BOUGHT Yes $10,104 @ 93.9¢ — Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x614d…1546 · “mr.ozi” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x614d…1546 — 311–106 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x614d…1546 is 311–106 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-05-19: 419 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$725,628 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 311 | 106 | 2 | 1865 | 20 |
| Politics | 161 | 75 | 0 | 945 | 14 |
| Other | 117 | 24 | 2 | 754 | 5 |
| Crypto | 18 | 3 | 0 | 96 | 0 |
| Economy | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 |
| Culture | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| Tech | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$25,040 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-05-19; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Yes $1,266 @ 62.6¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $789 @ 45.4¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,434 @ 74¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,252 @ 99¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,800 @ 92¢ — Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 92¢ — Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $525 @ 52.5¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,292 @ 23.8¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,650 @ 71¢ — Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14,216 @ 86¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,583 @ 96.8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,763 @ 95.3¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,585 @ 90¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,520 @ 55.2¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $730 @ 73¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,361 @ 96.2¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,590 @ 58.7¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,958 @ 97.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,041 @ 99.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,875 @ 97.5¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,043 @ 99.8¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,872 @ 98.4¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8,479 @ 99.8¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,656 @ 96¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,134 @ 96¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $207 @ 99.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $207 @ 15.3¢ — Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $285 @ 28.1¢ — Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $169 @ 71¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,741 @ 95¢ — Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $800 @ 77.6¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $423 @ 30.1¢ — Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $442 @ 69.9¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,523 @ 75.5¢ — Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,719 @ 53¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,163 @ 93¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $41 @ 56.2¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,422 @ 81.9¢ — Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $405 @ 56.3¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,456 @ 54.9¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 49¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,074 @ 92¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,367 @ 49¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $295 @ 98.9¢ — Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $372 @ 90¢ — Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $72 @ 68.6¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $68,051 @ 77.5¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,010 @ 68.2¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $18,750 @ 75¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $96 @ 69.5¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,801 @ 75¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $766 @ 63.9¢ — Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,240 @ 78¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,349 @ 90¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,647 @ 93¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,548 @ 70¢ — Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $741 @ 70¢ — Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9,990 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 0.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,350 @ 87¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $301 @ 44.1¢ — Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $135 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $90 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $15,840 @ 99¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,269 @ 99.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT Yes $2,797 @ 75¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $474 @ 94.7¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3,764 @ 94.1¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $4,940 @ 98.8¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $940 @ 94¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $241 @ 95.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $516 @ 95.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3,561 @ 96.1¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,256 @ 96¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $4,761 @ 93.4¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $193 @ 32¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,386 @ 32.1¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,772 @ 95.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,407 @ 96.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $776 @ 96¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedSOLD Yes $2,853 @ 16¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $80 @ 80¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7,341 @ 84¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $463 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $973 @ 88.6¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,400 @ 88¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $931 @ 84¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,536 @ 75.9¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $300 @ 28¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,556 @ 90.7¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9,349 @ 85¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $986 @ 92¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $38 @ 75¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,860 @ 86¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,862 @ 86¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $481 @ 78¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 60¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $214 @ 53¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $99 @ 0.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $270 @ 47¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,000 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $52 @ 52¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,250 @ 17¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,390 @ 79¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $83,513 @ 98.6¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35,066 @ 72.7¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20,246 @ 71¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,797 @ 58¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,473 @ 60¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,431 @ 68.2¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,130 @ 51¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Qinwen Zheng $320 @ 61¢ — US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng (opens in a new tab)
resolved Qinwen Zheng incorrect ✗SOLD Qinwen Zheng $14 @ 27¢ — US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng (opens in a new tab)
resolved Qinwen Zheng incorrect ✗SOLD Qinwen Zheng $1,300 @ 26¢ — US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng (opens in a new tab)
resolved Qinwen Zheng incorrect ✗SOLD Qinwen Zheng $1,182 @ 22¢ — US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng (opens in a new tab)
resolved Qinwen Zheng incorrect ✗BOUGHT Qinwen Zheng $400 @ 8¢ — US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng (opens in a new tab)
resolved Qinwen Zheng correct ✓BOUGHT Qinwen Zheng $1,200 @ 12¢ — US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng (opens in a new tab)
resolved Qinwen Zheng correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $180 @ 78¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,883 @ 81¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17,337 @ 84.6¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,518 @ 77¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $850 @ 85¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $328 @ 82¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 83¢ — Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $720 @ 66¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 0.5¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $60 @ 46¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8,550 @ 57¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $186 @ 57¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,266 @ 75¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $68,800 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8,700 @ 87¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $47,850 @ 87¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $198 @ 3.3¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,916 @ 96.5¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11,862 @ 84¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,348 @ 99.5¢ — Iran leadership change by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $912 @ 56¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,008 @ 81.7¢ — Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,488 @ 99.5¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3,906 @ 65¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $908 @ 87.2¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $338 @ 91.