Yes · Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$24,587 at 93.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.3¢ pays $107
mrworldwide0x98d0…f14a
Every $100 on their bets came back as $116.11 · 322 bets settled since Sep 15
Why verified
- 322 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $107.71 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (70 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $116last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
$9,655 at 56.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56.1¢ pays $178No · Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$9,224 at 93.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.2¢ pays $107
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?$1,551 at 88.7¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?$1,758 at 36.1¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?$174 at 79.1¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$26
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?$211 at 88¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?$876 at 87.9¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?$14 at 79¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?$4,273 at 81¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?$973 at 40.6¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$147
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?$117 at 16.8¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?$2,443 at 62.4¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$60
- No · Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?$943 at 12.8¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?$401 at 95.9¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?$325 at 95.2¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?$203 at 8.7¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?$1,608 at 67¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?$595 at 91¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?$2,323 at 32.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$211
- Yes · Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?$886 at 69.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$44
- Yes · Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1,957 at 92.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?$462 at 45.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$120
- No · Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$2,017 at 56.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$77
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$2,374 at 73.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$36
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?$3,537 at 85.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- No · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$1,188 at 24¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$3,943 at 78.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- No · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$865 at 69¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?$1,938 at 91¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1,212 at 69.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$44
- No · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$622 at 70¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- Yes · Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?$170 at 5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1,677 at 69¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- No · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$156 at 40¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?$4,431 at 77.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$29
- No · Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?$1,848 at 81.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- No · Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?$1,581 at 75¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?$2,269 at 88¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?$1,403 at 40.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$145
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$362 at 8.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$3,480 at 58¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$1,951 at 43.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$132
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$2,490 at 49.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$103
- No · Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$696 at 36.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$175
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$3,840 at 80¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?$840 at 35¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$186
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$2,764 at 64¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$515 at 66.2¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$51
- No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3,720 at 62¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$2,147 at 64.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$55
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?$2,200 at 44.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$123
- No · Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$99 at 76¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 322 settled bets.
21 more open bets
Yes · Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
$3,592 at 91.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.5¢ pays $109Yes · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?
$3,574 at 89.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.1¢ pays $112Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
$2,548 at 67.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.3¢ pays $149Yes · Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
$2,268 at 89¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112Yes · Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
$1,904 at 77.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.3¢ pays $129No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?
$1,784 at 74.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.9¢ pays $133Yes · Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?
$1,413 at 94.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.2¢ pays $106Yes · Will Nelson Pohl win the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election?
$1,169 at 93.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.3¢ pays $107Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
$866 at 46.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46.5¢ pays $215Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
$816 at 35¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35¢ pays $286Yes · Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$762 at 67.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.3¢ pays $149No · Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$594 at 66.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66.3¢ pays $151No · Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?
$570 at 95¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105Yes · Will Joy O'Donnell win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election?
$420 at 70¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 70¢ pays $143Yes · Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
$325 at 50.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.5¢ pays $198Yes · Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
$298 at 97¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 97¢ pays $103No · Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
$187 at 62.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62.5¢ pays $160Yes · Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
$136 at 13.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13.4¢ pays $749No · Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
$132 at 44¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 44¢ pays $227No · Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
$102 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109Yes · Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
$9 at 60¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 60¢ pays $167
By topic · $100 →
- Politics321 bets$116
- Other1 bets$138
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$286,096 · unrealized +$14,575 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 322 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $107.71 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (70 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x98d04f9eb52d08ef9697f6eb8d7cfe8d46e5f14a · ← All whale receipts