Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$224,905 at 51.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.6¢ pays $194
SuperavitFiscal0xeb49…693e
Every $100 on their bets came back as $115.14 · 106 bets settled since Aug 8
Why verified
- 106 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $102.78 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (5 left out). Checked 2026-10-08 08:20 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $119last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$96,109 at 67¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67¢ pays $149Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
$13,942 at 82¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82¢ pays $122
Watch in this browserWatch in Telegram (opens in a new tab)
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?$40 at 13.8¢ · Oct 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$626
- Yes · Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$363 at 34.1¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,350 at 55¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- No · Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$75 at 86.5¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$10,320 at 94.4¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$17,460 at 84¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Yes · Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$50 at 78.1¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- No · Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$649 at 88.7¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
- No · Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$16,363 at 90.4¢ · Oct 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?$1,774 at 83.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- No · Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?$193 at 80¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
- Yes · Will Eli Borges win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?$24 at 16.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?$7 at 27.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$262
- No · Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?$157 at 74.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$34
- Yes · Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?$783 at 44.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$126
- Yes · Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?$4 at 11.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?$162 at 81¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- Yes · Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?$1,742 at 82.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- No · Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$5,304 at 94.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$9,054 at 92.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?$17,928 at 83.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?$357 at 83.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?$6 at 81.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- Yes · Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?$221 at 80.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Yes · Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?$5,065 at 89.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?$591 at 33.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?$47 at 66.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$50
- Yes · Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?$601 at 90.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$11,553 at 85.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$1,475 at 67.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Yes · Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?$605 at 80.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?$615 at 83.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?$315 at 88.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?$969 at 75.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?$1,725 at 88.4¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?$524 at 88¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?$219 at 73.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?$609 at 90¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?$626 at 40.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$146
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?$64 at 77¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?$104 at 86¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?$224 at 82.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?$5 at 91.3¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?$95 at 90.6¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?$117 at 91¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?$83 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$1,754 at 56.9¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$76
- No · Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$513 at 56.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$78
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?$40 at 94¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?$356 at 88.8¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 106 settled bets.
10 more open bets
No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
$9,112 at 81.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.7¢ pays $122Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
$4,892 at 46.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 46.5¢ pays $215Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
$4,863 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
$2,490 at 81.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 81.7¢ pays $122Yes · Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
$969 at 96.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.1¢ pays $104No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?
$486 at 84.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.1¢ pays $119Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
$472 at 10.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.8¢ pays $927Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
$415 at 73¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137No · Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
$84 at 69.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 69.9¢ pays $143Yes · Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
$68 at 82¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82¢ pays $122
By topic · $100 →
- Politics91 bets$119
- Other12 bets$99
- MLB3 bets$70
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$75,645 · unrealized +$167,675 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 106 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $102.78 back per $100 — above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (5 left out). Checked 2026-10-08 08:20 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e · ← All whale receipts