No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$49,992 at 51.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51.5¢ pays $194
0xf559…f462
Every $100 on their bets came back as $98.35 · 587 bets settled since Jan 25
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 279 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $83.29 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1 left out). Checked 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $116last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$19,995 at 42¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 42¢ pays $238Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
$13,285 at 42.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 42.9¢ pays $233
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- 9z · Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)$8,785 at 60.6¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- PARIVISION · Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$25,000 at 56.7¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$77
- Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech$10,000 at 46¢ · Oct 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$10 at 68¢ · Oct 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$4,759 at 50¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$37,513 at 63.9¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$10,000 at 73.1¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$10,811 at 80.6¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$19,946 at 50¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Jaguars · Jaguars vs. Broncos$40,000 at 63.1¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Browns · Browns vs. Buccaneers$6,500 at 47.7¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$110
- Vitality · Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$34,000 at 73¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$37
- Vitality · Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$22,500 at 76.3¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Games Total: O/U 2.5$10,000 at 50¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- MOUZ · Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$20,000 at 56¢ · Sep 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?$10,000 at 41¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Vitality · Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$36,671 at 69¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Lions · Lions vs. Bills$10,000 at 31¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Lions · Spread: Bills (-5.5)$13,000 at 51¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox$15,000 at 49¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- MIBR · Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)$15,458 at 59¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Yes · Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?$30,000 at 59.7¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- Natus Vincere · Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$10,000 at 55.4¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- magic · Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$4,719 at 31.3¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$25,000 at 53.6¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$87
- Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds$20,000 at 68¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays$10,000 at 45¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins$10,000 at 59¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Real Racing Club · Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)$10,000 at 57.2¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5$5,000 at 43.5¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$64,720 at 38.7¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Cleveland Guardians · Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$10,000 at 59¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$261,637 at 54.4¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- CA Osasuna · Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$10,000 at 55.7¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins$12,000 at 62¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Milwaukee Brewers · Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$10,000 at 54¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Philadelphia Phillies · Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$10,000 at 55¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds$20,000 at 69¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$10,000 at 59.2¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?$25,000 at 55.6¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?$20,000 at 41¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
- No · Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15?$20,000 at 69¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Broncos · Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)$20,000 at 52¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5$11,000 at 53¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$89
- Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds$20,000 at 66¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- Alexander Zverev · US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton$69,900 at 58.7¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$70
- Legacy · Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs$29,407 at 49.9¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- BetBoom Team · Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs$20,000 at 39¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Tiafoe · Game Spread: Shelton (-4.5) vs Tiafoe (+4.5)$24,728 at 52.8¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- FURIA · Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs$20,000 at 61¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 587 settled bets.
16 more open bets
Under · Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
$9,998 at 47¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47¢ pays $213Yes · Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$3,395 at 50.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.4¢ pays $198Yes · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$3,148 at 33.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33.9¢ pays $295Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,846 at 1.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.6¢ pays $6,098Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$2,497 at 0.91¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.91¢ pays $10,989Yes · Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,772 at 4.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.9¢ pays $2,028Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1,313 at 1.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,711Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,084 at 14.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 14.5¢ pays $687Yes · Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$894 at 2.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.7¢ pays $3,745Yes · Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
$769 at 42¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 42¢ pays $238Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$600 at 2.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,255Yes · Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$506 at 2.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.5¢ pays $4,016Yes · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$436 at 34.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 34.2¢ pays $292Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$201 at 1.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.1¢ pays $9,174Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$37 at 3.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 3.3¢ pays $3,067Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
$8 at 51¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51¢ pays $196
By topic · $100 →
- Esports245 bets$97
- Soccer135 bets$111
- NBA95 bets$96
- Tennis35 bets$83
- MLB30 bets$78
- Politics23 bets$116
- Other16 bets$75
- NFL6 bets$66
- Crypto1 bets$213
- Sports1 bets$217
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$2,053,951 · unrealized +$25,499 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 279 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $83.29 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (1 left out). Checked 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.
Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462 · ← All whale receipts