No · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$24,455 at 92¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109
lug0xe0db…f44e
Every $100 on their bets came back as $104.19 · 795 bets settled since Mar 6
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 140 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $87.49 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (6 left out). Checked 2026-10-01 19:39 UTC.
Best at Soccer · $100 → $115last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$12,480 at 74.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.3¢ pays $135No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$12,054 at 80.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80.4¢ pays $124
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Lodis · LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$258 at 52¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Frites Esports Club · LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$99 at 66¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- Galions · LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs$3,000 at 41¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Solary · Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)$466 at 56¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- Solary · LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs$2,569 at 72¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- White Dragons · LoL: eSuba vs White Dragons (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$1,856 at 52¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · LoL: JSK Esports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage$837 at 70.1¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- Eagles · Spread: Eagles (-3.5)$4,860 at 48.6¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Vikings · Spread: Vikings (-1.5)$3,360 at 48¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
- Cardinals · Cardinals vs. 49ers$2,990 at 23¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5$2,880 at 48¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
- Texans · Texans vs. Colts$2,915 at 53¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Jets · Jets vs. Lions$3,080 at 28¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Jets vs. Lions: O/U 48.5$3,000 at 50¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5$2,568 at 47¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Kentucky · Spread: Kentucky (-20.5)$1,638 at 52¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- Skillcamp Esport · Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)$360 at 72¢ · Sep 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- Pyramid IV Esports · Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)$108 at 56.9¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$76
- Over · Dolphins vs. 49ers: O/U 45.5$2,820 at 47¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Team Liquid · LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$3,000 at 76¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Jaguars · Jaguars vs. Broncos$3,010 at 43¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5$2,940 at 49¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Eagles · Spread: Eagles (-6.5)$2,915 at 53¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Packers · Packers vs. Jets$3,050 at 61¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- Panthers · Panthers vs. Falcons$2,850 at 57¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$75
- Movistar KOI · Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)$268 at 49¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- EDward Gaming Youth Team · LoL: Fuego vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A$2,994 at 80.8¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Movistar KOI · Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)$3,000 at 47¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$749 at 14¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- FlyQuest · LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$1,793 at 44¢ · Sep 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- No · Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?$3,000 at 56¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Hanwha Life Esports · LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs$1,963 at 59¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- G2 · Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs$816 at 41¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
- Maryville University · LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs$681 at 69¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- 49ers · Spread: Rams (-5.5)$932 at 55¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Imperial · Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)$1,077 at 36¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- NIP · Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)$3,000 at 46¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Alliance · Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)$1,343 at 72¢ · Sep 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- Leo Team · Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage$7 at 34¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Astralis · Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A$3,000 at 50¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$4,508 at 85¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- BET-M 33 · Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5)$127 at 58¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Acend · Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Acend (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group C$3,000 at 24¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Acend · Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)$322 at 43¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- BESTIA · Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BESTIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A$3,000 at 21¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Alliance · Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B$40 at 28¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- MIBR · Counter-Strike: 9z vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A$3,000 at 43¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$133
- magic · Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B$25 at 32¢ · Sep 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- CYBERSHOKE Esports · Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$72 at 48¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?$3,000 at 77¢ · Sep 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 795 settled bets.
47 more open bets
Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$5,116 at 15.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15.7¢ pays $639No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
$4,432 at 74.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74.9¢ pays $134No · Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
$4,349 at 90.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90.8¢ pays $110No · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
$4,200 at 84¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84¢ pays $119Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$4,159 at 52.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52.3¢ pays $191Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$3,983 at 47¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47¢ pays $213No · No one announced as next James Bond?
$3,568 at 78.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.6¢ pays $127No · Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$3,550 at 71¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71¢ pays $141No · Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
$3,382 at 88¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114Yes · Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
$3,225 at 10.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.8¢ pays $930No · Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
$3,196 at 77.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77.8¢ pays $129No · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$2,900 at 58¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 58¢ pays $172Yes · Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
$2,800 at 8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8¢ pays $1,250Yes · Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
$2,700 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
$2,580 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?
$2,215 at 90.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90.5¢ pays $110Yes · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$2,059 at 29.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29.4¢ pays $340Solary · LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
$2,051 at 37¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 37¢ pays $270No · Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
$2,040 at 68¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 68¢ pays $147Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
$1,980 at 66¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66¢ pays $152Yes · Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,960 at 4.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.9¢ pays $2,041No · Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
$1,740 at 89.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.1¢ pays $112No · Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
$1,655 at 89.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.4¢ pays $112Yes · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$1,644 at 41.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 41.1¢ pays $243No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,560 at 78¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78¢ pays $128No · Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?
$1,410 at 87.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.9¢ pays $114Yes · Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
$1,330 at 19¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19¢ pays $526No · Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
$1,093 at 54.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 54.6¢ pays $183Yes · Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
$1,090 at 72.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 72.7¢ pays $138Yes · Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?
$1,066 at 57.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57.9¢ pays $173Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$1,050 at 7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7¢ pays $1,429No · Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
$1,024 at 51.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.2¢ pays $195Yes · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$1,020 at 34¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 34¢ pays $294Yes · Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?
$834 at 91.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.4¢ pays $109No · Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
$688 at 12¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 12¢ pays $834No · Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
$635 at 91.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91.3¢ pays $110Yes · Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$618 at 1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1¢ pays $10,000Yes · Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
$585 at 43¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 43¢ pays $232No · Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
$575 at 88.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.8¢ pays $113No · Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?
$575 at 89.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.4¢ pays $112No · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
$570 at 19¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19¢ pays $526Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
$560 at 14¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14¢ pays $714Yes · Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?
$472 at 86.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.8¢ pays $115No · Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
$460 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
$400 at 80¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80¢ pays $125No · Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$394 at 76.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76.4¢ pays $131Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$380 at 3.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 3.8¢ pays $2,632
By topic · $100 →
- NBA162 bets$101
- Other157 bets$100
- Soccer152 bets$115
- Sports129 bets$106
- Esports72 bets$94
- MLB64 bets$103
- NHL27 bets$104
- Politics16 bets$116
- NFL15 bets$91
- MMA1 bets$185
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$185,553 · unrealized +$12,466 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 140 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $87.49 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (6 left out). Checked 2026-10-01 19:39 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e · ← All whale receipts