No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$30,247 at 71.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.1¢ pays $141
sbimbg0xf519…906b
Every $100 on their bets came back as $99.52 · 512 bets settled since May 11
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 266 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $94.08 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (44 left out). Checked 2026-10-02 13:56 UTC.
Best at Soccer · $100 → $107last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Italy?
$10,920 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Italy?
$10,800 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?$1,365 at 66.7¢ · Sep 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-20?$581 at 74¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- Under · FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5$1,547 at 37¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$170
- No · Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?$4,172 at 56¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- Under · Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5$253 at 93¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Under · Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5$32 at 63¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$557 at 51¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5$154 at 93¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Under · Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$41 at 83¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-20?$42 at 69¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5$41 at 82¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- Under · Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5$5 at 93¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?$3,542 at 76¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$32
- No · Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-19?$10,279 at 79¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- Yes · Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?$584 at 40¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?$5,208 at 88.8¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$13
- Yes · Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?$11,145 at 94.6¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?$5,897 at 86.2¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-19?$6,565 at 95¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Exact Score: SV Werder Bremen 1 - 1 FC Augsburg?$18 at 90¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Exact Score: Brentford FC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC?$15 at 89¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Chloe Paquet · Sao Paulo Open: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Chloe Paquet$595 at 60¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$17,739 at 87¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Will AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg end in a draw?$30 at 92¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$1,664 at 36.1¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 2 - 0 Valencia CF?$0 at 11¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $3,480left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?$3,480 at 97.8¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Ben Shelton · US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz$7,718 at 32¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$213
- Yes · Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?$6,609 at 67¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?$3,859 at 74¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- No · Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?$7,048 at 83¢ · Sep 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
- No · Exact Score: Hamburger SV 0 - 0 1. FSV Mainz 05?$0 at 94¢ · Sep 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-06?$15,168 at 78.8¢ · Sep 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$27
- No · Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 2 Manchester United FC?$57 at 93¢ · Sep 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will PSV win on 2026-09-05?$6,296 at 55.7¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- No · Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 1 1. FC Union Berlin?$55 at 92¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?$7,473 at 82.7¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
- Yes · Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?$4,404 at 84.5¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Under · Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5$74 at 45¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- No · Exact Score: Any Other Score?$17 at 86¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?$145 at 92¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 AS Monaco FC?$9 at 92¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 AS Monaco FC?$9 at 91¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- No · Exact Score: Genoa CFC 1 - 1 Como 1907?$57 at 87¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?$305 at 5.3¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?$21,832 at 90.8¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- MOUZ · Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B$10,320 at 86¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- Darja Vidmanova · Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell$583 at 55¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$82
- Anna Bondar · Monterrey Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Anna Bondar$5 at 56¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Adam Walton · Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse$6,420 at 61¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 512 settled bets.
27 more open bets
No · Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 1 Athletic Club?
$10,440 at 87¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115No · Exact Score: Ukraine 0 - 1 Northern Ireland?
$9,100 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Exact Score: Ukraine 0 - 0 Northern Ireland?
$8,900 at 89¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112No · Exact Score: Ukraine 1 - 0 Northern Ireland?
$8,400 at 84¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84¢ pays $119No · Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Türkiye?
$7,360 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Türkiye?
$7,280 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Italy?
$3,944 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 2 Athletic Club?
$3,076 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Italy?
$1,656 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
$1,083 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108Yes · Exact Score: Levante UD 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
$1,080 at 9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 9¢ pays $1,111No · Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Türkiye?
$842 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 3 Athletic Club?
$730 at 95¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Exact Score: Ukraine 1 - 1 Northern Ireland?
$680 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Italy?
$674 at 89¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112Yes · Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
$522 at 47¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47¢ pays $213Yes · Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
$259 at 27¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 27¢ pays $370No · Exact Score: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 2 Sweden?
$250 at 91¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Türkiye?
$222 at 95¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Exact Score: Levante UD 0 - 2 Athletic Club?
$167 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Exact Score: Levante UD 0 - 0 Athletic Club?
$152 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 1 Athletic Club?
$106 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Exact Score: Any Other Score?
$61 at 87¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87¢ pays $115No · Exact Score: Poland 3 - 1 Romania?
$58 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Türkiye?
$37 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Türkiye?
$13 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108Yes · Exact Score: Levante UD 0 - 0 Athletic Club?
$1 at 6¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,667
By topic · $100 →
- Other193 bets$103
- Tennis181 bets$92
- Soccer123 bets$107
- Culture6 bets$18
- Politics5 bets$113
- Crypto1 bets$164
- Economy1 bets$159
- Esports1 bets$116
- Tech1 bets$113
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$5,174,879 · unrealized +$5,148 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 266 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $94.08 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (44 left out). Checked 2026-10-02 13:56 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xf5198df69e13937a40d1c76d6f72d9aa067d906b · ← All whale receipts