Yes · Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$45,998 at 91¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110
Sagand0xa181…ece8
Every $100 on their bets came back as $122.43 · 65 bets settled since Mar 2
Why verified
- 45 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.97 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (6 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Best at Culture · $100 → $129last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$5,055 at 87¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115Yes · Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
$3,700 at 50.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.8¢ pays $197
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2,700 at 94¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$9,600 at 91.2¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$4,850 at 91.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$22,000 at 68¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$3,500 at 71.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$433 at 72.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1,000 at 58.4¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$2,500 at 69.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$9,700 at 76.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$2,600 at 62.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$60
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$750 at 83.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1,500 at 61.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$750 at 70.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- Yes · Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1,750 at 64.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$55
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3,000 at 82.5¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19,769 at 74¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- Yes · Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?$250 at 27.7¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?$152 at 17.5¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$472
- Yes · Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?$250 at 57.1¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
- Yes · Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?$1,300 at 49.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?$5,600 at 92.2¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?$250 at 36.3¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?$3,600 at 74.8¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Yes · Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?$1,100 at 29.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$240
- Yes · Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?$128 at 17.5¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?$500 at 86.7¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?$2,250 at 92.1¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?$2,591 at 90.9¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?$750 at 41.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$142
- No · Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?$500 at 57.9¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$73
- Yes · Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?$150 at 26.8¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$273
- Yes · Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?$750 at 82.5¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?$1,250 at 67.7¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?$3,410 at 90.5¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?$600 at 68.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$46
- Alexander Zverev · US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp$2,500 at 89¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Alex Michelsen · US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen$1,800 at 89.9¢ · Sep 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Frances Tiafoe · US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen$1,326 at 38.7¢ · Sep 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$158
- Yes · Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$250 at 23¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$335
- Yes · Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?$1,500 at 75.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $846left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?$546 at 97¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?$300 at 97.8¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?$10 at 4.9¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Carlos Alcaraz · US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz$7,400 at 92.6¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $12,800left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$12,800 at 99.2¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$5,046 at 84.8¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3,000 at 78.3¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1,700 at 60.7¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$2,000 at 96.9¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$500 at 81.6¢ · May 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 65 settled bets.
13 more open bets
Yes · Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
$1,950 at 26.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26.6¢ pays $376Yes · Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
$1,650 at 61.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.5¢ pays $163Yes · Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
$1,100 at 72¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 72¢ pays $139Yes · Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
$802 at 47¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47¢ pays $213Yes · Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
$400 at 54.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54.4¢ pays $184Yes · Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
$309 at 82.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.1¢ pays $122Yes · Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
$265 at 26.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26.1¢ pays $383Yes · Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
$200 at 80¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80¢ pays $125Yes · Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
$200 at 78.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.1¢ pays $128No · Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
$100 at 95.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.5¢ pays $105Yes · Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
$100 at 28.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 28.3¢ pays $354No · Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
$20 at 17.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17.6¢ pays $569Yes · Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
$20 at 7.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.1¢ pays $1,401
By topic · $100 →
- Culture30 bets$129
- Politics20 bets$97
- Other7 bets$108
- Tennis7 bets$116
- Tech1 bets$572
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$37,256 · unrealized +$3,357 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 45 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $103.97 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (6 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xa18166afa109f6013edb74ce02b0798970daece8 · ← All whale receipts