No · Will GameStop acquire eBay?
$19,112 at 87¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115
pantomime0xd039…2532
Every $100 on their bets came back as $79.71 · 320 bets settled since Nov 5
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 62 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $68.43 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (70 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 20:16 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $84last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$12,400 at 62¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161No · Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
$11,440 at 89¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Buccaneers · Vikings vs. Buccaneers$4,800 at 48¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Chargers · Chargers vs. Bills$292 at 25¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?$1,268 at 85¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1,401 at 24¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$7,914 at 96¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$101 at 25¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$155 at 6.8¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$240 at 8.1¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4,413 at 44¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?$149 at 12¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$733
- No · Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?$222 at 4.9¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?$1,422 at 79¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- Yes · Will the announcers say "Safety" during the 49ers vs Rams game?$697 at 93¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$317 at 9.7¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$48 at 11¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$48 at 16¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$525
- No · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$453 at 18¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$456
- Yes · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$79 at 3.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$732 at 86.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1,473 at 80¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
- Yes · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1,662 at 23.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?$817 at 85.7¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- No · Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?$2,218 at 87.8¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?$1,167 at 96.4¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1,733 at 24.1¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$492 at 76.9¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- Yes · Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$116 at 13¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$3 at 25¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Team Spirit · Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$46 at 47¢ · Aug 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs$1,850 at 37¢ · Aug 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?$2,827 at 93.4¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$1 at 0.42¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$892 at 2.5¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?$27 at 5.4¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?$3,900 at 78¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$43 at 3.8¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$5,282 at 17.9¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$1,379 at 75¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$33
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?$427 at 68.8¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$266 at 27.4¢ · Aug 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$265
- No · Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$404 at 51¢ · Aug 1 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?$47 at 26.7¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1,111 at 91.9¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$16 at 65.5¢ · Jul 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$53
- Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$172 at 26¢ · Jul 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$571 at 28.8¢ · Jul 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8,243 at 85.5¢ · Jul 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$150 at 0.2¢ · Jul 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$262 at 37.3¢ · Jul 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?$1,614 at 58¢ · Jul 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 320 settled bets.
21 more open bets
No · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$7,550 at 35.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35.6¢ pays $281No · Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$6,305 at 61.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.7¢ pays $162Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
$4,155 at 27¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27¢ pays $371No · Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?
$3,680 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
$3,440 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$3,335 at 67¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67¢ pays $149No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
$2,686 at 74.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.7¢ pays $134No · Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
$2,580 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
$2,201 at 37¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270Yes · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
$1,500 at 30¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30¢ pays $333No · Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
$948 at 78.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.6¢ pays $127Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$586 at 57¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57¢ pays $175Yes · Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
$353 at 24.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 24.9¢ pays $401Yes · Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
$73 at 37¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$71 at 62¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161No · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$53 at 84¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84¢ pays $119Yes · Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
$25 at 21.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.4¢ pays $467Yes · Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
$22 at 21¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21¢ pays $476Yes · Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
$19 at 9.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 9.7¢ pays $1,033Yes · Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$9 at 36¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36¢ pays $278Yes · Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
$3 at 23¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 23¢ pays $435
By topic · $100 →
- Politics161 bets$84
- Other97 bets$71
- Sports23 bets$44
- Culture17 bets$115
- Economy6 bets$139
- Crypto4 bets$116
- Tech4 bets$27
- Soccer3 bets$155
- Esports2 bets$106
- NFL2 bets$0
- MMA1 bets$147
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$217,780 · unrealized +$4,149 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 62 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $68.43 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (70 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 20:16 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532 · ← All whale receipts