Yes · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$14,357 at 35.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35.9¢ pays $279
0xc8b9…b836
Every $100 on their bets came back as $539.13 · 235 bets settled since Jan 19
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 97 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $92.24 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (70 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 20:16 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $812last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
$13,615 at 85.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.3¢ pays $117No · Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
$13,460 at 77¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77¢ pays $130
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?$3,109 at 79¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- No · Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$1,090 at 63.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$57
- Yes · Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$218 at 93.4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$76 at 22¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$355
- Yes · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$3,475 at 60.8¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$65
- Yes · Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?$550 at 27¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?$1,598 at 43.2¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?$1,113 at 53.8¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$86
- Yes · Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$802 at 93.6¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$425 at 94.2¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$503 at 37.4¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?$1,107 at 88.9¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$5,691 at 77.1¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?$1,586 at 37.9¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?$7,159 at 43.9¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$128
- Over · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?$666 at 43¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?$2,000 at 95¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?$12,097 at 86.9¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$6,807 at 85.2¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- No · Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$495 at 90.3¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?$2,662 at 55.5¢ · Aug 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$80
- Yes · Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$2,306 at 54.2¢ · Aug 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$84
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?$1,761 at 17.3¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$478
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?$3,168 at 30.2¢ · Aug 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$1,576 at 46.4¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$115
- No · Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$3,248 at 64¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- Yes · Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$66 at 20¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$8,657 at 63.3¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$58
- Yes · Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$129 at 78.7¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- No · Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$152 at 89.2¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?$4,661 at 85.5¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?$2,211 at 25.6¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?$22 at 61¢ · Aug 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- Yes · Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?$7,210 at 73.6¢ · Aug 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$36
- Yes · Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$1,225 at 26¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$285
- Yes · Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?$4,804 at 62¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$6,998 at 73.6¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$36
- Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$677 at 9.6¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$1,521 at 84.6¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$3,591 at 58.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?$17 at 84.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$384 at 30.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$227
- Yes · Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?$391 at 87¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$1,195 at 90¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Brice Barnes be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?$1,078 at 89¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- No · Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?$30 at 30.1¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?$210 at 25.8¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?$3,182 at 86¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05?$43 at 12.9¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05?$38 at 9.9¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 235 settled bets.
47 more open bets
Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$12,510 at 67.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.3¢ pays $148No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$9,230 at 46.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46.2¢ pays $217Yes · Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
$8,216 at 85¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85¢ pays $118Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
$7,771 at 71.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.7¢ pays $139No · Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
$7,374 at 81.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.2¢ pays $123Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
$6,360 at 87.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.1¢ pays $115No · Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?
$5,218 at 87.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.9¢ pays $114No · Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
$4,795 at 84.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.7¢ pays $118No · Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
$4,620 at 89.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.7¢ pays $112Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?
$4,597 at 83.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.7¢ pays $119Yes · Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
$4,532 at 87.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.2¢ pays $115Yes · Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?
$4,223 at 87.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.1¢ pays $115Yes · Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?
$4,139 at 88.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.1¢ pays $113No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?
$4,027 at 84.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.1¢ pays $119Yes · Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?
$3,852 at 87.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.1¢ pays $115No · Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?
$3,762 at 88.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.2¢ pays $113No · Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?
$3,623 at 88¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?
$3,405 at 87.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.5¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?
$3,343 at 88.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.3¢ pays $113Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
$3,312 at 83.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.8¢ pays $119No · Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?
$3,312 at 89.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.6¢ pays $112Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?
$3,127 at 81.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.7¢ pays $122Yes · Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?
$2,757 at 88¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
$2,647 at 81.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.4¢ pays $123Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?
$2,632 at 88.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.4¢ pays $113Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?
$2,629 at 88.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.8¢ pays $113Yes · Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
$2,559 at 78.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.5¢ pays $127No · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?
$2,527 at 87.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.8¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
$2,287 at 77.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.3¢ pays $129No · Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?
$2,175 at 87.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.9¢ pays $114No · Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
$2,137 at 29¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29¢ pays $345No · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?
$2,015 at 88.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.3¢ pays $113Yes · Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?
$1,994 at 86.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.5¢ pays $116No · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?
$1,932 at 78.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.1¢ pays $128Yes · Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?
$1,928 at 87.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.9¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?
$1,923 at 87.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.6¢ pays $114No · Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?
$1,861 at 41.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 41.7¢ pays $240Yes · Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?
$1,402 at 80.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80.6¢ pays $124Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$1,358 at 48¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48¢ pays $208Yes · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
$1,332 at 76¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76¢ pays $132Yes · Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
$1,283 at 69.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69.9¢ pays $143No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?
$1,125 at 88¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
$1,081 at 55.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55.3¢ pays $181No · Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?
$933 at 83.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.9¢ pays $119Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?
$929 at 78.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.3¢ pays $128Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?
$911 at 53.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 53.3¢ pays $188No · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?
$871 at 87.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.6¢ pays $114
By topic · $100 →
- Politics143 bets$812
- Other57 bets$109
- Sports34 bets$121
- Weather1 bets$255
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$274,973 · unrealized +$28,875 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 97 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $92.24 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (70 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 20:16 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 · ← All whale receipts