No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$108,390 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111
shibagege0xb6c8…b9e6
Every $100 on their bets came back as $100.27 · 287 bets settled since Dec 30
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 82 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $41.25 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (26 left out). Checked 2026-10-02 13:56 UTC.
Best at Soccer · $100 → $104last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$45,240 at 87¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$20,460 at 93¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$2,044 at 97¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Invictus Gaming · LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs$800 at 56.9¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$76
- JD Gaming · LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs$1,200 at 54.4¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$84
- Invictus Gaming · LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$500 at 52¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $39,861left out of every figure—
- No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$39,861 at 98.1¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2,261 at 94¢ · Jul 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Invictus Gaming · LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$104 at 52¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,500 at 21¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$120 at 3.8¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$150 at 41¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1,445 at 72.3¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$38
- Yes · Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$43 at 6¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$100 at 23.3¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$1,000 at 69.5¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · France vs. England: England O/U 0.5$1,000 at 77¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-18?$1,300 at 35.3¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · France vs. England: O/U 4.5$500 at 92¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Over · France vs. England: O/U 2.5$500 at 68¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Yes · Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?$100 at 6¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?$150 at 8¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?$150 at 11¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · France vs. England: O/U 1.5$10,440 at 87¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Over · France vs. England: O/U 0.5$47,901 at 96.2¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$100 at 9¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$50 at 5¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$100 at 17¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$50 at 2.4¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- England · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1,500 at 54.3¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,265 at 35.1¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$100 at 15¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Spain · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$6,329 at 95.6¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$4,200 at 55.4¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$100 at 7¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$150 at 40.5¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $9,636left out of every figure—
- Under · France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5$9,636 at 97.7¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Over · France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$19,824 at 92.5¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Bilibili Gaming · LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$200 at 41¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Bilibili Gaming · LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$200 at 54¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Argentina · Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$3,000 at 75.3¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- England · Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$5,000 at 87.3¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$50 at 4.1¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$50 at 12¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$50 at 2.9¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$50 at 7¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will England win on 2026-07-11?$500 at 50.5¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$100 at 16.8¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- France · France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$3,500 at 77.5¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$29
- Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1,000 at 47¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Yes · Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?$100 at 10¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Argentina · Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1,000 at 62¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 287 settled bets.
By topic · $100 →
- Soccer237 bets$104
- Other18 bets$67
- Politics17 bets$97
- Esports9 bets$82
- Crypto3 bets$84
- Tech2 bets$56
- Economy1 bets$109
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$115,681 · unrealized +$9,391 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 82 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $41.25 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (26 left out). Checked 2026-10-02 13:56 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xb6c83e346ab31df6e24bc53ecb6e15c03b75b9e6 · ← All whale receipts