Yes · Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$3,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
C6H60x8c71…3f1a
Every $100 on their bets came back as $726.22 · 32 bets settled since Sep 15
Why verified
- 32 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $174.87 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1,204 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$3,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
18 bets at 97¢ or more · $32,612left out of every figure—
- No · Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?$28,001 at 99.8¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?$536 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$70 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$342 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$342 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?$192 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?$44 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?$271 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?$710 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?$46 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?$887 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?$28 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?$100 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?$28 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?$20 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Northern Illinois · 1H Spread: UNLV (-15.5)$25 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week?$152 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Over · SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5$817 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.5$52 at 95.2¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $559left out of every figure—
- Under · Lanus vs. San Martin de Corrientes: O/U 162.5$559 at 99.9¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 11.5$508 at 95¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
29 bets at 97¢ or more · $12,501left out of every figure—
- Yes · Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?$790 at 99.9¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?$965 at 99.9¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will UTC Cajamarca finish 16th in the 2026 Peru Liga 1?$33 at 99¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on October 28?$175 at 99.9¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Zeynep Sonmez · Set 1 Winner: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez$3,966 at 99.9¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Microsoft say "Gaming" during earnings call?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Microsoft say "Nvidia" during earnings call?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Google say "Buyback" during earnings call?$104 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Google say "Recall" / "Recalled" during earnings call?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Google say "Search" 25+ times during earnings call?$176 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Google say "Youtube" 10+ times during earnings call?$535 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?$71 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $22B?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $26B?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $28B?$50 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on October 27?$1,899 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Over · Penarol vs. San Martin de Corrientes: O/U 159.5$549 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Penarol · Spread: Penarol (-7.5)$549 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Trail Blazers · 3Q Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)$183 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?$180 at 99¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Over · Trail Blazers Team Total: O/U 115.5$42 at 99¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Lakers · 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)$360 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Over · Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5$298 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?$258 at 99.9¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?$234 at 99.9¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Coca-Cola say "Powerade" during earnings call?$65 at 97.2¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards?$198 at 99¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Chinatrust Brothers · Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Chinatrust Brothers$519 at 99.9¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 32 settled bets.
By topic · $100 →
- Tennis11 bets$126
- Other10 bets$99
- Sports4 bets$103
- NBA3 bets$107
- NFL3 bets$6,667
- Esports1 bets$125
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$15,471 · unrealized $0 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 32 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $174.87 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1,204 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x8c7199cc09a2c6658f38ab47419eeb842aad3f1a · ← All whale receipts