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $7,653 @ 59.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8,009 @ 80.1¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19,800 @ 66¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,652 @ 86.8¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $200 @ 97.7¢ — Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,800 @ 34¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,720 @ 66.8¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $7 @ 65.4¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17 @ 69¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $208 @ 61¢ — Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $288 @ 95.2¢ — Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $712 @ 90¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,358 @ 73¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 77¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,704 @ 97.4¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $27,405 @ 99.3¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $100 @ 99.7¢ — Iran leadership change by August 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $197 @ 99.7¢ — Will United Russia win the next Tambov Oblast Parliament elections? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $4,555 @ 89.8¢ — Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,471 @ 82¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,676 @ 66.8¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,884 @ 96.1¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $29,080 @ 58.2¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,317 @ 36¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,121 @ 97.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,771 @ 63.8¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,103 @ 87.4¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $17,365 @ 64.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 86¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $791 @ 91.5¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $95 @ 74¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6,272 @ 97.9¢ — Iran leadership change by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5,380 @ 78¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $365 @ 13¢ — Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,603 @ 93¢ — Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $830 @ 92¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $24,891 @ 99.1¢ — Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,906 @ 80.7¢ — Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $313 @ 79¢ — Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $130 @ 94.1¢ — Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $29,797 @ 99¢ — Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $579 @ 85.9¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $915 @ 85.8¢ — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,499 @ 65¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,760 @ 92¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $32 @ 0.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,991 @ 98.9¢ — Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,500 @ 90¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,071 @ 61¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,758 @ 71.7¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $10,980 @ 61¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,442 @ 73¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $12,000 @ 60¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,337 @ 69.9¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,333 @ 68.6¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $602 @ 64.5¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $172 @ 16.8¢ — Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $865 @ 86.5¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,599 @ 92¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $141 @ 61.6¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $193 @ 60.2¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1,327 @ 41.5¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $4,251 @ 59¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,824 @ 60¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $4,800 @ 48¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,208 @ 47¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,265 @ 59¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,450 @ 49¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $459 @ 93.5¢ — Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $380 @ 83¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,354 @ 99.1¢ — Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,740 @ 97¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $98 @ 88¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,400 @ 88¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $920 @ 93.5¢ — Will United Russia win the next Tambov Oblast Parliament elections? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $472 @ 98.5¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,587 @ 70¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $5,738 @ 82¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,166 @ 99.4¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,670 @ 89¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,558 @ 31.1¢ — US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,166 @ 97.2¢ — Iran leadership change by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $98 @ 97.9¢ — Iran leadership change by August 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,782 @ 47¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,055 @ 96.7¢ — Iran leadership change by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $4,451 @ 58.4¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,760 @ 88¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,500 @ 70¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $934 @ 99.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $840 @ 84¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14 @ 0.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $124 @ 99¢ — Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,600 @ 63¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,239 @ 99¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $50 @ 89¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,067 @ 76.2¢ — Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,426 @ 77.5¢ — Iran leadership change by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $482 @ 23.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,471 @ 73.6¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $182 @ 65¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,223 @ 63.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,142 @ 79¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,940 @ 87¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,520 @ 76¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $28 @ 77¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,303 @ 75.3¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $679 @ 98.3¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 3.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,185 @ 88¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,105 @ 57¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,943 @ 55.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $982 @ 88¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $121 @ 67¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,494 @ 58¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $17,200 @ 86¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $64 @ 2.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $1,951 @ 97.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $1,954 @ 97.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6,525 @ 87¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $901 @ 82¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,097 @ 83.9¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,108 @ 62.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,987 @ 89¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,700 @ 57¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49 @ 54¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,950 @ 59¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,534 @ 67¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,173 @ 58.7¢ — Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $542 @ 54¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,877 @ 57.5¢ — US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $630 @ 42¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $783 @ 81¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,850 @ 57¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,500 @ 90¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 80.9¢ — Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 50¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,391 @ 39.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $559 @ 15.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,781 @ 66¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,652 @ 90¢ — Iran leadership change by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $994 @ 67.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,535 @ 38.5¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $401 @ 32¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $96 @ 46¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,461 @ 49¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $1,433 @ 29.8¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $739 @ 39.5¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,275 @ 61¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,035 @ 46¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $442 @ 74¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $635 @ 73¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $136 @ 72.5¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $3,041 @ 56.6¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $573 @ 60.5¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,295 @ 65.7¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,653 @ 60.8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546 · ← All whale receipts