Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$15,160 at 34.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 34.4¢ pays $291
0xe5f0…dc1d
Every $100 on their bets came back as $89.51 · 699 bets settled since Jun 17
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 493 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $76.98 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC.
Best at Soccer · $100 → $89last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Over · Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5
$12,143 at 51¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51¢ pays $196Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$10,195 at 51.7¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.7¢ pays $193
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Over · Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5$1,950 at 39¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$156
- Over · Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5$17 at 17¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Hurricanes · Capitals vs. Hurricanes$2,900 at 58¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5$3,600 at 45¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Over · Rangers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5$1,100 at 55¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Rangers · Rangers vs. Red Wings$1,840 at 46¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Yes · Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?$990 at 55¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 4.5$12 at 7¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 2.5$5,917 at 37.9¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 5.5$6 at 2.5¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 3.5$720 at 18¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Latvia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5$4,683 at 46¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Over · Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5$234 at 7¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 7.5$17 at 0.5¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5$1,439 at 17¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 5.5$80 at 2.5¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 6.5$27 at 1¢ · Oct 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$3,584 at 41.2¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$143
- Over · Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$21 at 20¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$400
- Over · Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 5.5$93 at 3.5¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 4.5$70 at 11¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 3.5$1,477 at 25¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 2.5$1,611 at 47¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5$29 at 58¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5$345 at 46¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Over · Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5$29 at 53¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Predators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5$150 at 56¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- Over · Predators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5$55 at 44¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- Over · Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 3.5$37 at 38¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?$18 at 39¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5$890 at 45.6¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5$78 at 26¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5$456 at 57¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5$1 at 13¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5$368 at 46¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5$16 at 27¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5$307 at 35¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5$168 at 56¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5$220 at 55¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Over · Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5$236 at 59¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Over · Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5$63 at 35¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$186
- Over · RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5$1,290 at 43¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5$192 at 11¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5$4,315 at 47.1¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?$1,160 at 58¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5$1,749 at 25¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5$224 at 4.4¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 3.5$429 at 28.9¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5$4,029 at 50¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Over · Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5$6,665 at 51¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 699 settled bets.
14 more open bets
Over · Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5
$5,038 at 40.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 40.4¢ pays $248Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,411 at 26.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 26.8¢ pays $373No · Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
$2,047 at 8.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8.2¢ pays $1,221Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,613 at 17.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17.2¢ pays $582No · Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
$1,006 at 64.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.4¢ pays $155Yes · Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$500 at 1¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1¢ pays $10,000Over · Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5
$381 at 63¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 63¢ pays $159Over · Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5
$290 at 29¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29¢ pays $345Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
$260 at 21.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.2¢ pays $472Yes · Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$253 at 1.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,667Yes · Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?
$173 at 2.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.5¢ pays $4,016Yes · Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$173 at 32.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 32.6¢ pays $306Yes · Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
$118 at 51.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.9¢ pays $193No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
$80 at 80¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80¢ pays $125
By topic · $100 →
- Soccer430 bets$89
- Other233 bets$96
- Politics14 bets$55
- Crypto7 bets$0
- Sports5 bets$126
- MMA4 bets$0
- NHL4 bets$109
- Weather2 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$551,178 · unrealized +$165 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 493 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $76.98 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (0 left out). Checked 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xe5f0ae9cc9aef77ae3c2a64c9e69caa3f335dc1d · ← All whale receipts