Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$5,384 at 3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 3¢ pays $3,356
tunatyler0xf1f9…1245
Every $100 on their bets came back as $108.72 · 282 bets settled since Jan 28
Why verified
- 69 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $112.89 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (2 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $116last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$4,478 at 51.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.1¢ pays $196No · Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$4,258 at 71.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.7¢ pays $139
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?$152 at 32.1¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$211
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?$3,571 at 32¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$213
- No · Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?$91 at 52¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?$1,190 at 17¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$4,840 at 88¢ · Nov 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- Yes · Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?$21 at 1.3¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?$110 at 44¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- No · Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?$643 at 48¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
- Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$3,015 at 43.1¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$132
- No · Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$2 at 40¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$150
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$2,485 at 48.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$106
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$372 at 64¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1,192 at 63.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$58
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$2,259 at 62.7¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
- No · Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?$1,729 at 52.5¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$90
- No · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$11,571 at 72¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$39
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$2,100 at 42¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$138
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$4,125 at 55¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$420 at 30¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$233
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$78 at 61¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$64
- Yes · Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2,292 at 17.8¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$444 at 64.6¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$55
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$124 at 53¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$89
- No · Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$6,375 at 85¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$2,480 at 62¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?$276 at 69¢ · Nov 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$2 at 21¢ · Nov 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$203 at 34.4¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$3 at 90.2¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$1,414 at 66.7¢ · Oct 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$448 at 8.9¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1,511 at 75.8¢ · Oct 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$1,060 at 53¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$3,222 at 57.2¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?$416 at 85¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$2,375 at 29.4¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$240
- No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4,526 at 19.7¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$408
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2,174 at 31.3¢ · Oct 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1,250 at 48¢ · Oct 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?$90 at 35¢ · Oct 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6 at 2.7¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18 at 11¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$275 at 32.1¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$211
- Yes · Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7 at 0.24¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1,192 at 76¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$540 at 1.2¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$1,353 at 85¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$750 at 25¢ · Oct 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$300
- Yes · Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$37 at 63.8¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$57
- Falcons · Falcons vs. Packers$2,000 at 31¢ · Sep 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$223
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 282 settled bets.
13 more open bets
Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$4,037 at 8.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 8.6¢ pays $1,156Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
$2,805 at 33¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,563 at 6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,672No · Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
$1,155 at 33¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303Yes · Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$910 at 0.86¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.86¢ pays $11,628Yes · Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$859 at 0.76¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.76¢ pays $13,158Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$778 at 2.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.7¢ pays $3,663Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$660 at 2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2¢ pays $4,902Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$537 at 1.6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.6¢ pays $6,452Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$437 at 2.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,098Yes · Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$360 at 0.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.9¢ pays $11,111No · Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
$297 at 36.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 36.1¢ pays $277Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$200 at 0.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.8¢ pays $12,500
By topic · $100 →
- Politics233 bets$116
- Sports9 bets$76
- Culture8 bets$26
- Tech7 bets$42
- Crypto5 bets$84
- MLB4 bets$44
- NBA4 bets$0
- NFL4 bets$241
- Other3 bets$100
- Soccer2 bets$66
- Economy1 bets$290
- MMA1 bets$139
- Weather1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$276,454 · unrealized +$23,224 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Why verified
- 69 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $112.89 back per $100 — above $100
- Last fill 5 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (2 left out). Checked 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xf1f9a438f2697381b4ac8eb283d6f4dd772d1245 · ← All whale receipts