Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?
$4,850 at 63.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 63.4¢ pays $158
twinna0xa43d…00f4
Every $100 on their bets came back as $111.48 · 219 bets settled since Mar 25
Why verified
- 44 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $109.18 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 7 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $138last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?
$1,492 at 59.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 59.9¢ pays $167Yes · Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
$365 at 18.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 18.5¢ pays $540
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?$726 at 32.4¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$208
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?$32 at 64¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?$123 at 57¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
- Yes · Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$1,053 at 86.8¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?$1,188 at 68¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$41 at 41¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
- Yes · Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?$80 at 12.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$2,767 at 61¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- No · Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?$75 at 30¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$233
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$5,100 at 68¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$4,764 at 57.2¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$44 at 67¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Yes · Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4,542 at 30.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$6,425 at 75.9¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Yes · Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$98 at 2.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$126 at 48.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$106
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$56 at 56¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- No · Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1,500 at 20¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$2 at 20¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?$43 at 40¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$617 at 61.9¢ · Nov 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Yes · Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$1,266 at 51.2¢ · Nov 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$95
- Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$91 at 37¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$931 at 68¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2,040 at 51¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Yes · Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?$104 at 45¢ · Oct 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Yes · Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,078 at 51.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$95
- Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$799 at 94¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$2,340 at 78¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$292 at 91.5¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1,725 at 67.1¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Yes · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$62 at 23¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$173 at 34.4¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$226 at 27.2¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$637 at 29.9¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$222 at 45.3¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$121
- Yes · Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$404 at 71¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- No · Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$215 at 47.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$110
- Yes · Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$45 at 13.6¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$635
- No · Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$168 at 46.7¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$114
- Yes · Will Dale Holness be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$13 at 13¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?$3,600 at 45¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$13 at 65.5¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$53
- No · Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$2 at 63¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
- No · Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$193 at 12.9¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$178 at 43.3¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$236 at 38.4¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$161
- No · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$232 at 69¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$252 at 56¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?$208 at 33¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$203
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 219 settled bets.
By topic · $100 →
- Politics108 bets$138
- NHL85 bets$99
- Sports16 bets$22
- Soccer3 bets$71
- Crypto2 bets$120
- Culture2 bets$0
- Other2 bets$134
- NBA1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$72,730 · unrealized +$9,742 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 44 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $109.18 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 7 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4 · ← All whale receipts