BOUGHT Yes $526 @ 46.4¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket wallet · 0xb100…6461 · “Parz1vaI” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xb100…6461 — 795–53 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xb100…6461 is 795–53 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-07-27: 849 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$2,202,314 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 795 | 53 | 1 | 4151 | 110 |
| Other | 418 | 27 | 1 | 2100 | 68 |
| Politics | 205 | 11 | 0 | 1181 | 27 |
| Sports | 86 | 6 | 0 | 409 | 4 |
| Crypto | 46 | 7 | 0 | 269 | 2 |
| Culture | 17 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 |
| Tech | 14 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 8 |
| Economy | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| Weather | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$20,878 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-07-27; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $589 @ 92¢ — Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $269 @ 3¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,889 @ 70¢ — Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $507 @ 2.2¢ — Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $854 @ 48.8¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $197 @ 44¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $437 @ 20.8¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $582 @ 88.3¢ — Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 2.2¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,836 @ 71¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,928 @ 97.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $410 @ 78¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $396 @ 92.1¢ — Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $530 @ 43.3¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 51¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,884 @ 95.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,146 @ 53.5¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,244 @ 96.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $780 @ 96.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 77¢ — Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $945 @ 99.3¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $594 @ 52¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $395 @ 64.7¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $546 @ 54.2¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,854 @ 52.1¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $628 @ 62¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $71 @ 57¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $727 @ 84¢ — US strike on Colombia by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,416 @ 71.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $640 @ 85¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 48¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $343 @ 74¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,103 @ 97.1¢ — Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $258 @ 46.2¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $192 @ 95.5¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $516 @ 46.1¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $275 @ 45.5¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 55.4¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,045 @ 96.2¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,204 @ 44.5¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 33.8¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,677 @ 75.1¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $524 @ 97¢ — Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 99¢ — Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 22-28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $239 @ 96.1¢ — Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $535 @ 95.4¢ — Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $56 @ 97.8¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $336 @ 76.5¢ — Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,389 @ 70¢ — Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 99.9¢ — Will Sasan Heirati win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $0 @ 99.9¢ — Will Brandon Curry win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,250 @ 96.4¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $29 @ 97¢ — Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,065 @ 60¢ — Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $409 @ 90¢ — Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $97 @ 58¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $443 @ 97¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $729 @ 95¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 90m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $497 @ 94.9¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $117 @ 81¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $286 @ 61¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $742 @ 59¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $58 @ 98.1¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $329 @ 95¢ — Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 25.4¢ — Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $320 @ 77¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $903 @ 74.3¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $684 @ 91.7¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,087 @ 67.6¢ — Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,459 @ 77.8¢ — Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 31¢ — Will Nick Walker win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $41 @ 99.9¢ — Will Hadi Choopan win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $35 @ 99.9¢ — Will William Bonac win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 99.9¢ — Will Martin Fitzwater win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $697 @ 99.8¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,866 @ 96.9¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,807 @ 86¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,592 @ 77.4¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,527 @ 73¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,845 @ 94.8¢ — Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $170 @ 2.9¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,044 @ 96¢ — Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,171 @ 92¢ — Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $409 @ 95¢ — CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,014 @ 99.4¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $760 @ 97¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $469 @ 91.7¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $279 @ 93¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $147 @ 16¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 22¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,001 @ 81.8¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $128 @ 80¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $900 @ 60¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $474 @ 63.5¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $403 @ 42.4¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,456 @ 69.5¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $230 @ 95¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $172 @ 90¢ — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,750 @ 46¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $53 @ 44.4¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,758 @ 88¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,678 @ 98.5¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,348 @ 93¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $295 @ 96¢ — Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $457 @ 98.7¢ — Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,453 @ 99¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $124 @ 98¢ — Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 4¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $656 @ 82¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $331 @ 89.5¢ — Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $57 @ 99¢ — Will Regan Grimes win Mr. Olympia 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,646 @ 85.1¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $43,724 @ 85¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11,571 @ 84¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12,312 @ 97.6¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $28,088 @ 99.5¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,999 @ 79.2¢ — Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Clement Chidekh $617 @ 6¢ — Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Clement Chidekh $1,525 @ 6¢ — Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Clement Chidekh $124 @ 7¢ — Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Clement Chidekh $8,814 @ 32¢ — Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Clement Chidekh $4,770 @ 31.3¢ — Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,123 @ 77¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $270 @ 36.9¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,608 @ 64.4¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 77¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $309 @ 37.1¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,559 @ 92¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $112 @ 57.6¢ — Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $159 @ 67¢ — Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $126 @ 19¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $31 @ 61¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,010 @ 84¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $945 @ 94¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,678 @ 91.4¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $375 @ 99.9¢ — Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $442 @ 69.2¢ — Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,477 @ 75.6¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $34 @ 86¢ — Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 96.4¢ — Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,987 @ 95.8¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,529 @ 67.4¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,778 @ 88¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $457 @ 91¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,197 @ 80¢ — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,884 @ 78.4¢ — Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47 @ 92¢ — Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $867 @ 90.6¢ — Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $141 @ 88¢ — Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,771 @ 99.6¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $166 @ 27.6¢ — Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $119 @ 32.7¢ — Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $377 @ 92¢ — Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $381 @ 70¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $573 @ 87¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14 @ 72¢ — Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $205 @ 70.9¢ — Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $271 @ 76¢ — Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,495 @ 93¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,936 @ 88¢ — Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $838 @ 86.2¢ — U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,962 @ 99.4¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,312 @ 74.2¢ — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,797 @ 97.1¢ — Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Under $4 @ 82¢ — Howard Team Total: O/U 8.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Under $24 @ 92¢ — Howard Team Total: O/U 11.5 (opens in a new tab)
