Yes · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
$10,472 at 58¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 58¢ pays $172
qrup0xe1e3…f1bd
Every $100 on their bets came back as $96.74 · 560 bets settled since Sep 29
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 560 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $92.71 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (23 left out). Checked 2026-10-14 04:39 UTC.
Best at Tennis · $100 → $104last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
$137 at 68.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 68.4¢ pays $146Bella Bergqvist Larsson · W50 Lexington, SC: Bella Bergqvist Larsson vs Jane Dunyon
$92 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-13?$32 at 63.5¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$57
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $15left out of every figure—
- No · Will Slovenia vs. Turkiye end in a draw?$15 at 98¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?$18 at 70¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?$13 at 52¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- Yes · Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?$12 at 49¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Buriram United win on 2026-10-13?$0 at 55¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-13?$0 at 52¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-13?$15 at 88¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Yes · Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-13?$20 at 80¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
- No · Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12?$21 at 82¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- No · Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?$44 at 88¢ · Oct 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-10-12?$18 at 70¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- Yes · Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-12?$15 at 59¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Wieczysta Krakow win on 2026-10-12?$22 at 88¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$90 at 82.2¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$29 at 57.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$74
- No · Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-12?$24 at 96¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?$23 at 90¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?$16 at 63.3¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$22 at 87¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?$11 at 57¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?$40 at 80.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- No · Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-12?$16 at 62¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $24left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-12?$24 at 97¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-12?$18 at 73¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- No · Will Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?$43 at 86.5¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will IF Elfsborg vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?$7 at 89¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $25left out of every figure—
- No · Will FK Liepaja vs. FK Auda Riga end in a draw?$25 at 99¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-12?$23 at 93¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Al Qadsiah win on 2026-10-12?$41 at 91.8¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?$24 at 96¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-11?$18 at 70¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- Yes · Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC end in a draw?$13 at 53.6¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-10-11?$56 at 53.3¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$88
- Yes · Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-10-11?$19 at 74¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-11?$12 at 46¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- No · Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?$13 at 50¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-11?$22 at 87¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?$17 at 66¢ · Oct 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- No · Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-11?$61 at 81¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- No · Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11?$21 at 89.8¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11?$42 at 84.5¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11?$15 at 60¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- Yes · Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?$6 at 31¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$17 at 66¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- No · Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-11?$24 at 95¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-11?$44 at 87¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$2 at 39¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?$14 at 54¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Yes · Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?$68 at 67.8¢ · Oct 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 560 settled bets.
14 more open bets
Matthew Shearer · M25 Qian Daohu: Yan Cheng CHEN vs Matthew Shearer
$77 at 51.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.2¢ pays $195Lorenzo Claverie · M15 Quito: Lorenzo Claverie vs Mauricio Echazu
$70 at 83.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.8¢ pays $119Maxim Mrva · Olbia: Hynek Barton vs Maxim Mrva
$68 at 65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 65¢ pays $154Sean Cuenin · Catania: Sean Cuenin vs Izan Almazan Valiente
$59 at 32.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 32.6¢ pays $307Max Houkes · M25 Kigali: Max Houkes vs Alec Beckley
$53 at 95.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.1¢ pays $105Wilson Leite · Santa Cruz 2: Luis Britto vs Wilson Leite
$45 at 89¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112No · Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
$44 at 63.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 63.1¢ pays $158Henrique Rocha · Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
$43 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann · W100 Edmond, OK: Anna Rogers vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann
$42 at 83¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83¢ pays $120Axel Garcian · M15+H Rodez: Axel Garcian vs Adrien Gobat
$41 at 40.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 40.5¢ pays $247Maan Kesharwani · M25 Solapur: Ryuki Matsuda vs Maan Kesharwani
$37 at 57¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57¢ pays $175Marco Trungelliti · Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
$30 at 60¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 60¢ pays $167Matthew Dellavedova · M25 Luan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yanki Erel
$28 at 71¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71¢ pays $141August Holmgren · Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
$23 at 77¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77¢ pays $130
By topic · $100 →
- Soccer292 bets$94
- Other129 bets$97
- Tennis100 bets$104
- MLB35 bets$98
- Weather2 bets$88
- Economy1 bets$120
- Sports1 bets$141
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$586,943 · unrealized −$19 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 560 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $92.71 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (23 left out). Checked 2026-10-14 04:39 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xe1e3c49b2bae35666e3d5651acc38b24ea5ef1bd · ← All whale receipts