Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$6,993 at 61.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61.2¢ pays $163
supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1
Every $100 on their bets came back as $138.28 · 72 bets settled since Apr 22
Why verified
- 58 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $101.64 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-09 11:07 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $141last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$6,500 at 65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 65¢ pays $154Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
$5,980 at 29.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29.1¢ pays $343
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$69 at 12¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$921 at 29.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$236
- Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11 at 30¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$233
- Yes · Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?$144 at 14.1¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?$8 at 6¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?$996 at 15.7¢ · Sep 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$538
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?$330 at 42.3¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$137
- Yes · Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?$192 at 32¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$213
- Yes · Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?$10 at 25¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$180 at 36.9¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$16 at 51¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$96
- Yes · Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$97 at 48.1¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
- No · Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?$104 at 69¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$723 at 22.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$340
- Yes · Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$224 at 34¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$612 at 69.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$44
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$590 at 38.2¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?$1,745 at 39.1¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$894 at 32¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$212
- Yes · Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?$236 at 20¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?$533 at 27.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?$223 at 24.5¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$104 at 49¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$465 at 25.4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$7 at 21¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1,106 at 63.2¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$58
- Yes · Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$196 at 40¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$150
- Yes · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$4,114 at 54¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$3,910 at 34.2¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$15 at 21.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$790 at 14.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$10,023 at 24.2¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$2,032 at 22.8¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$5 at 0.85¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?$1,290 at 14.9¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?$2,092 at 39.9¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?$190 at 21¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$377
- No · Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?$46 at 91.8¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?$297 at 11.3¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$782
- Yes · Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$3,651 at 57.2¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?$381 at 20¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?$1,570 at 47.5¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?$1 at 5.8¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,624
- Under · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%?$2,690 at 49.4¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$102
- Over · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?$2,392 at 61¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- Under · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?$25 at 88¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Grüne · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?$1,691 at 69¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- No · Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$973 at 62.7¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
- No · Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$96 at 60¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- Yes · Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?$13 at 20¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$400
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 72 settled bets.
25 more open bets
No · Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
$5,242 at 32.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 32.1¢ pays $312No · Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$4,060 at 58¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 58¢ pays $172No · Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
$4,047 at 13.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13.5¢ pays $741Yes · Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
$2,667 at 46.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46.2¢ pays $216Yes · Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
$2,360 at 30¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30¢ pays $333Yes · Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
$1,950 at 13¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13¢ pays $769No · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
$1,721 at 33.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33.1¢ pays $302Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
$1,626 at 45¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 45¢ pays $222No · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$1,500 at 30¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30¢ pays $333Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
$1,359 at 1.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,757Yes · Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$782 at 28.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 28.9¢ pays $346Yes · Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
$412 at 30.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30.3¢ pays $331Yes · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
$376 at 26.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26.8¢ pays $373No · Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$287 at 8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8¢ pays $1,250Yes · Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
$210 at 21¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21¢ pays $476Yes · Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
$103 at 5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5¢ pays $1,988Yes · Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
$84 at 8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8¢ pays $1,252No · Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
$39 at 65¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 65¢ pays $154No · Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
$25 at 14¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14¢ pays $714No · Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
$23 at 77¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77¢ pays $130Yes · Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
$20 at 14.1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14.1¢ pays $709Yes · Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?
$14 at 28¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 28¢ pays $357Yes · Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
$7 at 33¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303No · Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
$3 at 4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4¢ pays $2,500No · Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?
$3 at 4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4¢ pays $2,500
By topic · $100 →
- Politics64 bets$141
- Culture4 bets$189
- F12 bets$89
- Other1 bets$0
- Weather1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$120,717 · unrealized +$5,989 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 58 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $101.64 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-09 11:07 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1 · ← All whale receipts