resolved Under correct ✓BOUGHT Under $3 @ 58¢ — Howard Team Total: O/U 5.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $248 @ 99.4¢ — Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $155 @ 99.4¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $116 @ 70.6¢ — Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $847 @ 75.5¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,057 @ 92¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $266 @ 35.8¢ — Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $888 @ 69¢ — Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Alliance $78 @ 84¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Alliance $2,793 @ 68¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Alliance $16,866 @ 66¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT magic $1,687 @ 58.5¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT magic $999 @ 55¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Alliance $36,000 @ 60¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Alliance $15,844 @ 62¢ — Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,188 @ 17¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14 @ 71¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $785 @ 21¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,435 @ 81.2¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $141 @ 6.4¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,683 @ 61¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $89 @ 33.4¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 15¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $640 @ 12.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,069 @ 57.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $908 @ 59¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,588 @ 57¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,654 @ 69.2¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $51 @ 51¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $124 @ 22¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,826 @ 79¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $837 @ 91¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $90 @ 3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,220 @ 84.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $282 @ 93.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,009 @ 97.6¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $126 @ 96.4¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,766 @ 30.7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $363 @ 80.4¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,107 @ 67.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,728 @ 87.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $419 @ 62.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $115 @ 66.1¢ — NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $13,248 @ 48¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,200 @ 70.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,901 @ 88¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,960 @ 32¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,434 @ 82.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $114 @ 95¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $4B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $535 @ 99.4¢ — Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $287 @ 99.1¢ — Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32 @ 97.6¢ — Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $152 @ 92.9¢ — Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $421 @ 16.5¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,345 @ 87¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,533 @ 30¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 57¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $692 @ 55¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,251 @ 82¢ — US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,129 @ 77¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $454 @ 20¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $345 @ 19¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 14¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,488 @ 75.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $163 @ 52¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $93 @ 75¢ — Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $423 @ 89.2¢ — Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $597 @ 73.5¢ — Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,159 @ 27¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,301 @ 59¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $110 @ 68¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,173 @ 86.7¢ — Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $390 @ 71¢ — Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Frances Tiafoe $813 @ 78¢ — US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen (opens in a new tab)
resolved Frances Tiafoe incorrect ✗SOLD Frances Tiafoe $6,292 @ 84¢ — US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen (opens in a new tab)
resolved Frances Tiafoe incorrect ✗BOUGHT Frances Tiafoe $5,915 @ 39.5¢ — US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen (opens in a new tab)
resolved Frances Tiafoe correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,812 @ 50¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,007 @ 73¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,692 @ 51.7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,635 @ 51.2¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $584 @ 80¢ — Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 45¢ — Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $457 @ 87¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,571 @ 71¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,598 @ 49.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,140 @ 68.6¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 0.3¢ — Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 2.1¢ — Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,625 @ 15.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $592 @ 50¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,562 @ 89.5¢ — Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,276 @ 73.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $162 @ 47.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,613 @ 78¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $484 @ 45¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,033 @ 91¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,908 @ 71.7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,375 @ 59.7¢ — Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $884 @ 97.7¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,890 @ 89.1¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $83 @ 38.2¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,455 @ 98.7¢ — Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $35 @ 27¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $127 @ 24.4¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $118 @ 45.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,587 @ 25.6¢ — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,751 @ 86¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,444 @ 19.5¢ — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $349 @ 90¢ — Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,314 @ 92¢ — Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,080 @ 64¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $759 @ 59¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $79 @ 4¢ — Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $69 @ 55¢ — Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $521 @ 81¢ — Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $258 @ 83.9¢ — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,286 @ 81.5¢ — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,529 @ 99.8¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99 @ 99.5¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $514 @ 88¢ — Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $258 @ 86¢ — Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,197 @ 88¢ — Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,001 @ 35.4¢ — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,141 @ 99.7¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $990 @ 27¢ — Iran full airspace closure by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $69 @ 95¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,165 @ 95.8¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $608 @ 92¢ — Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $380 @ 10.2¢ — Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $77 @ 91¢ — Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $198 @ 91¢ — Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,269 @ 98.5¢ — Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461 · ← All whale receipts