Yes · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$16,046 at 48.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48.4¢ pays $206
0x955c…990f
Every $100 on their bets came back as $86.74 · 156 bets settled since Jan 6
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 41 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $63.31 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (78 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $88last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
$2,207 at 40.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 40.3¢ pays $248Yes · Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
$2,097 at 62¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?$8,901 at 85.3¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?$146 at 24.3¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?$283 at 9.5¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?$339 at 47.4¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?$1,967 at 52.5¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$91
- Yes · Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?$648 at 14.8¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$576
- Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5,984 at 95.9¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Marsborne · Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs$16,348 at 74.8¢ · Sep 14 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $32,766left out of every figure—
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?$834 at 99.9¢ · Sep 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?$31,932 at 97.1¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will AEK win on 2026-09-02?$1,849 at 19.4¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?$169 at 28.1¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?$688 at 11.3¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 26m?$2 at 1.8¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?$270 at 72.3¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$38
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?$1,787 at 74.8¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2AM ET$67 at 60.6¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$65
- Yes · Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?$5,101 at 85¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Will Trump say "No No No" this week?$234 at 79.8¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $2,588left out of every figure—
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?$2,242 at 98.9¢ · Aug 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 180m?$346 at 99.3¢ · Aug 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 140m?$24 at 9.1¢ · Aug 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $2,972left out of every figure—
- Yes · Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?$2,972 at 97.3¢ · Aug 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?$44 at 24¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$1,003 at 96.1¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?$8 at 8¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?$444 at 60.1¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?$357 at 60.8¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$65
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?$14 at 8¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?$6 at 96.6¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?$14 at 72¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m?$75 at 75.2¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- Yes · Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$4,222 at 79.5¢ · Jul 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$26
- Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be between 45m and 48m?$2 at 19¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?$4,372 at 93.3¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?$288 at 45¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?$933 at 17.8¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?$8,425 at 90¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?$951 at 10.6¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$189 at 87¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$10,269 at 37.1¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will there be 6+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$1,108 at 89¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$35,999 at 48.2¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$8,381 at 56.1¢ · Jul 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$373 at 30.1¢ · Jul 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$232
- Yes · Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?$67 at 54¢ · Jul 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$4,618 at 84.8¢ · Jul 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Ebola case in the US by June 30?$684 at 79.4¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$26
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $331left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$331 at 98.5¢ · Jun 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?$3,466 at 95.2¢ · Jun 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 156 settled bets.
10 more open bets
No · Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?
$1,823 at 43¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 43¢ pays $232Yes · Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
$1,137 at 37.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37.6¢ pays $266Yes · Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
$827 at 60.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 60.4¢ pays $166Yes · Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
$516 at 20.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 20.3¢ pays $494Yes · Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
$221 at 30¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30¢ pays $333No · Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?
$139 at 26¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26¢ pays $385No · Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
$126 at 66¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66¢ pays $152No · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$10 at 96.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.2¢ pays $104Yes · Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$3 at 15¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15¢ pays $667No · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
$0 at 49.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 49.5¢ pays $202
By topic · $100 →
- Culture89 bets$83
- Other42 bets$95
- Politics20 bets$88
- Crypto2 bets$82
- Economy1 bets$0
- Sports1 bets$112
- Tech1 bets$104
Polymarket’s own figures: realized −$85,588 · unrealized +$4,978 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 41 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $63.31 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (78 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f · ← All whale receipts