Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)$988 at 79¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- Ignacio Bahamondes · Noche UFC: Muslim Salikhov vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (Welterweight, Prelims)$1,142 at 88¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Rongzhu · Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)$3,629 at 63.8¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$57
- Axel Sola · UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)$656 at 41¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
- Felipe Lima · UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)$3,309 at 94.3¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Nathaniel Wood · UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)$559 at 71.5¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Nora Cornolle · UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$1,046 at 90.7¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Sumudaerji · UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)$708 at 60.9¢ · Aug 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 119 settled bets.
By topic · $100 →
- MMA119 bets$113
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$192,956 · unrealized $0 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 63 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $107.20 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x6b123a3056bdfa9a6ab33f884e735deeb18ed642 · ← All whale receipts