No · Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$20,500 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
0x6fa7…907e
Every $100 on their bets came back as $111.20 · 257 bets settled since Sep 3
Why verified
- 257 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.32 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (721 left out). Checked 2026-11-06 18:05 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $137last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$20,500 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200Yes · Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?
$338 at 54.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54.9¢ pays $182
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?$118 at 59¢ · Nov 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- No · Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?$22 at 31¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$223
- No · Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?$50 at 14.2¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$605
- Yes · Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?$5 at 66¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.2B?$14 at 22.7¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?$1 at 34¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$194
- No · Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?$17 at 17¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?$8 at 83¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?$118 at 59¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?$72 at 36¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?$3 at 11¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$809
- No · Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?$9 at 13¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $441left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1000 and $4.1099 on November 5?$441 at 99.7¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?$15 at 14.6¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?$2 at 13¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?$5 at 5.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?$37 at 20.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q4 QCT chip revenue be above $9.5B?$17 at 86¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?$17 at 11¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
3 bets at 97¢ or more · $130left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$64 at 97.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will the Republicans win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$7 at 97.2¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?$60 at 99¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?$93 at 37¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?$132 at 83¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <89%?$1 at 2.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?$258 at 74.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Yes · CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?$31 at 18.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $350left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?$350 at 99.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?$27 at 27¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1 at 43¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?$53 at 21¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
7 bets at 97¢ or more · $3,236left out of every figure—
- No · Will Republicans sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?$470 at 99.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election?$253 at 99.7¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?$264 at 99.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?$146 at 99.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?$46 at 99.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?$1,516 at 99.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Republicans win the Iowa Governor election and Democrats win the Iowa Senate election?$541 at 99.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$43 at 62¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$5 at 46¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,560left out of every figure—
- No · Will Republicans win the Ohio Governor election and Democrats win the Ohio Senate election?$215 at 99.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?$1,345 at 99.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$100 at 38¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$163
3 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,307left out of every figure—
- No · Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?$264 at 97.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?$528 at 99.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?$514 at 97.7¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$257 at 38.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$159
- No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$10 at 64¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $243left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$166 at 98.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$78 at 99¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 257 settled bets.
46 more open bets
No · Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?
$304 at 89.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.1¢ pays $112No · Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?
$260 at 96¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96¢ pays $104Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
$250 at 46¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46¢ pays $217No · Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?
$175 at 92¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109Yes · NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?
$174 at 53¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 53¢ pays $189No · Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?
$153 at 90.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90.8¢ pays $110Yes · Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
$140 at 79.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.9¢ pays $125No · Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $440M?
$110 at 80.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80.1¢ pays $125No · Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$97 at 96.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.7¢ pays $103No · Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?
$92 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.7B?
$89 at 55.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55.7¢ pays $180No · Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?
$89 at 89¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
$87 at 37¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270No · Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.6B?
$68 at 13.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13.1¢ pays $761Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
$61 at 27¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27¢ pays $371No · Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
$60 at 67.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.8¢ pays $148No · Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
$50 at 50¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200No · Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
$45 at 35¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35¢ pays $286Yes · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?
$45 at 66.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66.7¢ pays $150Yes · Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
$38 at 75¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75¢ pays $133No · Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
$37 at 37¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270No · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$36 at 14.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14.3¢ pays $699Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
$27 at 27¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27¢ pays $370No · Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
$25 at 97¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 97¢ pays $103No · Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?
$24 at 37¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270Yes · Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
$23 at 86¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?
$22 at 56¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56¢ pays $179Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
$20 at 37¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270No · Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
$19 at 13¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13¢ pays $770Yes · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?
$18 at 18.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 18.1¢ pays $552No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
$16 at 81¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81¢ pays $123No · Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
$15 at 76¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76¢ pays $132No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
$14 at 69¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69¢ pays $145Yes · Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?
$13 at 74.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.6¢ pays $134No · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$11 at 54¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54¢ pays $185Yes · Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
$11 at 25¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 25¢ pays $400Yes · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?
$9 at 4.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.6¢ pays $2,174Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$8 at 4.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.2¢ pays $2,381Yes · Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
$5 at 1.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.6¢ pays $6,250Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$5 at 24¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 24¢ pays $417Yes · California voter ID referendum passes?
$5 at 15¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15¢ pays $667Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?
$3 at 13¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13¢ pays $770Yes · Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?
$3 at 6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,667No · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$2 at 51.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.1¢ pays $196No · US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by November 30?
$2 at 21¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21¢ pays $476Yes · Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
$2 at 50¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
By topic · $100 →
- Other102 bets$102
- Politics59 bets$137
- Economy38 bets$121
- Tech17 bets$105
- Culture11 bets$84
- Weather10 bets$88
- Esports8 bets$85
- Crypto6 bets$100
- Golf2 bets$56
- Cricket1 bets$214
- Soccer1 bets$155
- Sports1 bets$0
- Tennis1 bets$125
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$44,403 · unrealized −$44 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 257 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.32 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (721 left out). Checked 2026-11-06 18:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e · ← All whale receipts