No · Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$12,593 at 11¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $909
Railcool0x94c4…43ca
Every $100 on their bets came back as $135.44 · 144 bets settled since Apr 12
Why verified
- 53 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $131.50 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 4 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $174last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$11,000 at 55¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55¢ pays $182Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
$8,097 at 27¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27¢ pays $371
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$127 at 1.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$165 at 30.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?$162 at 20.9¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$379
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?$1,636 at 63.4¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$58
- No · Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?$253 at 14.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?$1 at 13¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?$706 at 37.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$167
- Yes · Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?$394 at 31.4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$522 at 42.9¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$133
- Yes · Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?$1,462 at 49.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$157 at 19.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$407
- Yes · Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$2,225 at 25.4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?$7 at 9.8¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?$5 at 28.2¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$255
- Yes · Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$4,743 at 42.3¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$136
- Yes · Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$141 at 36.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?$15 at 22¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$355
- Yes · Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$255 at 85.8¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- No · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$304 at 19¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$62 at 23.9¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$318
- Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$14 at 16¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$194 at 12.9¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$286 at 9.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$904 at 51.1¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$5 at 11¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1,731 at 49.4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1,595 at 46¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Yes · Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?$5,001 at 10¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$900
- Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?$412 at 19.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?$56 at 49¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?$1,894 at 10¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$899
- No · Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$12 at 41¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$46 at 37.2¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$169
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$2,084 at 43.9¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?$655 at 40.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$147
- Yes · Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$2,221 at 47.1¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?$285 at 19.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?$2,079 at 52.4¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$91
- Yes · Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?$46 at 15.4¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?$259 at 58.6¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?$1,277 at 5.1¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,871
- Under · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%?$20 at 66¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- Over · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?$96 at 55.7¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$80
- Over · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?$1 at 16¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$525
- Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?$3,063 at 70.2¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- Under · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?$5,675 at 58.3¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- No · Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$451 at 66.6¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$50
- Yes · Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$1,956 at 37¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?$25 at 41¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?$945 at 23.1¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$333
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 144 settled bets.
25 more open bets
Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
$7,218 at 36.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36.1¢ pays $277Yes · Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
$6,995 at 14¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14¢ pays $715Yes · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
$5,038 at 34.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 34.7¢ pays $288Yes · Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$4,155 at 11¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $909Yes · Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$3,245 at 1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1¢ pays $10,000Yes · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$3,111 at 31¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 31¢ pays $323Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
$3,000 at 20¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20¢ pays $500No · Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
$1,950 at 13¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13¢ pays $769No · Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?
$1,640 at 41¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 41¢ pays $244No · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$1,550 at 30.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30.7¢ pays $326Yes · Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
$1,000 at 61.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.9¢ pays $162No · Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
$585 at 26¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26¢ pays $385No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
$448 at 39¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 39¢ pays $256No · Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
$405 at 81¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81¢ pays $123Yes · Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
$298 at 15¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15¢ pays $667Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
$294 at 38¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 38¢ pays $263Yes · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
$258 at 39¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 39¢ pays $256Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
$178 at 16¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16¢ pays $625Yes · Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$112 at 23¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23¢ pays $435Yes · Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
$102 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
$35 at 28.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 28.4¢ pays $351Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?
$8 at 11¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $910No · Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
$8 at 16¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16¢ pays $625No · Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?
$3 at 11¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11¢ pays $910Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?
$2 at 6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,667
By topic · $100 →
- Politics82 bets$174
- Culture52 bets$95
- Other7 bets$22
- Weather3 bets$54
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$274,644 · unrealized +$33,383 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 53 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $131.50 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 4 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x94c4fe3b18435aa92024c7c1589537fcda3f43ca · ← All whale receipts