No · Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
$53,911 at 93.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.1¢ pays $107
commeowder0xd06f…d4a6
Every $100 on their bets came back as $118.04 · 283 bets settled since Oct 3
Why verified
- 38 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.74 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (37 left out). Checked 2026-10-09 11:07 UTC.
Best at Tech · $100 → $121last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
$3,280 at 93.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.5¢ pays $107No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
$2,793 at 95.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.4¢ pays $105
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?$3,160 at 96¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?$361 at 94¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?$218 at 66.7¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$50
- No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?$549 at 96.4¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $30left out of every figure—
- No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?$30 at 97¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?$179 at 96.1¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?$2,040 at 92.6¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?$63 at 83.8¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
3 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,820left out of every figure—
- No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?$99 at 98.9¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?$752 at 97.1¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?$969 at 97.4¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?$38 at 19.4¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September?$48 at 95.6¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?$38 at 96¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $809left out of every figure—
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.27% in September?$117 at 98.7¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September?$692 at 97.6¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?$746 at 93.2¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?$668 at 92.2¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $694left out of every figure—
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?$694 at 99¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September?$19 at 96.2¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $139left out of every figure—
- No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?$139 at 98.1¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?$762 at 93.2¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?$35 at 47.3¢ · Sep 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?$112 at 33.9¢ · Sep 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September?$24 at 47¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?$1,020 at 76.4¢ · Sep 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$31
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $198left out of every figure—
- No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of September 14 2026?$198 at 99¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $450 Week of September 14 2026?$620 at 94¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $19left out of every figure—
- No · Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 14 2026?$19 at 97.3¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of September 14 2026?$582 at 96.6¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $173left out of every figure—
- No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of September 14 2026?$120 at 99¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of September 14 2026?$53 at 97¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $450B by July 31?$910 at 93.8¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?$6 at 9.2¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$992
- No · Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?$85 at 94.2¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by July 31?$256 at 86.7¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,560 in July?$17 at 91¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- No · Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?$895 at 95.7¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$777 at 87.6¢ · Jul 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by July 31?$48 at 20.9¢ · Jul 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $147 Week of July 13 2026?$37 at 96.1¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of July 13 2026?$10 at 6¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of July 13 2026?$65 at 9¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 13 2026?$390 at 78¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- No · Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of July 13 2026?$119 at 96¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of July 13 2026?$230 at 91¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $85left out of every figure—
- No · Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of July 13 2026?$85 at 97¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 13 2026?$17 at 13.8¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$623
- Yes · Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 13 2026?$98 at 16¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$524
- Yes · Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 13 2026?$41 at 28.9¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$246
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 283 settled bets.
47 more open bets
No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
$2,059 at 91.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.4¢ pays $109No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
$2,006 at 95.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.2¢ pays $105No · Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
$1,776 at 89¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?
$1,732 at 84.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.1¢ pays $119No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?
$1,707 at 93.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.8¢ pays $107No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
$1,283 at 96¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96¢ pays $104No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?
$1,054 at 92.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92.4¢ pays $108No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?
$1,011 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
$1,000 at 93.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.5¢ pays $107No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?
$999 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?
$949 at 87.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.9¢ pays $114No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?
$900 at 94.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.7¢ pays $106No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
$884 at 79.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.3¢ pays $126No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
$812 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?
$599 at 94.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
$550 at 55¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55¢ pays $182No · Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
$470 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?
$400 at 91.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.6¢ pays $109No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
$375 at 36.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36.1¢ pays $277No · Ebola pandemic in 2026?
$338 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?
$299 at 89.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.1¢ pays $112No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?
$294 at 91¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
$285 at 88.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.8¢ pays $113No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
$266 at 80.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80.3¢ pays $125No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?
$265 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?
$257 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?
$232 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?
$219 at 71¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71¢ pays $141No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
$172 at 43.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 43.6¢ pays $229No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?
$162 at 73¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
$131 at 14.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14.6¢ pays $685No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
$129 at 33.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33.6¢ pays $297No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
$127 at 95.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.4¢ pays $105No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?
$119 at 88.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.7¢ pays $113No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
$104 at 94¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$85 at 93.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.3¢ pays $107No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?
$85 at 84.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.2¢ pays $119No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?
$79 at 94¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94¢ pays $106No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?
$73 at 73¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
$41 at 81¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81¢ pays $123No · Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
$37 at 96¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96¢ pays $104No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?
$30 at 95.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.2¢ pays $105No · Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?
$30 at 59¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 59¢ pays $169No · Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$19 at 96¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96¢ pays $104No · Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?
$13 at 66¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66¢ pays $152No · Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
$10 at 96.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.9¢ pays $103No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
$10 at 96.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.2¢ pays $104
By topic · $100 →
- Other133 bets$129
- Tech83 bets$121
- Crypto23 bets$112
- Sports15 bets$36
- Culture12 bets$122
- Economy8 bets$96
- Politics8 bets$82
- Weather1 bets$212
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$203,406 · unrealized −$144 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 38 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $100.74 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (37 left out). Checked 2026-10-09 11:07 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xd06f0f7719df1b3b75b607923536b3250825d4a6 · ← All whale receipts