PolymarketOtherOpen

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?

14.2¢+604

last trade · closes 2026-11-29

Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$62.4K
Open interest$220.3K
Lifetime volume$935.4K

Quick answers

Where is "Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 14.2¢ (+604). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?" settle?
Closes 2026-11-29. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM…

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid23%11%0%Oct 30 00:00 UTCNov 05 16:22 UTC

195 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.

Smart money

What smart money means here
Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

21 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $13,180. Bought: No $24,812 · Yes $15,448.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM…
Who decides
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com).
Venue’s stated source
https://lolesports.com
When
Closes 2026-11-29.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 14¢ you pay $6.02 in fees on Kalshi

    0.84¢ per contract · 714 contracts

  • On $100 at 14¢ you pay $4.30 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.60¢ per contract · 714 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 260,838 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0xc288967f4bee42292b3c1516fe640c19d7805f8ed949bfcabf989b0eb5e70554 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.