QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd

• 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $2,372left out of every figure—

  • No · Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?$2,372 at 99.7¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
• No · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2,680 at 89.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
• Yes · Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$13 at 93¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
• No · Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$2,820 at 94¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
• No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?$3,884 at 96.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
• 2 bets at 97¢ or more · $3,705left out of every figure—

  • No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$3,114 at 99.4¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?$591 at 98.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
• No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$193 at 8.6¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,060
• 5 bets at 97¢ or more · $7,930left out of every figure—

  • No · Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?$732 at 98.5¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
  • No · Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?$1,122 at 98.2¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
  • No · Iran leadership change by October 31?$3,952 at 99.7¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$805 at 99.8¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?$1,319 at 98.2¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
• No · Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?$1,248 at 96.6¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
• 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,301left out of every figure—

  • No · Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?$1,301 at 99¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
• No · Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?$1 at 7¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,329
• No · Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?$2,046 at 96¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
• 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $5,122left out of every figure—

  • No · Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?$5,122 at 98¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
• No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$705 at 96.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
• 7 bets at 97¢ or more · $11,105left out of every figure—

  • No · France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?$729 at 99.9¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?$497 at 99.3¢ · Nov 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 26 2026?$120 at 99.9¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$7,063 at 99.8¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$745 at 99.9¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • Yes · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$657 at 99.1¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$1,294 at 98¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
• No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?$3,932 at 96.3¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
• 1 bet at 97¢ or more · $226left out of every figure—

  • No · Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?$226 at 99.8¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
• Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$1,750 at 87.5¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
• 21 bets at 97¢ or more · $185,114left out of every figure—

  • No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$86,046 at 99.5¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$66,988 at 99.5¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$18,482 at 99.7¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?$584 at 97.3¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
  • No · Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?$523 at 98.6¢ · Oct 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?$500 at 99.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?$500 at 99.9¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?$493 at 98.6¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?$2,117 at 99.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?$1,699 at 99.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?$281 at 99.2¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?$26 at 99.5¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?$142 at 99.3¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$278 at 99.5¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?$501 at 99.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?$659 at 99.6¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?$1,114 at 99.6¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará?$194 at 99.5¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?$1,407 at 99.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
  • No · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?$150 at 99.7¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
  • Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?$2,433 at 99.1¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1

The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 66 settled bets.