Yes · Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01?
$2,319 at 41.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 41.1¢ pays $243
caspar12480xa278…3369
Every $100 on their bets came back as $87.66 · 2,579 bets settled since Oct 19
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 2579 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $82.19 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (434 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Best at NFL · $100 → $123last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?
$1,258 at 93.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.6¢ pays $107No · Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?
$836 at 91.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.5¢ pays $109
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?$2,906 at 87.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?$7 at 0.87¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?$65 at 92.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?$26 at 1.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- LASK Linz · Spread: LASK Linz (-3.5)$1 at 14¢ · Nov 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$614
- No · Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?$77 at 96.4¢ · Nov 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?$135 at 89.7¢ · Nov 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?$116 at 86.2¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?$34 at 68¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 1?$64 at 64¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 1?$28 at 92¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $7left out of every figure—
- No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?$7 at 97.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?$53 at 89.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?$2 at 9.7¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $36left out of every figure—
- No · Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?$36 at 97.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 1?$38 at 95¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $146left out of every figure—
- No · Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1?$49 at 97.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?$97 at 97.1¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 1?$74 at 95.4¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?$106 at 96.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Bengals · Titans vs. Bengals$4 at 87¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Titans · Spread: Bengals (-10.5)$2 at 45¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Yes · Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$1 at 25¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?$14 at 72¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- No · Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?$24 at 88¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1?$70 at 88¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?$115 at 96.1¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda end in a draw?$2 at 19¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 1 Valencia CF?$3 at 92¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · KFUM-Kameratene Oslo leading at halftime?$10 at 63¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Valencia CF?$3 at 93¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Over · Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Elche CF O/U 1.5$1 at 42¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score$5 at 45¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Under · Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5$1 at 27¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$270
- No · Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 1?$19 at 95¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $4left out of every figure—
- No · Exact Score: US Lecce 0 - 3 Genoa CFC?$2 at 97.2¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Exact Score: US Lecce 3 - 0 Genoa CFC?$2 at 98.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Exact Score: US Lecce 1 - 2 Genoa CFC?$2 at 92¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Exact Score: US Lecce 2 - 1 Genoa CFC?$2 at 94¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Over · US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5$1 at 20¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5$1 at 40¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$150
- Yes · Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?$1 at 27¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- BARCA · Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs BARCA (+1.5)$3 at 68¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $2left out of every figure—
- No · Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 2 Hamburger SV?$2 at 97¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?$2 at 21¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01?$2 at 18¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 1 Hamburger SV?$2 at 91¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Hamburger SV · Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)$1 at 62¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $16left out of every figure—
- No · Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 4 Arsenal FC?$8 at 99.7¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?$8 at 97.4¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 2,579 settled bets.
12 more open bets
No · Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?
$292 at 95.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.9¢ pays $104No · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
$272 at 71¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71¢ pays $141No · Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?
$241 at 84.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.9¢ pays $118No · Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?
$161 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
$117 at 62¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161Lui Maxted · M25 Norman, OK: Lui Maxted vs Bruno Kuzuhara
$54 at 52.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52.2¢ pays $191Yes · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
$41 at 81¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81¢ pays $123No · Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
$37 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
$37 at 91.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.5¢ pays $109No · US strike on Colombia by December 31?
$36 at 76¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76¢ pays $132No · Ranji Trophy: Gujarat vs Kerala - Team Top Batter Draw
$32 at 36.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36.4¢ pays $275No · Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
$26 at 88¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114
By topic · $100 →
- Soccer961 bets$89
- Other539 bets$82
- Weather298 bets$93
- Esports259 bets$88
- NBA165 bets$77
- Politics122 bets$115
- Tennis114 bets$90
- NFL25 bets$123
- Sports22 bets$63
- Tech18 bets$46
- MMA15 bets$22
- NHL15 bets$96
- Culture9 bets$71
- MLB8 bets$38
- Crypto6 bets$35
- Economy3 bets$36
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$804,309 · unrealized −$1,000 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 2579 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $82.19 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (434 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369 · ← All whale receipts